Newmarket: “He Goes In There With A Favourite’s Chance.” Vandeek To Star On Super Saturday?

   Saturday's action features four Group 1s and four Group 2s across Newmarket and ParisLongchamp, with all ages and distances covered from the six furlongs of the G1 Juddmonte Middle Park S. and G1 Juddmonte Cheveley Park S. to the two and a half miles of the G1 Qatar Prix du Cadran. It is the former pair of prizes that take centre stage, with so much at stake for the precocious stars of their generation. The onus is very much on KHK Racing's G1 Prix Morny winner Vandeek (GB) (Havana Grey {GB}) in the Middle Park given the manner of his success in that Deauville feature, having taken the G2 Richmond S. en route.

Since 2012, five winners of the Morny have followed up here including three of the last four in Blackbeard (Ire) (No Nay Never), Perfect Power (Ire) (Ardad {Ire}) and Earthlight (Ire) (Shamardal), so the Crisfords' leading light has history on his side. Ed Crisford is keen to see if he can become the latest to do the tough double.

“It's a good field, as you'd expect for a race of this stature, but I'd say he goes in there with a favourite's chance,” he said. “It will be the first time he's encountered ground this fast, but he's a nice-moving colt by Havana Grey so that shouldn't be a problem.”

   Third in the Morny after his well-documented training troubles, Ballydoyle's TDN Rising Star River Tiber (Ire) (Wootton Bassett {GB}) is the obvious thorn in Vandeek's side now that he has a clear preparation for this highlight. He had a host of smart peers behind including Bucanero Fuerte (GB) (Wootton Bassett {GB}) in Royal Ascot's G2 Coventry S. on ground similar to the unseasonably fast conditions he encounters here and Ryan Moore is happy to tackle Vandeek again and another quintet of group winners including the G2 July S. hero Jasour (GB) (Havana Grey {GB}) from the always-to-be-feared Clive Cox stable.

“He wasn't at peak fitness [for the Morny] and I thought he shaped very well in the circumstances,” Moore said of River Tiber, who represents the stable successful in three of the last six runnings. “I would expect him to get a lot closer to the winner here and I'd say we had a very fair shot at winning this group one. He's in good shape.”

 

 

Relief Rally Poised For Cheveley Park Coronation

Whatever wins Newmarket's Cheveley Park S. will first have to see off Simon Munir and Isaac Souede's Relief Rally (Ire) (Kodiac {GB}), whose sole defeat in five starts was as a result of coming out the wrong side of a head-bobber with Crimson Advocate (Nyquist) in the G2 Queen Mary S. at Royal Ascot. Having dealt with every European rival thrown at her so far, including Ballydoyle's Cherry Blossom (Ire) (No Nay Never) in York's G2 Lowther S. last month, the William Haggas trainee has some new contenders to front up to here but the willingness to fight is almost her forte.

Jockey Tom Marquand has faith that she can come through her most important bout to date. “She has taken big steps forward with each of her runs and she was unfortunate not to win at Ascot, but she has shown a high level of form,” he said. “I was really looking forward to riding her over six furlongs at York, as I thought it would suit her so well and she proved us right.”

One of the lesser-known rivals to Relief Rally is Wathnan Racing's Criterium d'Ete scorer Jasna's Secret (Fr) (Galiway {GB}), who saw off the smart yardstick Zorken (Fr) (Goken {Fr}) in that valuable Deauville prize and is entitled to due respect as a result. Whether Carlos and Yann Lerner's bargain €42,000 Arqana Deauville September purchase has the know-how to cope with some hardened opponents remains to be seen, with the G3 Albany S. scorer Porta Fortuna (Ire) (Caravaggio) and the G3 Princess Margaret S. scorer Sacred Angel (Ire) (Dark Angel {Ire}) boasting the touch of class necessary to win one of these.

 

Capulet Heads Strong Royal Lodge Cast

Newmarket's G2 Juddmonte Royal Lodge S. is one of the day's more intriguing contests, with Ballydoyle's G2 Champions Juvenile S. runner-up Capulet (Justify) taking on Godolphin's G3 Solario S. winner Aablan (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}) and Sheikh Abdullah Almalek Alsabah's Listed Ascendant S. scorer Al Musmak (Ire) (Night Of Thunder {Ire}). Another in the mix for the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf qualifier is Jeff Smith's unbeaten Ghostwriter (Ire) (Invincible Spirit {Ire}), the recent winner of a seven-furlong Ascot novice from which the impressive subsequent winner Military Artist (Munnings) emerged.

