Leopardstown The Savills Steeplechase (Grade 1) 14.30 UK Time.
Leopardstown features the Savills Steeplechase, a Grade 1 event over approximately three miles on yielding ground.
Galopin Des Champs enters with outstanding credentials.
He won this race in 2023 and 2024 on soft ground, demonstrating his affinity for the track.
His most recent victory came in the Irish Gold Cup in February 2025 on good to yielding.
He has five wins from seven starts at Leopardstown.
He excels on yielding conditions and possesses proven stamina and class from multiple Gold Cup successes.
His handicap rating reflects elite staying ability, and he appears fit for this contest.
Inothewayurthinkin shows progressive chase form.
He secured a Grade 1 novice chase win at Aintree in April 2024 on soft.
His latest outings include wins in high-class company, though he finished fifth in the 2024 Savills Chase on good to yielding.
He has a course win at Leopardstown.
He handles yielding ground well and arrives in strong condition with experience at this level.
Fastorslow has a history of upsetting top rivals.
He defeated Galopin Des Champs twice at Punchestown on soft.
His recent form includes a fourth in the John Durkan Chase in November 2024 on yielding.
He prefers softer surfaces but can perform on yielding.
He has solid course form at Leopardstown with placed efforts.
Fitness is not a concern after recent racing.
Champ Kiely transitions from hurdles with promise.
He upset Ballyburn in a hurdle race in April 2025 on soft to heavy.
His latest was a close second in a high-grade hurdle on soft.
He has stamina for three miles from hurdle successes and acts on yielding.
He has a win at Leopardstown over hurdles.
He comes in fit and ready for this chase debut at the top level.
Gerri Colombe returns after a lengthy absence due to injury.
His last run was a win in the Ladbrokes Champion Chase at Down Royal in November 2024 on soft.
He was sidelined for the remainder of the 2024/25 season with a stifle issue, making this a comeback after over a year off.
He finished second in the 2024 Gold Cup on soft, showing class.
He copes with yielding and has placed form at Leopardstown.
However, his fitness after the layoff raises questions.
Lecky Watson is an emerging talent over fences.
He won a beginners chase at Gowran Park in December 2024 on soft.
His form includes competitive efforts in Grade 1 novices, such as a fifth at Punchestown on soft.
He acts on yielding ground and has placed at Leopardstown.
Recent racing ensures sharpness.
Grangeclare West brings consistent novice form.
He has back-to-back wins in novice chases prior to a sixth in the 2024 Savills Chase on good to yielding.
He has a course win at Leopardstown.
He performs well on yielding and arrives fit from steady campaigning.
Affordale Fury steps up significantly in class.
He won a beginners chase at Navan in November 2024 on soft.
Previous hurdle form includes seconds in Grade 1 novices on soft.
He handles yielding conditions and has some Leopardstown experience.
He is in good nick after the recent win.
I Am Maximus is capable on his day but erratic.
He won the 2024 Grand National on soft and followed with further successes.
His recent form shows two wins in graded chases.
He placed third in the 2024 Savills Chase on good to yielding.
He manages yielding ground and has course form at Leopardstown.
He is fit and experienced.
Simulation Results:
Percentage chances: Galopin Des Champs 34%, Inothewayurthinkin 24%, Fastorslow 14%, Champ Kiely 10%, Gerri Colombe 8%, I Am Maximus 6%, Grangeclare West 4%, Lecky Watson 4%, Affordale Fury 2%, Croke Park 0%, Monty’s Star 0%, Stellar Story 0%.
Equivalent fractional odds: Galopin Des Champs 15/8, Inothewayurthinkin 16/5, Fastorslow 6/1, Champ Kiely 9/1, Gerri Colombe 11/1, I Am Maximus 15/1, Grangeclare West 24/1, Lecky Watson 24/1, Affordale Fury 49/1, Croke Park 0/0, Monty’s Star 0/0, Stellar Story 0/0.
Best bet: Galopin Des Champs.
Value selections: Galopin Des Champs and Inothewayurthinkin.
Steamer bets: none
Trends based on last 12 years:
Based on the trends for the last 12 years of the Savills Steeplechase, the horses are assessed on how well they align with the key criteria, prioritising those that match the strongest patterns (such as age, recent run, chase experience, rating, and graded success) while noting any significant deviations.
Galopin Des Champs matches the majority of trends, including high rating, extensive previous distance form with multiple wins, strong previous course form with wins, ample chase runs and wins, multiple Grade 1 wins, and graded success, though he falls outside the preferred age range and lacks a run within 59 days or this season.
Inothewayurthinkin fits well with the age bracket, is in the top 3 in betting, has a run within 59 days, season form, sufficient chase runs and wins, a high rating, at least one Grade 1 win, graded success, and previous course form, though distance wins are limited.
Fastorslow aligns with top 3 in betting, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs and wins, high rating, Grade 1 wins, graded success, and distance form, but is outside the preferred age range.
Gerri Colombe fits the age bracket, has chase runs and wins, high rating, Grade 1 wins, graded success, and distance form, but lacks a run within 59 days or this season.
I Am Maximus matches chase runs and wins, high rating, graded success, run within 59 days, season form, and distance form, but is outside the preferred age range and has no Grade 1 chase wins.
Grangeclare West fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs (though wins are low), high rating, previous course form, and distance form, but lacks graded wins.
Champ Kiely aligns with run within 59 days, season form, chase runs and wins, Grade 1 wins, graded success, but is outside the preferred age range, has limited distance form, and low course form.
Lecky Watson fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs and wins, graded success, previous course form, but has a lower rating, no Grade 1 wins, and limited distance form.
Affordale Fury fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form with a win, chase runs, previous course form, distance form, and won last run, but has low chase wins, lower rating, and no graded wins.
Monty’s Star fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs, previous course form, but has no chase wins, lower rating, no graded wins, and limited distance form.
Stellar Story fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs, previous course form, but has no chase wins, lower rating, no graded wins, and limited distance form.
Croke Park fits the age bracket, run within 59 days, season form, chase runs, previous course form with a win, distance form, but has low chase wins, lower rating, no graded wins.
