Letter To The Editor: The Numbers Speak Loudly

After reading the various commentaries over recent days by Ambassador Mack and Bill Finley and the Letters to the TDN Editor on the synthetics debate, I heard Bill say during this week's TDN Writer's Room that we could reduce fatalities by the hundreds with a surface shift. A close analysis shows the numbers are much greater than that.

First a step back. The industry needs a revamp in the way we present this discussion to the public at large and those opponents who would have our “social license” go the way of the circus or greyhound racing. The public sees round, large numbers, not a statistic of “fatal injuries per 1,000 starts” as provided by the Equine Injury Database. That is statistical measure that we use in our own echo chamber, but one that has very little meaning to those outside of the industry. The public (and non- industry press) see 21 deaths at Aqueduct in the winter of 2012, 42 deaths at Santa Anita in 2019 and 12 deaths at Churchill Downs in the past month. Headlines repeatedly scream these numbers back at us.

A look at the Injury Database shows 6,036 fatalities on dirt over the past 14 years, a very loud number for opponents to latch on to. While granted that most starts in the database were on dirt, if we were to apply the fatality rate on synthetics over the same period (1.11/1000), those 6,036 fatalities would fall to 3,599 or 2,437 fewer. Considering the improvements in synthetic surfaces over the past 10 years, the rate per thousand for synthetics over the past decade is .87/1,000. Applying this rate to the dirt fatalities brings the number down to 2,820, a reduction of 3,216.

Not hundreds, but thousands of horses might be saved. While obviously not a popular stance with everyone, these numbers speak loudly in support of Ambassador Mack's position and might enable us to reframe the numbers and, most importantly, the public's perception.

Rodman J. Law is an attorney with the firm Greenberg Traurig, and is co-founder of the firm's Equine Industry Group.

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Magnifica! In Italian Wires Just a Game

ELMONT, NY — Peter Brant's 'TDN Rising Star' In Italian (GB) (Dubawi {Ire}) took her customary spot on the front end and never looked back en route to a dominating 3 3/4-length wire-to-wire tally as the 1-5 favorite in Friday's GI Just a Game S. at Belmont Park. Last year's GI Del Mar Oaks heroine and G1 Coronation S. runner-up Spendarella (Karakontie {Jpn}) was second; Wakanaka (Ire) (Power {GB}) was third.

In Italian left the gate from her rail draw running beneath Irad Ortiz, Jr. and led through an opening quarter in a hard-to-believe :24.47 while kept well off the inside. Under a snug hold heading into the far turn, the chestnut was still going easy as the five-horse field bunched up approaching the top of the stretch. In Italian switched over to her right lead right on cue after a couple of taps on her right shoulder from Ortiz and she put on a show from there to collect her fourth career Grade I victory in style.

Third in this race last year behind her former stablemate and the commonly owned champion Regal Glory (Animal Kingdom), In Italian concluded her 2022 season with wins in the GI Diana S. at Saratoga, the GI First Lady S. at Keeneland and a game second-place finish in the GI Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf in Lexington. In Italian kicked off her 5-year-old campaign with a front-running victory in Keeneland's GI Jenny Wiley S. Apr. 15.

“She got a nice, easy quarter and then she was off the rail and in control,” winning trainer Chad Brown said after saddling his sixth Just a Game winner in seven years. “I think that was the end of it there.”

Brant added, “She's probably as good as anyone we've ever had, and that's saying something.”

Brown and Brant both added that a title defense in the July 15 Diana could be next.

Pedigree Notes:

In Italian is one of 166 graded/group winners worldwide for leading sire Dubawi. In Italian's group-winning dam Florentina has an unraced 4-year-old gelding named Spanish Empire (GB) (Kingman {GB}) in Great Britain and an unraced filly named Fiorenza (Aus) by that same sire foaled in 2020. Spanish Empire was purchased by Tom Magnier for A$1.8m at the Magic Millions Gold Coast yearling sale in 2021. Fiorenza brought A$650,000 at the 2020 Inglis Chairman's Sale. The 15-year-old mare Florentina, a half-sister to Australian Group 1 winner Gathering (Aus) (Tale of the Cat), was barren to Pierro (Aus) in 2021 and 2022.