Ryan Moore said of Capulet, “He did it nicely on his debut at Dundalk last month and he obviously improved a good deal when running Diego Velazquez to half a length at Leopardstown last time. That form looked strong at the time and it looks even better now with the well-beaten fourth, Deepone, coming out and winning the Beresford next time. All of these have the potential to take a big step forward, most notably Ghostwriter maybe, but he deserves to be the favourite as it stands as the Leopardstown form is the best on offer going into the race.”

Clive Cox said of Ghostwriter, “His first success at Newmarket on the July course, and the way he was balanced and produced a winning debut, gives me confidence he will handle the track. He followed that up with a really impressive success at Ascot and showed a lot of class. He has thrived throughout, he is a wonderful physical, big, strong colt and I'm looking forward to seeing him step up to a mile. He is very deserving of running in this sort of grade. He's a horse we have always loved and he definitely sets the pulse racing.”

 

Trueshan Looks For Second Cadran

At ParisLongchamp, the Cadran sees Alan King's star stayer Trueshan (Fr) (Planteur {Ire}) bid to double his tally in the prestige marathon having mastered Stradivarius (Ire) (Sea The Stars {Ire}) in style on easy ground two years ago. Back with a bang after a second wind operation in the G2 Doncaster Cup earlier this month, he has no genuine staying star of that calibre to contend with in a disappointing turnout but he does have Ballydoyle's ever-reliable Emily Dickinson (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}). While the ground is not as easy as she would like it, neither is it for Trueshan and a repeat of the form of her latest second in the G1 Goodwood Cup would be good enough should the veteran giant deliver one of his deflating efforts.

Aidan O'Brien said of her, “We think the trip will suit her and any ease in the ground will suit her as well. If the ground had come up soft or heavy, we probably would have had a good, strong think about the Arc, but we thought over the Cadran trip she would be more comfortable. She does stay very well and she seems in good form. When she ran in the Gold Cup she ran very well even though the ground was quick–she didn't have any problems with it.”

 

 

All To Play For In Open Royallieu

There is no stand-out in the Qatar Prix de Royallieu and it is fair to say that there have been better editions of the 14-furlong contest since it was elevated to top-level status in 2019. They have included an Oaks heroine in Anapurna (GB) (Frankel {GB}) and the top-class Wonderful Tonight (Fr) (Le Havre {Ire}), but this is a line-up of wannabes at present headed on the formbook by Wathnan Racing's G2 Prix de Pomone winner and G1 Prix Vermeille runner-up Melo Melo (GB) (Gleneagles {Ire}). Most of her rivals have had plenty of chances at a lesser level and missed the target, so perhaps The Aga Khan's progressive G3 Stanerra S. and G3 Irish St Leger Trial S. winner Shamida (Ire) (Australia {GB}) could be the answer or the Arbibs' G2 Lillie Langtry S. and G2 Park Hill S. scorer Sumo Sam (GB) (Nathaniel {Ire}) if she can transfer her soft-ground dominance to this livelier surface.

 

Big Things On The Horizon?

ParisLongchamp's trio of Group 2 races see Moyglare Stud's exciting Harbour Wind (Ire) (Nathaniel {Ire}) look to enhance his reputation in the staying category in the Qatar Prix Chaudenay; Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum's G3 Sovereign S. dead-heater Embesto (GB) (Roaring Lion) act as one of the more promising types lining up for the Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein; and one of the day's more exciting runners in Horizon Dore (Fr) (Dabirsim {Fr}) look to boss the Qatar Prix Dollar.

Horizon Dore, who has flaunted his wares in the G2 Prix Eugene Adam and G3 Prix du Prince d'Orange, is one of the more lively outsiders at present for next month's G1 Champion S. and he sports the Gousserie silks already renowned at that Ascot fixture. Compatriots Cirrus Des Aigles (Fr) (Even Top {Ire}) and Skalleti (Fr) (Kendargent {Fr}) and also the British raider Dubai Honour (Ire) (Pride Of Dubai {Aus}) have taken this en route to making a major play at the Champion and so Saturday's closing act of ParisLongchamp's pattern-race bonanza takes on extra weight.

 

Sunday's Supporting Group 1s Confirmed

Friday saw ParisLongchamp's five other Arc-supporting Group 1 contests finalised, with the opening two being the big juvenile prizes. The Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere features Philippe Allaire and Haras d'Etreham's unbeaten G3 Prix la Rochette-winning TDN Rising Star Beauvatier (Fr) (Lope De Vega {Ire}), while the Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac includes Newtown Anner Stud Farm's impressive G2 May Hill S. and G3 Prestige S. winner Darnation (Ire) (Too Darn Hot {GB}) and Haras d'Etreham and Craig Bernick's G2 Prix du Calvados-winning  TDN Rising Star Les Pavots (Ire) (No Nay Never).

