HISA Reviewing Circumstances Surrounding Recent Equine Fatalities At Saratoga

The Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority released the following update on Thursday afternoon:

HISA closely reviews every equine fatality that takes place under its jurisdiction.

On Aug. 5, HISA began conducting an expanded review of the circumstances surrounding recent equine fatalities at Saratoga Race Course. HISA officials are reviewing necropsy results, veterinary records, racing and training histories, surface maintenance logs and weather records gathered by local veterinarians and other officials.

HISA is collaborating with officials from the New York Racing Association and the New York State Gaming Commission in its review, and sharing findings in real time as these reviews are ongoing. The final findings of HISA's review will be made public and be used to inform potential interventions moving forward.

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Equibase Analysis: Scotland Primed For Travers Upset Over Forte

Travers Stakes Features Derby Winner Mage vs. Jim Dandy Winner Forte

By Ellis Starr – National Racing Analyst for Equibase

 

The Grade 1, $1.25 million Travers Stakes drew a strong field of seven, with three entering the race off stakes victories. Favoritism is likely to go to Forte, winner of the G2 Jim Dandy Stakes at Saratoga four weeks ago. Arcangelo, who beat Forte by 1 1/2 lengths in the G1 Belmont Stakes in June, certainly has proven himself with the top 3-year-olds in North America.

The same can be said for Mage, who wasn't disgraced at all when second in the G1 Haskell Stakes last month, two races following his upset win in the G1 Kentucky Derby. National Treasure is another proven at the level as he won the G1 Preakness Stakes in May, but that was followed up by a sixth-place effort in the Belmont. Tapit Trice won the G1 Blue Grass Stakes in April but since then has been uncompetitive, with a seventh-place effort in the Derby, a third-place finish in the Belmont and a fifth-place result in the Haskell.

Scotland is a very interesting 3-year-old who enters the Travers off a strong win in the Curlin Stakes at Saratoga five weeks ago. Disarm rounds out the field and has run well at the level as he was second in the G2 Louisiana Derby, fourth in the Kentucky Derby, won the G3 Matt Winn Stakes and was most recently fourth in the Jim Dandy.

Top win contenders:

There is little doubt in my mind Forte can win this year's Travers Stakes, but I'm going to start with Scotland as my top choice and he's certainly going to pay more for a win bet if he succeeds as he is 12-1 on the morning line. Just a nose shy of a perfect four-for-four record, Scotland is the most lightly raced horse in the field. That's no concern considering his Hall of Fame trainer, Bill Mott, has rarely been known to overreach with horses in his care and particularly with 3-year-olds. As a horse that has only run four times, Scotland may have the most room to improve among the strong Travers field and that bodes very well for his chances.

Stretching out to a mile for the first time in career start number three in June, Scotland earned a career-best 99 Equibase Speed Figure, which incidentally was the same figure Forte earned when second in the Belmont Stakes one week later. Then, when stretched out to two turns for the first time in the nine-furlong Curlin Stakes last month, Scotland not only improved to a 107 figure very similar to the 109 figure Forte earned winning the Jim Dandy Stakes eight days later at the same distance and over the same track, he did so with ease.

Since then Scotland was flattered as Curlin runner-up Il Miracolo just won the G3 Smarty Jones Stakes earlier this week, and it must be noted that Cagliostro, who finished second behind Scotland in his June 3 win, was second in the Smarty Jones as well. As to having the pedigree to successfully run the 1 1/4-mile trip of the Travers, there is no issue because Scotland is a son of Good Magic, the sire of Mage, who proved 10 furlongs to be no issue when winning this year's Kentucky Derby. With it being likely National Treasure will go for the lead as he did when winning the Preakness and before fading to sixth in the Belmont, Scotland is very likely to be in a great spot in the early stages. From there jockey Junior Alvarado, who has been aboard for all three wins, can press the gas pedal at the top of the stretch to get the lead and hold off Forte for the upset win.

Forte has absolutely no knocks, except he will be the prohibitive betting choice. He finished first in five graded stakes in a row starting with the G1 Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga last summer and ending with the G1 Florida Derby this past spring, with his best figure 106 earned winning the G2 Fountain of Youth Stakes in March. After a setback which resulted in being withdrawn from the Kentucky Derby, Forte ran very well in the 1 1/2-mile Belmont after nine weeks away from the races. The 99 figure earned in that race was significantly bettered to 109 when winning the Jim Dandy Stakes at Saratoga four weeks ago, a race in which it appeared Forte was not going to win until the final yards when his athleticism and determination, as well as that of jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr., helped him prevail by a nose.

Blinkers added for that race may have helped as well, and so on a pattern for further improvement off what is the best last race figure in the field, Forte certainly figures to be right there at the finish once again.

