Category: Horse Racing Free Tips

Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase Grade 2 Stats

Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase Grade 2 Stats

Key Trends (2021–2025)

Irish Dominance: 5 of the 5 winners were trained in Ireland.
The Mullins Factor: Willie Mullins has won 3 of the 5 renewals (Colreevy, Elimay, and Dinoblue).
Official Rating: 4 of the 5 winners were rated 150 or higher.
Age Profile: All 5 winners were aged 7 or 8. Note: Last year’s winner, Dinoblue, attempts to become the first 9-year-old winner.
Market Position: All 5 winners returned at 3/1 or shorter.
Recent Form: 5 of the 5 winners won their final start before the Festival.

Runner Analysis & Preference List

1. Dinoblue (Trainer: Willie Mullins | Jockey: Mark Walsh)

Trends Fit: 9/10. The defending champion and highest-rated mare in the field (159). She fits every trend except age, as she is now 9. However, her form this season—winning at Naas and Navan—suggests she remains at the peak of her powers.
Verdict: The clear standard-bearer. She thrives on “Good” ground and has the tactical speed to navigate this 2m 4f trip. Statistically, she is the most likely winner.

2. Spindleberry (Trainer: Willie Mullins | Jockey: Paul Townend)

Trends Fit: 8/10. An 8-year-old rated 153. She won a Grade 1 against males at Fairyhouse last season and outclassed rivals at Doncaster in December. She failed to settle in the Irish Gold Cup, but the drop back to 2m 4f and returning to mares-only company is a perfect trend match.
Verdict: The primary danger to her stablemate. She represents the “improving younger mare” profile that has won 4 of the 5 renewals.

3. Panic Attack (Trainer: Dan Skelton | Jockey: Harry Skelton)

Trends Fit: 7/10. A rare British hope who is “unbeaten” for this yard over fences (4 from 4), including the Paddy Power Gold Cup. Although she is 10 years old (breaking the age trend) and rated 147 (borderline), her course form is exceptional.
Verdict: The best each-way alternative to the Irish. She receives 3lb from the top two, which statistically gives her a fighting chance of hitting the frame.

4. Diva Luna (Trainer: Ben Pauling | Jockey: Ben Jones)

Trends Fit: 6/10. A 7-year-old rated 143. She has transitioned to chasing flawlessly, winning two Listed events. While she is slightly below the typical winning rating of 150+, she meets the “lightly-raced improver” profile.
Verdict: A progressive type who could be better than her current mark, though she needs to find nearly 15lb of improvement to trouble Dinoblue.

5. July Flower (Trainer: Henry de Bromhead | Jockey: Darragh O’Keeffe)

Trends Fit: 6/10. A 7-year-old Irish mare with a rating of 143. She won a Grade 2 chase over 2m but has found the step up to Grade 1 against the males difficult. She meets the trainer and age trends.
Verdict: Respected given the yard, but her lack of a win over 2m 4f+ is a negative trend compared to the stayers above her.

6. Only By Night (Trainer: Gavin Cromwell | Jockey: Keith Donoghue)

Trends Fit: 5/10. An 8-year-old rated 148. She was a brilliant second in the Arkle last year but hasn’t fully fired in her two starts this season. She also comes here off the back of a 5th place, failing the “last time out winner” trend.
Verdict: Talented but looks to have lost some of the momentum required to win a race of this depth.

7. Telepathique (Trainer: Lucy Wadham | Jockey: Tom Cannon)

Trends Fit: 3/10. An 8-year-old rated 147. While consistent, she was soundly beaten by Spindleberry earlier this season. British-trained mares are 0-for-5 in this race so far.
Verdict: Likely to be outclassed by the Grade 1-calibre Irish mares.

 

Order of Preference

1. Dinoblue (The class leader; defending champion with perfect prep)
2. Spindleberry (High-rated stablemate with Grade 1 winning form)
3. Panic Attack (Best British hope; excellent course form)
4. Diva Luna (Young improver with a high ceiling)
5. July Flower
6. Only By Night
7. Telepathique

JCB Triumph Hurdle Grade 1 Stats

JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1) Stats

Key 12-Year Trends (2014–2025)

The Irish Stronghold: Irish-trained horses have won 7 of the last 10 renewals.
The Mullins/Elliott Grip: Willie Mullins (4 wins) and Gordon Elliott (2 wins) dominate the profile.
Last Time Out: 10 of the last 12 winners won their previous start.
Graded Form: 11 of the last 12 winners had won a Graded hurdle previously.
Market Position: 9 of the last 12 winners were in the top three of the betting.
Flat Background: High-class flat performers (rated 90+) have a strong strike rate on “Good” ground.

