Assiniboia Filly’s Win Streak Halted

Hidden Grace (Going Commando), a Manitoba-bred who had won nine consecutive stakes to start her career, got edged out by her own stablemate in a quest for a perfect 10-for-10 race record in Wednesday night’s $25,000 Canada Day S. at Assiniboia Downs.

Miss Imperial (Maclean’s Music), off as the as the .55-1 favorite, battled through a three-way fight for the lead and then had enough left to hold off the onrushing 1.35-1 Hidden Grace to post a one-length win. The four remaining entrants were scattered nine lengths behind the top two in the 7 1/2-furlong open stakes.

Both 4-year-old fillies are trained by Murray Duncan, but they do not share similar career paths.

Hidden Grace is owned and was bred by Cam Ziprick, Charles Fouillard and Barry Arnason. She has raced exclusively in Manitoba (nine starts) and Alberta (one start), with five of her nine victories coming against provincial-bred or sales-restricted company.

Hidden Grace’s breeder and owner partnerships are comprised of some of the same people who bred and raced fellow Manitoba-bred Escape Clause (Going Commando). That mare retired last autumn with 20 wins after emerging from Assiniboia to win stakes at Del Mar and Santa Anita before losing only by a nose to Midnight Bisou (Midnight Lute) in the 2019 GI Apple Blossom H. at Oaklawn.

Miss Imperial, owned in partnership by her trainer and the Estate of Garylle B. Stewart, now sports a 9-for-19 record after starting her career on the New York, Fair Grounds, and Oaklawn circuits. Duncan claimed her at Oaklawn Apr. 11 for $25,000, and since shipping to Winnipeg, Miss Imperial has now won three straight open stakes.

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Experts Say Arkansas Derby Split Sample Still On Schedule–The Only Difference Is The World Is Waiting On It

Ever since word leaked out that Charlatan tested positive for a substance widely reported to be lidocaine following the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby on May 2, one of the biggest questions on the minds of readers is – isn't this an inordinately long period of time to wait for the split sample test?

The answer: no, not really.

Dr. Scott Stanley, who previously served as director of toxicology at Truesdail Laboratories and the Kenneth L. Maddy Equine Analytical Chemistry Laboratory at University of California-Davis, said this particular split sample came along at a tough time.

“In general, split tests for drugs detected in urine samples take three to four weeks minimum,” said Stanley, who is now a faculty member at the University of Kentucky's Maxwell H. Gluck Equine Research Center and UK Department of Veterinary Science. “In the busy season — late spring and summer months — those turnaround times often increase because of the heavy workload at most equine labs. This year is much worse, because most of the equine testing labs were shut down because of COVID-19, [and] the few labs still operating had reduced staff with social distancing required. The lab's first priority is to their own clients with split samples scheduled in available time.

“Taking all these circumstances into consideration, I wouldn't be surprise if any split sample this spring were to take six to eight weeks.”

The referee laboratory in this case likely didn't receive the split sample until late May or early June, putting us four weeks into the process. Stewards confirmed to the Paulick Report July 1 that the split results are not yet complete.

Why does it feel to race fans (and certainly, no doubt, to Charlatan's trainer, Bob Baffert) like an awfully long time to wait for results?

Probably because we're not often aware of how long the road between a positive post-race drug test and a stewards' ruling is until after a case is concluded. Just days ago, we reported on a settlement reached between trainer John Sadler and the California Horse Racing Board for three medication violations incurred in April and May 2019 for gabapentin and clenbuterol. In early February, Louisiana stewards fined trainer Joe Sharp for levamisole positives his horses incurred in December, which he said were the result of a deworming product.

The public typically isn't aware of drug positives until after a split sample has come back, an investigation is complete, and the stewards issue a ruling. That's because most racing jurisdictions have rules or statutes specifying post-race positives be kept confidential for some period of time. In some states, it's until the stewards make a ruling, in others it's until a hearing has been held, and in still other cases it's for a set period of time after the positive has been reported by the laboratory to the regulatory body.

The lone exception to this could soon be California. The California Horse Racing Board found itself under fire last year after the New York Times revealed 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify tested positive for scopolamine after his Santa Anita Derby win. A split sample confirmed the presence of the substance, and a CHRB investigation concluded it was a result of contamination from jimson weed. The regulatory body held a hearing into the matter behind closed doors (in August 2018, roughly four months after the race in question) and no one knew it had happened at all until the Times report. For many, it was the lack of transparency in the process, which was completely permissible by state statute, that was more troubling than the positive test.

Since then, California SB 800 has sought to change the state's Business and Professions Code on this point. Among other provisions, the bill would add a section to existing law requiring the CHRB to put on its website results of “all nonconfidential official test samples” within five business days of confirmation of the split sample or the waiver of split sample by the trainer rather than keep those results confidential until after a hearing and ruling.

SB 800 has passed the California Senate unanimously and has moved on to the Assembly Committee on Governmental Organization as of June 18.

“The confidentiality requirement is in the Business & Professions Code, meaning it takes action by the Legislature, not the Board,” said Scott Chaney, executive director of the CHRB. “If it eventually passes both the Senate and Assembly and is signed by the Governor, it will become law on January 1. We anticipate that all of these things will happen.”