In the Prix de l'Opera Longines, Yeguada Centurion SL's G1 Poule d'Essai des Pouliches and G1 Prix de Diane heroine Blue Rose Cen (Ire) (Churchill {Ire}) takes on 11 rivals, while the 19 due to assemble for the Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines include the star sprinting mare Highfield Princess (Fr) (Night Of Thunder {Ire}) and the G1 Qatar Prix de la Foret sees last year's winner Kinross (GB) (Kingman {GB}) favourably drawn in two bidding to provide Frankie Dettori with the ultimate Paris send-off.

 

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Aqueduct: Saturday’s 11-Race Card, Including Four Graded Stakes, Moved To Sunday

The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) has moved Saturday's 11-race card at Aqueduct Racetrack to Sunday and pushed Sunday's 10-race program to Wednesday due to torrential rainfall causing widespread flooding and hazardous conditions in the New York metropolitan area.

Friday's 11-race card was canceled with more than five inches of rain expected and Ozone Park under a flash flood warning and flood watch on Friday. Heavy rainfall will continue throughout Friday and into Saturday.

Saturday's card, headlined by the Grade 1, $500,000 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic, will move in its entirety to Sunday with a first post time of 12:05 p.m. Eastern. The lucrative 11-race program also features the Grade 2, $400,000 Woodward, the Grade 2, $250,000 Gallant Bloom and the Grade 2, $250,000 Vosburgh, a “Win and You're In” for the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Sprint.

The 10-race card originally scheduled for Sunday will move in its entirety to Wednesday with a first post time of 1:05 p.m. Wednesday's action is co-headlined by a pair of Grade 2 “Win and You're In” qualifiers for juveniles at 1 1/16 miles on turf. The $200,000 Pilgrim awards a berth to the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf while the $200,000 Miss Grillo for fillies awards a berth to the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.

Aqueduct Racetrack will remain open for simulcasting on Friday and Saturday, and online wagering is available through www.NYRABets.com.

For additional information on the Belmont at the Big A fall meet, as well as a complete stakes schedule, visit NYRA.com.

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Saturday’s Card at Aqueduct, Led by GI Turf Classic, Moved to Sunday Due to Torrential Rain

The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) has moved Saturday's 11-race card at Aqueduct, featuring a quartet of graded stakes races, to Sunday and pushed Sunday's 10-race program to Wednesday due to torrential rainfall causing widespread flooding and hazardous conditions in the New York metropolitan area.

Friday's 11-race card, featuring the GIII Noble Damsel and Ashley T. Cole, was canceled with more than five inches of rain expected and Ozone Park under a flash flood warning and flood watch on Friday. Heavy rainfall will continue throughout Friday and into Saturday.

Saturday's card, headlined by the GI Joe Hirsch Turf Classic, will move in its entirety to Sunday with a first post time of 12:05 p.m. Eastern. The stacked 11-race program also features the GII Woodward S., the GII Gallant Bloom S. and the GII Vosburgh S., a “Win and You're In” for the GI Breeders' Cup Sprint.

The 10-race card originally scheduled for Sunday will move in its entirety to Wednesday with a first post time of 1:05 p.m. Wednesday's action is co-headlined by a pair of Grade II “Win and You're In” qualifiers for juveniles at 1 1/16 miles on turf. The Pilgrim S. awards a berth to the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf while the Miss Grillo S. for fillies awards a berth to the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.

The all-turf Monmouth-at-Meadowlands cards for Friday, Sept. 29 and Saturday, Sept. 30 have also been canceled due to the inclement weather.

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Equibase Analysis: Astronaut Could Prove Tough To Catch In Joe Hirsch Turf Classic

Nine marathon turf horses were entered for the Grade 1, $500,000 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes at Aqueduct's Belmont at the Big A meet, with the winner likely to return in five weeks to compete in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Turf at Santa Anita Nov. 4.

Last year's Joe Hirsch winner, War Like Goddess defends her title, having finished third in the 2022 Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), and 2017 winner Beach Patrol followed up his Joe Hirsch win with a runner-up effort in the Breeders' Cup. Rebel's Romance attempts to get back into the form shown winning last year's Breeders' Cup Turf with a top showing here, having not finished when last seen in July in the Grade 2 Bowling Green Stakes as he lost his jockey after clipping another horse's heels.

Stone Age was second behind Rebel's Romance in last year's Breeders' Cup Turf but is another who hasn't run well since then, with fifth, 12th and fifth-place efforts since then. Astronaut won the G2 Red Smith Stakes last fall at a marathon distance (1 3/8 miles) but finished 10th in March in his only start this year and hopes to recover previous top form at the level. Pioneering Spirit enters the race off a win in the Bernard Baruch Stakes earlier this month, with a third-place effort in the G1 Sword Dancer Stakes prior to that.