Friday, Belmont Park
JUST A GAME S.-GI, $485,000, Belmont, 6-9, 4yo/up, f/m, 1mT, 1:34.00, fm.
1–IN ITALIAN (GB), 124, m, 5, by Dubawi (Ire)
                1st Dam: Florentina (Aus) (GSW-Aus, $250,958),
                                by Redoute's Choice (Aus)
                2nd Dam: Celebria (Aus), by Peintre Celebre
                3rd Dam: Twyla (Aus), by Danehill
'TDN Rising Star'. (475,000gns Ylg '19 TATOCT). O-Peter M.
Brant; B-Fairway Thoroughbreds (GB); T-Chad C. Brown; J-Irad
Ortiz, Jr. $275,000. Lifetime Record: 11-7-3-1, $1,910,308.
Werk Nick Rating: B+.
Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
Click for the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.
2–Spendarella, 124, f, 4, by Karakontie (Jpn)
1st Dam: Spanish Bunny, by Unusual Heat
2nd Dam: Spanish Beam, by El Gran Senor
3rd Dam: Solar Beam, by Majestic Light
($220,000 Ylg '20 KEESEP). O/B-Gainesway Thoroughbreds Ltd.
(NY); T-H. Graham Motion. $100,000.
3–Wakanaka (Ire), 122, m, 5, by Power (GB)
1st Dam: Storyline (Ire), by Kodiac (GB)
2nd Dam: Petite Histoire (Ire), by Desert Story (Ire)
3rd Dam: Danccini (Ire), by Dancing Dissident
(£3,500 Ylg '19 GOFFPR; $975,000 RNA 4yo '22 KEENOV).
O-Team Valor International and Gary Barber; B-Mrs Jean
Brennan (Ire); T-William I. Mott. $60,000.
Margins: 3 3/4, 1, NK. Odds: 0.20, 4.20, 12.70.
Also Ran: New Year's Eve, Speak of the Devil (Fr).
Click for the Equibase.com chart and the TJCIS.com PPs. VIDEO, sponsored by TVG.

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Royal Ascot Hopeful Seeking Gold To Be Offered on Tattersalls Online

Royal Ascot prospect Seeking Gold (Ire) (Havana Gold {Ire}) will sell next Friday, June 16, Tattersalls Online announced on Friday. The 3-year-old colt, trained by Tom Clover, is being pointed toward the Listed Britannia S., which is run over a mile on the Thursday of the Royal Ascot Meeting.

Seeking Gold has won once and placed once in five starts, his most notable performance a second, beaten just three-quarters of a length, behind subsequent G1 2000 Guineas hero Chaldean (GB) (Frankel {GB}), in his debut last year.

Bidding on Seeking Gold will take place from 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. on the Tattersalls Online website.

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Letter To The Editor: We Need More ‘Throwback Horses’

As a casual fan with no financial investment in the industry, I can objectively state that from my outsider's perspective the problems associated with the horse racing industry are troubling. No one is okay with any horse injury or death. Horse people love and care so well for the horses.

I find it difficult to believe the major contributing factors to horse injuries today are caused by racing surface issues and improper use of medication.  Advancements in equine medicine and care are drastically improved to what was available during the 20th century. Racing surfaces, if anything, are better and safer than in the 1970s and 80s. Tracks are kinder, and face strict testing. They are built with better drainage, and there aren't nearly the amount of “bull rings” and lower-level tracks in operation. These tracks lacked resources to spend on the surface or facilities.

The injury problem lies elsewhere.

When our family was breeding and racing horses in 80s, horses made more starts per year with less time between starts. Most horses started at least eight to 12 times a year. It was not unusual for a horse to race twice a month. Horses often made starts weekly. They might race 10, 15, and even 20 times per year. Kelso made nine or more starts five times. John Henry double digit starts five times and nine starts at age nine! Affirmed and Spectacular Bid made at least nine starts each of the three years they raced.

We need “throw back horses” today. There are fewer foals being born each year, and there are more “fragile” foals, percentage wise, than ever before.  It's no wonder there is difficulty carding races. When you have less foals and they make less starts, the numbers will play out as we are seeing.

Forty years after their racing career, I can still recall some good “throw back horses.” Dusky Duke raced mostly in Chicago, and made 96 starts between ages two and nine and won 20 races. Our friends, the Kelleys, had a mare named Wolf Creek Girl who made 88 starts from two to eight, most of which took place at Fairmount Park. I'm not sure, but she made have made a few starts at local county fairs too, and she retired sound as far as I recall.

I remember horses campaigned in New York by Oscar Barrerra, who entered them often. One was named Starbinia, who made 31 starts at six and 24 the next year at age seven. And, by the way, he was regally bred, being by Graustark out of Never Bend mare.

We have arguably more regally bred foals born each year, but we don't have many “throwback horses” to show for it. Is it not obvious the major contributing factor in horse on-track injuries is due to having more foals from stallions (and mares) not genetically oriented to produce long-term soundness? The top stallions are bred to twice the number of mares they would have been forty years ago. So many of these stallions won big races, earned a great deal of money, but they weren't hard-knocking grinders who showed up in the entry box often. We need  more “throwback horses.”

Thoroughbred industry leaders need to face reality. They can either keep breeding horses that may fetch a big price at the sale, perhaps be able to produce high speed numbers, maybe win a graded stakes, and who knows, maybe even a classic, that will race a few times a year, and if they aren't a race track casualty or broken down and sent to early retirement, sent to the breeding shed to reproduce their own fragility, and go out of business as the pressures mount from animal rights activists, or they can look for the “throwback horses” that have always been the backbone of every aspect of the Thoroughbred industry.

Brett Beasley
Fan of Thoroughbred Breeding and Racing
Creal Springs, Illinois

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