Runner Analysis & Preference List

1. Maestro Conti (Trainer: Willie Mullins | Jockey: Paul Townend)

Trends Fit: 10/10. He ticks every box for a prototypical Triumph winner. Unbeaten in two starts in Ireland, including a Grade 1 at Leopardstown last month. He was a high-class flat horse in France and, crucially, his action suggests he will thrive on the drying “Good” ground.
Verdict: The clear statistical leader. Representing the most successful yard in the race’s recent history and coming in off a win.

2. One Horse Town (Trainer: Gordon Elliott | Jockey: Jack Kennedy)

Trends Fit: 9/10. A very close second in terms of profile. Winner of a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse, he is a stout stayer who would perhaps prefer a softer surface, but his “never-say-die” attitude fits the trend of Elliott-trained juveniles who out-battle rivals up the Cheltenham hill.
Verdict: The primary challenger. If the pace is overly strong, his stamina will be a massive asset.

3. Highland Crystal (Trainer: Dan Skelton | Jockey: Harry Skelton)

Trends Fit: 7/10. The best of the British. She is a prolific winner this season (4 from 4) but hasn’t faced the same level of opposition as the top Irish pair. However, the Skelton yard is excellent at target-training, and she meets the trend of being a last-time-out winner.
Verdict: A major threat if the Irish leaders underperform. Her slick jumping is a major plus on faster ground.

4. Selma De Vary (Trainer: Willie Mullins | Jockey: Danny Mullins)

Trends Fit: 7/10. Often the “second-string” Mullins horse performs well in this race (e.g., Burning Victory). She was second to Maestro Conti last time. While she fails the “must have won last time out” trend, she is highly rated and the yard’s dominance cannot be ignored.
Verdict: A very strong each-way candidate who could easily reverse form with the favourite if he finds the occasion too much.

5. Fantasy World (Trainer: Joseph O’Brien | Jockey: J. J. Slevin)

Trends Fit: 6/10. Joseph O’Brien has a great record in this race (Ivanovich Gorbatov). This horse was a 100-rated flat performer. He hasn’t won a Graded hurdle yet, which is a negative trend, but his flat speed is perfectly suited to a “Good” ground Triumph Hurdle.
Verdict: The “dark horse” of the race. Statistically slightly behind on hurdle experience, but a danger on the ground.

6. Proactif (Trainer: Gordon Elliott | Jockey: Sam Ewing)

Trends Fit: 5/10. A consistent type but has been held by Maestro Conti and One Horse Town already this season. He lacks the “Grade 1 engine” seen in the last 12 winners.
Verdict: Likely to finish in the middle of the pack; hard to see him winning based on previous speed ratings.

7. Minella Study (Trainer: Henry de Bromhead | Jockey: Rachael Blackmore)

Trends Fit: 4/10. Only one run over hurdles (a maiden win). 11 of the last 12 winners had at least two runs over hurdles. He is likely too inexperienced for the helter-skelter nature of a Triumph.
Verdict: One for the future, but trends suggest this comes too soon.

 

Order of Preference

1. Maestro Conti (The statistical standout; unbeaten and top-tier yard)
2. One Horse Town (Strongest Graded form and Elliott’s primary hope)
3. Highland Crystal (Leading British contender with perfect winning sequence)
4. Selma De Vary (High-class Mullins second-string with Graded experience)
5. Fantasy World (Flat speed makes him the danger on “Good” ground)
6. Proactif
7. Minella Study