Honorable mention goes to Arcangelo and to Mage, and I wouldn't argue with anyone who considered them to have as much probability to win as either Forte or Scotland. Having run five times, Arcangelo is the second most lightly raced horse in the field behind Scotland, and he too has three career wins. Those three have come in succession, with 97, 97 and 100 figures. The biggest of those victories came in the Belmont Stakes on June 10, and considering Arcangelo won on March 18 after being off since January 18, the two month rest he's coming back from is of no concern. Still, it might take a bigger improvement than from the 97 figure earned winning the Peter Pan Stakes in May to the 100 in the Belmont to be competitive with the 107 and 109 figures earned by Forte and Scotland recently which are likely to be repeated or bettered.

Similarly, Mage went from a 102 figure when second behind Forte in the Florida Derby to 104 when winning the Kentucky Derby, but since then earned a 99 figure behind National Treasure in the Preakness then 102 when second in the Haskell Stakes five weeks ago. On the other hand, Mage had been away from the races for nine weeks between those two so could improve and be right there at the finish with Forte, and hopefully Scotland, in this year's Travers Stakes.

The rest of the field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures, is Disarm (106 when fourth behind Forte in the Jim Dandy), National Treasure (102 winning the Preakness) and Tapit Trice (103 when winning the Blue Grass Stakes).

Win Contenders in preference/probability order:

Scotland

Forte

Honorable mention goes to both Arcangelo and to Mage

Travers Stakes – Grade 1

Race 12 at Saratoga, Saturday, August 26 – Post Time 6:11 p.m. ET

1 1/4 Miles for 3-Year-Olds

Purse: $1.25 Million

Ellis Starr is national racing analyst for Equibase.

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‘Beauty’ To Debut, But Colt She Unexpectedly Foaled At Belterra Remains ‘Mystery’

Three weeks after Rich Strike (Keen Ice) shocked the racing world with an 80-1 upset of the GI Kentucky Derby last spring, winning trainer Eric Reed encountered an even bigger surprise at his Belterra Park barn: A 3-year-old filly he'd been breezing for her first lifetime start unexpectedly gave birth to a foal on May 28, 2022, without anybody being aware she was pregnant.

Now 15 months later, that unraced Gio Ponti filly, Beautyatitsbest, has not only weaned her colt to health, but has overcome medical issues of her own. She returned to training earlier this year, and her owner and co-breeder, Jack Willoughby, Jr., likes the filly's chances in her long-awaited debut in Saturday's opener at Belterra, a $7,500 maiden-claimer.

The racing prospects for her yearling colt, however, are still up in the air.

“He's doing good. He's turned out with the other yearlings from his crop at my farm,” Willoughby told TDN. “He looks like he's going to be big enough to run. But I don't think he'll be able to race. I don't know who his daddy was, that's the thing.”

Without a foal certificate from The Jockey Club, the baby out of Beautyatitsbest lacks both racing credentials and an official name.

Willoughby and his wife, Rachel, who run Stonetown Stables, a boarding, breaking, lay-up, and broodmare service farm on 70 acres in Stamping Ground, Kentucky, have taken to calling the colt “Mystery” while trying to figure out what his future holds.

Unexpected backstretch stall births are not at all common. But maybe once a decade or two anecdotal news of one will pop up at some American track. When the story about Beautyatitsbest and her foal was first reported last year, Reed told The Paulick Report the filly had shown no signs of pregnancy other than she wouldn't shed weight.

Although Beautyatitsbest had been at both Reed's Mercury Equine Center in Lexington at age two and under his Belterra shed row at three, at one point she had returned to Willoughby's farm to recover from bucked shins. Reed told the Paulick Report last year that he believed she got in foal at Stonetown when turned out in a paddock with some male juveniles who had been recently gelded but could have been still carrying sperm before their castrations took full effect.

Willoughby, though, told TDN on Wednesday he's not quite sure that's how it happened.

“I don't think she got in-foal at my farm,” Willoughby said. “I think it happened at Mercury. They had her for about 11 to 12 months. And she was never with any stallion here. So what I'm thinking is, the first 30 days he had her turned out at the farm there, and I'm thinking they put them together thinking the others were geldings, and they weren't.”

TDN asked Shannon Luce, the communications director for The Jockey Club, what rules or guidance the registry might have for an “unknown sire” situation. Luce responded with the following emailed explanation and an offer to help:

“If the colt born at Belterra Park meets all requirements of registration of the Principal Rules and Requirements of The American Stud Book, he is eligible for registration with The Jockey Club.

“In order for the colt to be issued a Certificate of Foal Registration, the correct sire of the foal would have to be determined and the DNA sample pulled from the colt would have to qualify with the sire. To the extent possible, the registry office would help the owner determine the sire,” Luce wrote.

Willoughby said he isn't sure right now if he'll pursue the DNA testing option for Mystery.

Mystery | Jack Willoughby

As for Beautyatitsbest, Willoughby said she “was kind of shell-shocked” in the aftermath of her unexpected delivery–which matched the mood of her caretakers.