Of course, that still doesn't mean the public will have access to an initial positive test – a test performed by a state-contracted laboratory at the order of a state government body. To some fans and members of the public, it may seem that information should be part of the public record.

On the other side of the fence though, attorneys say disclosing post-race test results without the benefit of a split sample could truncate a trainer's right to be treated as innocent until proven guilty.

“A lab calls a positive and of course that's an allegation — there hasn't been due process,” said attorney Drew Mollica. “So I'm taking this for granted, no commission has ever told me this, but I'm thinking the commission says that it's only an allegation. They don't distribute the purse, they keep it confidential until they litigate it.”

Charlatan ended up with an injury that took him off the Kentucky Derby trail anyway. But if he hadn't, Mollica points out that a positive in a Derby points race has consequences for other trainers and owners as long as it remains unresolved, whether they're told about it ahead of a split sample test or not.

Justify was not disqualified for his post-Santa Anita Derby overage because officials ultimately decided his positive test was due to contamination. But if he had been disqualified in August from his Derby prep win in April, it certainly would have raised questions about the time it takes the commission and laboratories to complete initial testing, split sample testing, an investigation, and a ruling and/or hearing.

“Here's my problem with that in this day and age, especially when it relates to the Kentucky Derby — because of the points to get into the Derby, you have a problem now,” said Mollica. “Horses get into the Derby on the points, so I'm of the opinion that if the test comes up bad in those races, they should announce it because it has ramifications.

“In the real world, you're innocent until proven guilty. We as defense lawyers want due process. But I think there's a competing interest as it relates to these Derby races that get horses to the next level that might not belong there. This is a problem, and I don't think they should award the points until it's been litigated. I know that's a problem, especially if you win points two weeks before the Derby and it gets you in, but there are ramifications here for the people who are second and third.

“Justice delayed is justice denied, I get it. A rush to judgment is also bad. There are competing interests. I understand both sides of it.”

Besides the impacts of disclosure and nondisclosure to trainers and fans, there are other people who could be impacted by knowing which races and trainers are awaiting the results of a split: the employees of the laboratory asked to do the split sample test.

“In my experience at LGC we used a laboratory information management system that assigned a laboratory number to every sample upon receipt,” said Dr. Rick Sams, former laboratory director for LGC Sport Science in Lexington, Ky. “The sample was identified only by this number while in the laboratory so that testing personnel would not know the origin or history of any sample. This was done for the purpose of reducing bias. Nevertheless, I find it unfortunate and disturbing that the findings for this sample were released and the trainer identified before the split sample analysis had been completed because this put the split sample laboratory in a very difficult position.”

The situation could become especially sticky if for some reason the referee laboratory has a different finding than the lab which conducted the initial positive test – how will the public trust the results now that everyone, including the referee lab, knows the split sample came from an accomplished trainer and an impactful race? Could the release of the initial test results impact the commission's case (or Baffert's) if the stewards end up disqualifying the horse?

For now, it seems everyone – the horse's connections and the public alike – have more questions than answers.

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StableDuel Launches Daily Paid Entry Contest

StableDuel, a racing fantasy game, officially launches Friday, July 3, with daily paid entry contests. Contestants can begin setting up their stables immediately in preparation.

Featuring an interactive platform that provides players a feeling of virtual ownership, StableDuel contests require contestants to select a stable of horses from a specific race card within the confines of a salary cap. Horses are assigned a price (or salary) based on their morning-line odds. Players earn points when their horse finishes in the top five places, based on the order of finish and the margin of victory or defeat. In addition to daily contests, StableDuel offers players an annual leaderboard competition with selective year-end contests.

“We are extremely excited to launch StableDuel. It has been a long process that was done with the player in mind,” said StableDuel’s Chris Brothers. “It has always been a belief for us that you cannot force someone to like a sport, but if you can get them to like a game that revolves around the sport, there is a better chance they will become a fan.  Between exciting daily contests, the media content, and an interactive platform, we feel StableDuel will be the hub of innovation bridging mainstream sports with the Thoroughbred racing world.”

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Equibase Analysis: Mr. Freeze Poised For Fireworks In Met Mile

The Fourth of July feature on a fantastic day of racing at Belmont Park is the Grade 1, $500,000 Runhappy Metropolitan Handicap, otherwise known as the Met Mile. Historically one of the biggest races in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile division, this year's race lives up to that billing with eight horses running the one-turn mile trip.

Leading the field in terms of earnings is Code of Honor, who has earned more than $2.4 million to date, some of that when winning the Grade 1 Travers Stakes last summer two races after a second place finish (via disqualification of the winner) in the Kentucky Derby. Making his first start as a four year old last month, Code of Honor won the Grade 3 Westchester Stakes and appears set for even better.

The horse with the top earnings in the field is McKinzie, who has amassed a $3.4 million bankroll. McKinzie rallied from next-to-last in the 2019 Metropolitan Handicap and comes into the race off a “ridden out” win in the Grade 2 Triple Bend Stakes. Mr Freeze is another talented horse with $1.4 million in career earnings. Mr Freeze won the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes at this one-turn mile trip in February to prove he belongs at this level.

