Queen Mother Champion Chase Cheltenham Wednesday 13th March
The Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham is one of the most prestigious two-mile steeplechases in the National Hunt calendar. It’s a race that requires speed, agility, and flawless jumping. Here’s a summary of the key trends that have characterized the winners of this race:
Age:
Most winners are aged between 7 and 9, indicating that horses in this prime age bracket have the right mix of maturity and vigor.
Betting Odds:
Favourites have a good track record, with 5 of the last 12 winners being favourites.
Moreover, 11 out of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, suggesting that the betting market is a good predictor of success.
Recent Form:
Winning form is crucial, with 6 of the last 12 winners having won their last run before the Queen Mother Champion Chase.
Additionally, 9 out of the last 12 winners ran within the last 53 days, indicating that recent racing activity is beneficial.
Course Experience:
Previous runs at Cheltenham are advantageous, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least one previous run at the course, and 8 having at least one win there.
Distance Form:
Experience over the race distance is important, with all of the last 12 winners having at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 10 having at least 6 wins over this distance.
Chase Form:
A strong track record in chases is key, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 7 previous chase runs, and all winners having at least 5 previous chase wins.
Rating:
High ratings are indicative of a horse’s potential, with 10 out of the last 12 winners being rated 164 or higher.
Grade Wins:
Success in graded races is common among winners, with all of the last 12 winners having at least one Grade 1 win and at least one Grade 2 win.
Season Form:
Consistent performance throughout the season is important, with 11 out of the last 12 winners having at least 2 runs that season, and all winners having at least one win that season.
Trends
Age:
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9.
Price:
5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, and 11 of the 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting.
Last Run:
6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Queen Mother Champion Chase, and 9 of the 12 winners ran within the last 53 days.
8 of the last 12 winners ran in the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) on their last run, with 4 of those winning and 2 placing.
Previous Course Form:
11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, and 8 of the 12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham.
Previous Distance Form:
All of the last 12 winners had at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, and 10 of the 12 winners had at least 6 wins over this distance.
Previous Chase Form:
11 of the last 12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, and all 12 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins.
Rating:
10 of the last 12 winners were rated 164 or higher.
Grade 1 Wins:
All 12 winners had at least 1 Grade 1 win.
Grade 2 Wins:
All 12 winners had at least 1 Grade 2 win.
Season Form:
11 of the last 12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, and all 12 winners had at least 1 win that season.
Future Form:
The race often serves as a stepping stone to further success, with 9 of the last 12 winners winning on their next run after the Queen Mother Champion Chase.
These trends provide valuable insights into the profiles of past winners and can be a useful guide for predicting future outcomes in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham.