Cheltenham Top Rated Horses Friday 13th March

Cheltenham Top Rated Horses Friday 13th March

13:20

MAESTRO CONTI  18.49
ONE HORSE TOWN  14.74
HIGHLAND CRYSTAL  14.60
SELMA DE VARY  13.03
FANTASY WORLD  11.88
PROACTIF  6.02
MINELLA STUDY  5.06
KAI LUNG  4.48
TENTER LE TOUT  4.29
LORD BYRON  4.28
APOLON DE CHARNIE  4.18
MACHO MAN  3.56
INDIAN RIVER  3.41
NORTH SHORE  3.40
MON CREUSET  2.80
NOEMIE DE LA VIS  2.24
MINELLA ACADEMY  1.89
FORTY FIFTY  1.75
BERTO RAMIREZ  1.30
WOLF RAYET  0.95

14:00

SINNATRA  21.71
KARBAU  20.03
JUBILEE ALPHA  12.31
ABSURDE  12.05
HAMLET’S NIGHT  10.00
BOWENSONFIRE  8.89
SECRET SQUIRREL  5.02
OOH BETTY  4.25
JOYEUSE  4.21
STICKTOTHEPLAN  4.01
NDAAWI  3.86
TRIPOLI FLYER  3.29
WILFUL  3.13
MURCIA  2.59
GIBBS ISLAND  2.49
CRACKING RHAPSODY  2.01
HELVIC DREAM  1.79
WILLIETHEBUILDER  1.79
HELLO NEIGHBOUR  1.36
PINOT GRIS  1.18
SIXANDAHALF  1.16
TELLHERTHENAME  1.04
BALKO D’ANGE  0.68
BOWMORE  0.33

14:40

DINOBLUE  74.30
SPINDLEBERRY  11.61
PANIC ATTACK  8.63
DIVA LUNA  7.23
JULY FLOWER  7.04
PIPER PARK  4.54
TELEPATHIQUE  3.63
ONLY BY NIGHT  3.28
ALL THE GLORY  2.44

15:20

DOCTOR STEINBERG  42.90
THEDEVILUNO  12.31
PARK PRINCESS  11.66
MONDOUI’BOY  6.51
KAZANSKY  5.60
KRIPTICJIM  5.66
SPINNINGAYARN  5.62
UBATUBA  5.40
ESPRESSO MILAN  4.88
JALON D’OUDAIRIES  4.86
JOHNNY’S JURY  4.86
THE PASSING WIFE  4.18
MONEYGARROW  3.90
KICOUR LA  3.37
HIPOP DE LOIRE  3.14
SWINDON VILLAGE  3.09
DOCTOR DU MESNIL  2.70
TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO  2.50
THE PRICE OF PEACE  2.38
KING’S BUCKS  2.14
ROAD EXILE  1.51
FRUIT DE MER  1.04

16:00

GAELIC WARRIOR  22.41
HAITI COULEURS  18.50
L’HOMME PRESSE 13.06
GREY DAWNING  11.74
JANGO BAIE  10.86
INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN  9.85
ENVOI ALLEN  8.12
THE JUKEBOX MAN  7.03
SPILLANE’S TOWER  6.14
GOLD TWEET  5.49
FIREFOX  4.62

16:40

STATTLER  20.96
ITS ON THE LINE 18.87
PANDA BOY  15.57
BARTON SNOW  10.08
PYLEIGH COURT  9.93
MUSIC DRIVE  6.35
SHEARER  5.87
PAUL MARVEL  5.54
GOLDEN SON  4.92
GRACCHUS DE BALME  4.94
WONDERWALL  4.24
WHAT A GLANCE  4.24
CHEMICAL ENERGY  4.06
WILLITGOAHEAD  3.90
SOLITARY MAN  3.84
LIFT ME UP  3.74
LINELEE KING  3.51
CON’S ROC  3.26
TAKE ALL  2.58
WILLEWONGA  2.21
KINGS JET  1.46
CARNFUNNOCK  1.41
WRAPPEDUPINMAY  1.04
KING ALEX  0.98

17:20

OPEN SECRET  19.25
FIERCELY PROUD  13.33
SAINT LE FORT  12.87
SA FUREUR  9.98
STEDE BONNET  9.96
NURSE SUSAN  9.66
AIR OF ENTITLEMENT  7.15
EAST INDIA EXPRESS  7.00
JUMP ALLEN  5.94
HOT FUSS  5.63
ZILLOW  5.18
ACT OF AUTHORITY  4.80
INTELLOTTO  4.78
KEL HISTOIRE  4.30
FARFROMNOWHERE  4.26
CHARLUS  4.08
ROC DINO  3.49
SAINTE LUCIE  3.36
ANDASHAN  3.28
DA CAPO GLORY  3.02
ITS BILBO  2.61
KARL DES TOURELLES  2.46
WENDROCK  2.10
BALLYKINLAR  0.92

Close Brothers Mares Hurdle Stats

Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 1) Stats

The following analysis uses the primary trends from the last 12 years (2014–2025) to evaluate the 2026 contenders.