“I wasn't sure she was going to make it back. She had a lot of problems. She had a lot of circulation problems and things like that, but she's come through all of it now and she's doing great. She weaned and got to be turned out for about four or five months, just to 'be a horse', before she went back into training,” Willoughby said.

That training, though, hasn't been with Reed. Willoughby changed conditioners for his small racing stable earlier this year, moving from a Derby-winning trainer with 40 years of industry experience to Robert Lee Clark, who has a 6-for-86 lifetime record dating to 2014. Willoughby cited cost as a factor in making the switch.

“I had to go where I could get more bang for my buck,” Willoughby said. “So I've got five or six in training now versus two.”

Clark has had a respectable Belterra meet so far this summer with limited stock, posting a 2-2-1 record from seven starts.

The Willoughbys are an endangered species on a Thoroughbred landscape that once was flush with smaller-scale, family-run farms. They have a broodmare band of five, maybe sell one foal a year at auction, and race the rest of each year's crop wherever the horses fit in. Over the past 30 years, the economics of the bloodstock and racing industries have been brutal on those types of operations. With foal crops declining, farm costs rising, and racetracks closing, it's harder than ever for these sorts of outfits to earn profits on their investments.

“It's tough,” Willoughby acknowledged. “You know, I'm a working man. I have to go out and go get it on every day. I'm self-employed. Run my own businesses. We run a farm, a machine shop, and we do our own horses and everything, too. So we're kind of a special story on all of it, really.”

Beautyatitsbest is dual-entered at Belterra in two versions of the same maiden-claiming condition on Aug. 26 (at a mile) and Aug. 29 (six furlongs). She drew the rail for both races, but the route lured only three other entrants, so that's where Willoughby intends to start her.

“I'll be honest with you: We expect her to win Saturday,” Willoughby said. “She's sitting on a big one. She's doesn't show any excitement. She acts real professional. She's a tiny horse and she's not real big, but she's got a lot of heart.”

The post ‘Beauty’ To Debut, But Colt She Unexpectedly Foaled At Belterra Remains ‘Mystery’ appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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Anarchist Tabbed Tepid 7-2 Favorite In Competitive 11-Horse Pat O’Brien Stakes

Eleven fast older horses will break from Del Mar's eastern chute Saturday and race over seven demanding furlongs for a $250,000 purse in the 38th edition of the Pat O'Brien Stakes.

The Grade 2 dash goes as Race 10 on an 11-race card with an approximate post time of 6:30 p.m. The day's first post is 2 p.m.

The race is a “Win and You're In” special for the $1,000,000 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, which will be run on Saturday, November 4, at Santa Anita. A tally in the Pat O'Brien guarantees a spot in the starting gate for that affair with all fees paid.

The O'Brien is named for the award-winning actor who was a pal of multi-media star Bing Crosby and together they founded Del Mar racetrack back in 1937.

Saturday's renewal of the stakes is deep in contention and Del Mar's morning line maker, Jon White, had to work hard to sort out the bunch. He finally came up with Ilium Stables' Anarchist, who was beaten a head by win machine The Chosen Vron following a furious finish in the July 29 Bing Crosby Stakes at six furlongs. The son of Distorted Humor, trained by Doug O'Neill, will once again be ridden by Ramon Vazquez on Saturday and go to the post a lukewarm favorite at 7/2.

Here's the full field for the headliner from the rail out with riders and morning line odds:

  1. Moose Mitchell (Mario Gutierrez, 5-1);
  2. Go Joe Won (Jose Valdivia, Jr., 50-1);
  3. Hoist the Gold (Reylu Gutierrez, 12-1);
  4. Sir Atticus (Mike Smith, 5-1);
  5. C Z Rocket (Geovanni Franco, 8-1);
  6. Brickyard Ride (Juan Hernandez, 5-1);
  7. Spirit of Makena (Joe Bravo, 4-1);
  8. Visitant (Antonio Fresu, 8-1);
  9. Anarchist (7-2);
  10. Vivir Con Alegria (Hector Berrios, 20-1), and
  11. Bye Bye Bobby (Drayden Van Dyke, 20-1).

Spirit of Makena, a 5-year-old by champion Ghostzapper, had a bad trip in the Crosby and finished far back. But prior to that, the George Papaprodromou-trained horse won three straight, including the San Carlos and Triple Bend stakes at Santa Anita.

C Z Rocket will be making his fourth consecutive start in the O'Brien. The 9-year-old gelding out of the Peter Miller barn won it in 2020 and finished second in 2021. Last year he didn't have the best of trips and wound up far back.

Brickyard Ride, a 6-year-old Clubhouse Ride horse, has won 13 races and more than $2-million in trainer Craig Lewis' care. He's a sprint specialist but ran gamely in the mile and one-sixteenth San Diego Handicap here on July 29 to hang on for third in his latest effort.

Both Moose Mitchell and Sir Atticus take their first tries with stakes horses coming off sharp scores over allowance types.

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