Grand Sonata won the G3 Kitten's Joy Stakes last year as a 3-year-old but has won just one of 11 races since then. So High appears overmatched, with seventh- and eighth-place finishes in three graded stakes this year. Soldier Rising has been competitive at the level, finishing second in the G1 Manhattan Stakes in June then second again in the Sword Dancer last month. Similarly, Adhamo won the G1 United Nations Stakes in 2022 and is making only his second start of 2023, with a third-place finish in the G1 Arlington Million Stakes last month to possibly improve upon.

Top Contenders

Astronaut is very interesting in this year's Joe Hirsch, particularly when you consider none of the other eight horses in the field have shown much interest in leading in the early stages of their races. Channel Maker, who won this race in 2018 and 2020 and who was second (by a half-length) in 2019, had the same running style and used it to great advantage and I expect the same from Astronaut.

In his final start of 2022, Astronaut led from start to finish in the similar G2 Red Smith Stakes, run at 11 furlongs on the Aqueduct turf. He beat 11 other horses in that race, earning a career-best 111 Equibase Speed Figure, and never gave any a chance to run as he opened up by a couple of lengths in the stretch before coasting home. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche was aboard that day, as he will be for this race.

Astronaut started just one time this year, back in March in the Mac Diarmida Stakes, where he did not lead early and faded to 10th of 12 after stalking the pacesetter in second. There's no doubt Astronaut can run this mile and one-half trip, as he finished second in the 1 3/4 San Juan Capistrano Stakes (G3) in 2021. Particularly considering there is likely to be a very soft or yielding turf for this year's Joe Hirsch Turf Classic, it might be very difficult for any horse to get firm footing and stop an easy early leader like Astronaut.

Adhamo is a Grade 1 winner in a Grade 1 race, which can be an important separating factor when handicapping top races. Adhamo has won just one of seven races in the U.S. since importing from Europe in late 2021, landing in the top barn of Chad Brown (who also saddles Stone Age). In his U.S. debut, Adhamo rallied furiously from last of 11 to just miss by a head in the G3 Fair Grounds Stakes, earning a career-best 110 figure in the process. Three races later, Adhamo won the United Nations Stakes at 11 furlongs with a 104 figure.

Following a sixth of seven finish in last year's Turf Classic, Adhamo took eight months off, returning to rally from 10th to third in the Arlington Million Stakes at a mile and one-quarter last month, with a 109 figure. Likely to improve nicely second off the layoff and with Flavien Prat staying aboard, having ridden the horse to victory in the United Nations last year, Adhamo may have the best chance to close and win if Astronaut cannot lead from start to finish.

War Like Goddess, a mare, was racing against males for the first time in her career in this race last year and won easily by nearly three lengths with a 102 figure. She followed that up four weeks later when not disgraced a bit as she finished third (rallying from 11th) in the Breeders' Cup Turf Stakes, improving to a career best 124 figure. Returning to the races this spring, War Like Goddess won the G3 Bewitch Stakes (104 figure) then regressed to finish sixth in the G1 New York Stakes. She then rebounded with a top effort, though beaten a neck, in the G2 Glens Falls Stakes last month, at the mile and one-half distance of the Joe Hirsch. As such, War Like Goddess looks capable of running as well in this race as she did last year and rounds out the main group of win contenders.

About some of the rest:

A lot of eyes, and betting dollars, will likely be on Rebel's Romance and Stone Age, the one-two finishers in last year's Breeders' Cup Turf. Although they earned field high figures of 127 and 125, respectively, with those efforts, there are concerns about their current form. This is because Rebel's Romance finished seventh in his first start of 2023 in the G1 Dubai Sheema Classic in March, then didn't get much out of his effort in the G2 Bowling Green Stakes in late July when, unfortunately, he clipped another horse's heels and lost his jockey.

Similarly, Stone Age finished last of 12 in his 2023 debut in February in Qatar, then faded to fifth and was badly beaten by 11 lengths last month in the Sword Dancer Stakes on a yielding course.

The rest of the field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures, is Grand Sonata (108), Pioneering Spirit (101), So High (GB) (111) and Soldier Rising (GB) (112).

Top Win Contenders

Astronaut

Adhamo

War Like Goddess

Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes – Grade 1, $500,000

Belmont At The Big A

Saturday, Sept. 30 – Race 6, Post Time 2:40 PM E.T.

1 1/2 Miles on Turf; 3-Year-Olds and Upward

Ellis Starr is national racing analyst for Equibase

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