Key 12-Year Trends (2014–2025)

Irish Dominance: 10 of the last 12 winners were trained in Ireland.
The Mullins Factor: Willie Mullins has won 11 renewals in total (5 in the last 10 years).
Official Rating: 9 of the last 12 winners were rated 150 or higher.
Age Profile: 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7.
Last Time Out: 9 of the last 12 winners won or finished 2nd on their previous start.
Market Strength: 9 of the last 12 winners were returned at 6/1 or shorter.

Runner Analysis & Preference List

1. Wodhooh (Trainer: Gordon Elliott | Jockey: Jack Kennedy)

Trends Fit: 10/10. The 6-year-old Irish mare is the highest-rated in the field (154) and fits every major trend. She is a previous Festival winner (2025 Martin Pipe) and has won 9 of her 10 starts over hurdles. Her only defeat came against the absent superstar Lossiemouth.
Verdict: She is the “statistically perfect” horse for this race. Her tactical versatility and Course & Distance (C&D) winning form make her the one to beat.

2. Jade De Grugy (Trainer: Willie Mullins | Jockey: Paul Townend)

Trends Fit: 9/10. Representing the most successful trainer in the race’s history. She was 2nd in this race last year (behind Lossiemouth) and is rated 150. While she has spent this season over fences, the trend of high-class mares reverting from chasing to win this race is well-established (e.g., Benie Des Dieux).
Verdict: The clear danger. As the sole representative of the Mullins yard, historical stats suggest she will be peak-fit and highly competitive on drying ground.

3. Feet Of A Dancer (Trainer: Paul Nolan | Jockey: Sean O’Keeffe)

Trends Fit: 7/10. An Irish-trained 7-year-old who won her last start (Grade 2 at Doncaster). However, she is rated 141, which is significantly lower than the typical winner’s profile of 150+. She was also beaten by Wodhooh earlier this season.
Verdict: A solid each-way contender who rarely runs a bad race but may lack the “Grade 1 engine” required to trouble the top two.

4. Take No Chances (Trainer: Dan Skelton | Jockey: Harry Skelton)

Trends Fit: 6/10. The leading British hope. She was 3rd in this race last year and is an 8-year-old, placing her just outside the ideal 5–7 age bracket. While consistent, her current rating of 145 suggests she needs a career-best performance.
Verdict: Consistent place prospect but historical stats favour the younger Irish-trained mares for the top spot.

5. Jetara (Trainer: Mrs John Harrington | Jockey: Sam Ewing)

Trends Fit: 5/10. An 8-year-old who has struggled for a win this season (0 from 4). Although Irish-trained and 4th in this race last year, she hasn’t shown the progression needed to bridge the gap to the 150-rated rivals.
Verdict: Likely to battle for minor honours but faces an uphill task to win.

6. Dream On Baby (Trainer: Emmet Mullins | Jockey: Donagh Meyler)

Trends Fit: 4/10. A 6-year-old rated 139. While she is Irish-trained and won a Listed race at Kempton in November, she has been comfortably beaten by both Wodhooh and Feet Of A Dancer in subsequent starts.
Verdict: Improvement required; stats suggest she is outclassed here.

7. Sunset Marquesa (Trainer: Joe Tizzard | Jockey: Brendan Powell)

Trends Fit: 2/10. A British-trained outsider rated 129. She fails to meet the ratings, trainer, or form trends associated with winners of this Grade 1 contest.
Verdict: The rank outsider with significant ground to make up on the principals.

 

Order of Preference

1. Wodhooh (Strongest trend match and class leader)
2. Jade De Grugy (The “Mullins Factor” and proven C&D form)
3. Feet Of A Dancer (Best of the rest with upward momentum)
4. Take No Chances (Reliable place candidate)
5. Jetara
6. Dream On Baby
7. Sunset Marquesa

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