BOYLE Sports Irish Grand National Chase Extended Handicap Chase Grade 3

BOYLE Sports Irish Grand National Chase Extended Handicap Chase Grade 3 Fairyhouse 5.0 PM 6th April

The Jukebox Kid has strong recent form with multiple wins including two from his last three starts over similar trip distances.

He has demonstrated he handles good ground well in those victories and looks fit and in peak condition ahead of this extended handicap.

His experience over fences at a high level adds to his claims while the trip should suit his stamina profile perfectly. Kiss Will is a progressive young chaser with solid recent placed efforts including multiple seconds and thirds in competitive company.

He has shown he can act on good going and benefits from top class handling and a stable in excellent form.

His fitness is clear from consistent runs without breaks and he has the class to figure prominently in a big field.

Soldier In Milan boasts winning form in his most recent starts and has posted credible efforts when stepped up in grade.

He performs best on good ground where his jumping comes to the fore and he stays the trip well.

Current fitness is high after a productive campaign and he enters this race with momentum on his side.

C’Est Ta Chance has improved markedly with two recent victories over fences and looks a horse still on the up.

He has handled good conditions effectively in the past and his progressive profile suggests he can cope with this extended distance.

The absence of recent hard races keeps him fresh and he has the experience needed for a race of this nature.

Argento Boy showed smart novice chase form with back to back wins before a solid effort in stronger company.

He acts on good ground and the step up in trip is expected to play to his strengths given his pedigree and style.

Fitness remains good and he brings class that could see him competitive off his current mark.

Monbeg Genius has mixed recent form but has posted some eye catching efforts in handicaps and stays well.

He has previous experience around this track and on good going where he has performed creditably.

Current condition looks adequate after a break and he cannot be ruled out if the race sets up for a closer.

One Big Bang has been consistent with placed efforts in his last few starts and looks well suited to good ground.

His stamina has been proven over long trips and he arrives in good order with solid recent fitness.

Course and distance preferences align well and he has the experience to handle a big field handicap.

Better Times Ahead has shown improved form with wins and strong placings on goodish ground recently.

He stays the trip and has course form that suggests he can go well at Fairyhouse.

Fitness is not an issue and he looks capable of another big run if conditions remain favourable.

Showurappreciation is on a roll with a recent hat trick of wins and looks in career best form.

He has handled good ground effectively and his progressive nature makes him a major player.

Current fitness is excellent with no hard races in quick succession and he has the class for this level.

Better Days Ahead has been in good heart with recent placed efforts and prior course experience at Fairyhouse.

He acts on good going and the trip is well within his range given his staying pedigree.

He remains fit and competitive and his handicap mark looks workable on current form.

Goraibhmaithagat has posted some strong efforts including a recent win and consistent placings.

He performs well on good ground and has the stamina for this marathon trip.

Fitness levels are high and he brings useful experience from similar handicaps.

Search For Glory has good placed form earlier in the season though his latest runs have been mixed.

He has shown he stays well on good ground and the trip should suit.

Recent fitness is acceptable after a short break and he has the ability to bounce back in a handicap of this type.

Shecouldbeanything has been competitive in recent starts with placed efforts and looks to stay the trip.

She has form on good going and remains relatively lightly raced for her age.

Current condition is sound and she could improve further with a clear round.

Kurasso Blue has shown flashes of ability with wins and placings but recent form has been patchy.

He handles good ground and the distance is within his compass.

Fitness is reasonable and he could outrun his odds if things fall his way.

Waterford Whispers has been consistent in recent handicaps with creditable efforts on good going.

He stays well and has the experience for a race like this.

His current fitness looks good and he is capable of a bold show.

Flicker Of Hope has winning form but has been inconsistent of late though he stays the trip.

He has shown he can act on good ground and remains fit enough.

A return to form is not out of the question in an open handicap.

O’Toole has some strong past performances including wins over fences and stays well.

He has handled good conditions before and looks fit enough for this assignment.

Experience is a plus though recent form needs improving on.

The Enabler has posted some useful efforts in handicaps and can handle good ground.

He stays the trip and has reasonable recent fitness.

He could be involved if the pace is strong.

Weveallbeencaught has shown glimpses of ability in recent runs and stays well.

Good ground is no problem and he has the experience required.

Fitness is adequate and he is not without a chance.

Yeah Man has been competitive at times though recent form has been below par.

He has form on good going and the trip is suitable.

Current condition is fair and he might find a bit more on his day.

Simulation Results:

The Jukebox Kid 10.11 percent equating to approximately 9 to 1.
Kiss Will 8.03 percent equating to approximately 11 to 1.
Soldier In Milan 7.47 percent equating to approximately 12 to 1.
Argento Boy 6.79 percent equating to approximately 14 to 1.
C’Est Ta Chance 6.71 percent equating to approximately 14 to 1.
Showurappreciation 6.05 percent equating to approximately 16 to 1.
One Big Bang 5.88 percent equating to approximately 16 to 1.
Better Days Ahead 5.5 percent equating to approximately 17 to 1.
Better Times Ahead 5.4 percent equating to approximately 17 to 1.
Search For Glory 5.27 percent equating to approximately 18 to 1.
Monbeg Genius 4.78 percent equating to approximately 20 to 1.
Goraibhmaithagat 4.03 percent equating to approximately 24 to 1.
Waterford Whispers 3.97 percent equating to approximately 24 to 1.
Shecouldbeanything 3.37 percent equating to approximately 29 to 1.
Kurasso Blue 3.31 percent equating to approximately 29 to 1.
The Enabler 2.72 percent equating to approximately 36 to 1.
Weveallbeencaught 2.7 percent equating to approximately 36 to 1.
Flicker Of Hope 2.66 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.
O’Toole 2.66 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.
Yeah Man 2.61 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.

The best bet is The Jukebox Kid.

The two value selections are Argento Boy and C’Est Ta Chance where the live current betting odds are longer than the equivalent odds implied by the simulation percentages.

The two steamer bets are Showurappreciation and Goraibhmaithagat where the early race card prices were at least four points higher than the live current betting prices and they rank among the higher percentage chances from the simulation.

 

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