Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle Cheltenham Stat
The Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle, a Grade 1 race at the Cheltenham Festival, is a significant event in the National Hunt racing calendar. Over the years, certain trends have emerged that can help identify potential winners. Here’s a summary of the most influential trends:
Age Factor:
A majority of winners are aged 5 or 6, indicating that horses in this age bracket have the right mix of youth and maturity for this race.
Betting Odds:
Favourites have a strong track record, with 6 of the last 12 winners being favourites.
Additionally, 10 out of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, suggesting that the betting market is a good indicator of a horse’s chances.
Recent Performance:
The form is crucial, with 10 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle.
All winners placed in their previous run, and 9 out of the last 12 winners ran within the last 66 days.
Course Experience:
Previous runs at Cheltenham are beneficial, with 3 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and the same number having a previous win at Cheltenham.
Distance Form:
Experience over the race distance is important, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run over 19-21 furlongs, and 7 having at least two previous runs over this distance.
Hurdle Form:
A strong track record over hurdles is key, with all winners having at least 2 runs over hurdles, and 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 2 previous wins over hurdles.
Rating:
High ratings are indicative of a horse’s potential, with all winners in the last 12 years being rated 146 or higher.
Graded Wins:
Success in graded races is common among winners, with 9 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous win in a grade 1-3 race.
Season Form:
Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 9 out of the last 12 having at least 3 runs that season, and all winners having at least one win that season.
Future Form:
The race is often a stepping stone to further success, with 8 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after the Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle.