Vekoma won the Grade 2 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes in April, 2019 and went into the Kentucky Derby well-regarded but finished 13th. A perfect two-for-two in 2020, Vekoma comes off a win in the Grade 1 Carter Handicap at Belmont last month. Westchester runner-up Endorsed and Carter runner-up Network Effect hope to turn the tables on Code of Honor and Vekoma, respectively.

Hog Creek Hustle won the Grade 1 Woody Stephens Stakes last June on Belmont Stakes day but is winless in seven races since then. Warrior's Charge rounds out the field of eight. He won the Grade 3 Razorback Handicap in February in the same manner he's earned all of his other three wins, leading from start to finish. As such, we know who will be trying to lead these on a merry chase from the start.

Mr Freeze and Vekoma are my two top contenders to win this year's Runhappy Metropolitan Handicap, but of the pair I will give Mr Freeze preference. The reason is he's a true dirt miler. Last September, Mr Freeze won the Ack Ack Stakes for a then career-best 115 Equibase Speed Figure and he hasn't really run a bad race since then. Stretching out to two-turns and a mile and one-eighth for the Fayette Stakes in October and the Clark Stakes in November, Mr Freeze finished respectably to the top horse in the handicap division in North America, Tom's d'Etat, winner of the Stephen Foster Stakes last weekend. After another big effort when second in the Pegasus World Cup Invitational in January, Mr Freeze cut back to a one turn mile and won the Gulfstream Park Mile in impressive fashion, duplicating the 115 figure earned in the Ack Ack. Once again Mr Freeze stretched out to nine furlongs for the Oaklawn Handicap when last seen in May, finishing third of 13. Incidentally, the winner of that race (By My Standards) came back to run second to Tom's d'Etat in the Foster. For this race, Mr Freeze is once again cutting back from a mile and one-eighth to a mile and if his last two efforts at a mile are any indication, he's going to be very tough to beat. On another positive note, jockey Manny Franco rode Mr Freeze just once previously, when victorious in the Gulfstream Park Mile.

Vekoma, although running just twice in 2018, was a top two-year-old as he won the Nashua Stakes in November in only the second start of his career. Similarly, he won the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes in his second start as a three year old, before disappointing badly when 13th in the Kentucky Derby. Given nearly 11 months to mature after that, Vekoma made a very sharp debut as a four year old in March with a stirring victory in the Sir Shackleton Stakes with a career-best 109 figure. Improving sensationally in his second start of the year, Vekoma put to shame a good field in the Carter Handicap last month at Belmont when drawing off to a seven and one-quarter length win. The 116 figure earned in that race is the second best last race figure in the field, just one point shy of the 117 McKinzie earned last month at the same seven furlong trip. However, what Vekoma has going for him which McKinzie does not is being a four year old, Vekoma is still physically maturing and can improve. A perfect four-for-four in one-turn races in his career and with a perfect two-for-two record at Belmont, Vekoma is another strong contender to win this year's Metropolitan Handicap.

Code of Honor, like Vekoma, was a top three-year-old last year, winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes in March. After third place finishes in the Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby, placed second in the latter race after the disqualification of Maximum Security, Code of Honor proved himself once again when winning the Dwyer Stakes at this one-turn mile trip at Belmont last July. Stretching out to a mile and one-quarter, Code of Honor won the Travers Stakes before a career-best effort and 114 figure when coming up a nose short in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, then was moved up to first after bumped by the original winner. The long campaign apparently took its toll as he finished seventh in the Breeders' Cup Classic. However, after seven months off, Code of Honor came back strongly to win the Westchester Stakes last month over the track with a 113 figure effort that bears improvement in his second start off that long layoff.

Endorsed led into the stretch in the Westchester but had no answer for Code of Honor in the late stages. The 112 figure was a career-best and he certainly could be a factor once more. McKinzie earned a 117 figure winning the Triple Bend Stakes last month in California and earned back-to-back 121 figures in two-turn races, winning the Whitney Stakes last summer at Saratoga then second in the Awesome Again Stakes. He finished second in the Breeders' Cup Classic to end his 2019 campaign. McKinzie, along with Hog Creek Hustle has mostly a deep closing style when he runs into a very hot pace as evidenced by his eighth to second place effort in last year's Metropolitan Handicap. Hog Creek Hustle earned a career best 106 figure when coming up a nose short in the H. Allen Jerkens Stakes last summer but has not come close to running that kind of race since. With only one “early” pace type in this race, Warrior's Charge (with a career-best 104 figure), I think the late charges of both McKinzie and Hog Creek Hustle may be a bit muted. Network Effect earned a career-best 111 figure winning the restricted Big Drama Stakes in May but was no match for Vekoma in the Carter and is another who may be held to a minor award.

Win Contenders:
Mr Freeze
Vekoma
Code of Honor

Runhappy Metropolitan Handicap – Grade 1
Race 9 at Belmont Park
Saturday, July 4 – Post Time 5:47 PM E.T.
One Mile
Three Years Olds and Upward
Purse: $500,000
T.V.: NBC 5 – 6 PM E.T.

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