Bet to win.
Sandown 2.05 Whats In The Bag – win bet.
Fontwell 6.45 Another Mystery – win bet.
Bet to win.
Sandown 2.05 Whats In The Bag – win bet.
Fontwell 6.45 Another Mystery – win bet.
The Grade 3, $150,000 Salvator Mile Stakes drew a strong field of 10 older horses with more than $4 million in combined earnings between them.
Leading the field in career wins, with 10, is Nimitz Class, who has won five in a row including the Native Dancer Stakes in April. Ridin With Biden has won one-third of his 21 races, seven to be exact, including the Kris Kringle Stakes in January. Artorius won the Curlin Stakes last summer before a sixth-place finish in the Grade 1 Travers Stakes and he returns from an eight-month layoff. Petulante has run just five times but has never finished worse than second and moves into the stakes ranks for the first time.
Far Mo Power finished first but disqualified for interference in the Parx Dirt Mile Stakes last September and was third in the Stymie Stakes in February so appears to fit at this level. Octane is another who has been competitive in stakes as he finished second in the Grade 3 Fred W. Hooper Stakes in January. He also enters the race off a strong win at the end of April. Trademark won the Commonwealth Turf Stakes last November by four lengths when that race was moved to dirt because of weather and although winless in three races this year may have a say in the outcome. Empty Tomb has run well recently with a win and a runner-up finish in allowance optional claiming ranks, but did show stakes form when second in the Queens County Stakes in December 2021.
Bourbonic is best known for winning the Grade 2 Wood Memorial in April 2021 before a 13th-place finish in the Kentucky Derby one month later, but he has won just one of 11 races since. Bourbon Calling rounds out the field, with a pretty good record of 15 first or second place finishes in 36 races including three wins in a row earlier this year.
Analysis and top contenders:
It's going to be tough for the rest of the field to beat Nimitz Class based on the way he's been running since last December. Nimitz Class has won five in a row, and in the last four races has been dominant in the last eighth of a mile by being in front by at least three lengths then coasting home the rest of the way. Jockey Jevian Toledo has been in the saddle for all five wins after never having ridden the horse previously and that speaks volumes for the horse and jockey relationship that could lead to Nimitz Class securing his 11th career win in his 17th race. He's also run faster than the rest of the Salvator Mile field, and more than once, as the 118 Equibase Speed Figures earned winning the John B. Campbell Stakes in February and the 113 figure earned winning the Harrison E. Johnson Memorial Stakes in March are better than any figure earned at any point by the other horses in the race.
In securing his last four victories, Nimitz Class has shown the ability to lead from the start or to sit in second for the opening half-mile before taking over and drawing away, and that is likely to be the strategy employed by Toledo here for this 4-year-old who may still not have run his best race.
Even with Nimitz Class being the horse to beat, Ridin With Biden is no slouch, having earned $475,000 to date in his career compared to $464,800 for Nimitz Class, while winning seven of 21 races and finishing second in five others. Ridin With Biden proved stakes worthy starting in the summer of 2021 when leading late before settling for second in the Grade 3 Dwyer Stakes at Belmont. Then after six defeats and possibly as the result of returning to the races as a gelding, Ridin With Biden really got good, winning or placing in six of eight straight stakes races, including back-to-back wins in November of last year and January of this year. The best three of those efforts earned him consistent 106 and 107 figures which aren't as good as the two best figures Nimitz Class earned recently. On the other hand, considering Nimitz Class earned 106, 103 and 105 figures in three of his five recent wins and if he repeats those efforts, any of the best recent races Ridin With Biden has run might be good enough to win the Salvator Mile if repeated.
Petulante appears ready for his first stakes try as he returned from a 3 1/2-month layoff and made short work of a tough allowance field at this distance last month at Churchill Downs. This 4-year-old got a late start as he made his career debut last July but every race he's run has been an “A” effort, particularly his race in January of this year at the same distance of the Salvator Mile, winning by four lengths with a 101 figure. Off the layoff last month Petulante earned a 100 figure which might have been higher but there was no need for jockey Luis Saez (who rides again) to ask him for more speed as he had easily broken clear of the rest of the field in the stretch. As a 4-year-old with only five races under his belt, Petulante has a lot of upside and can use the rail draw to his advantage to save ground while either trying for the early lead from the start of relaxing as far back as fourth in the early stages, which he's done in his previous victories.
The rest of the field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures, is Artorius (101), Bourbon Calling (105), Bourbonic (103), Empty Tomb (110), Far Mo Power (114), Octane (105) and Trademark (106).
Win Contenders:
Nimitz Class
Ridin With Biden
Petulante
Salvator Mile Stakes – Grade 3
Monmouth Park, race 12
Saturday, June 17 – Post Time 5:40 PM E.T.
One Mile
Three Year Olds and Upward
Purse: $150,000
Ellis Starr is national racing analyst for Equibase.
The post Equibase Analysis: Salvator Mile Has Nimitz Class Bidding For Sixth In A Row appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.
With each news story about another therapeutic medication positive for trainer Todd Pletcher in recent weeks, racing fans have asked a question that's likely uncomfortable for racetracks – when will Todd get the Bob Baffert treatment?
Read our previous reporting on the legal history of racetracks and exclusion here.
As of this week, Pletcher has racked up six medication violations in less than a year, though many of them have only recently been made public. There was the much-publicized disqualification of Forte from last year's G1 Hopeful Stakes for an overage of meloxicam. That race was in September but before that, Pletcher runner Capensis was found to have an elevated phenylbutazone level after an allowance race at Saratoga in July 2022. In September, Mind Control won the Parx Dirt Mile but is alleged to have tested positive for an unidentified substance afterwards.
After races held at Gulfstream on Dec. 10, two Pletcher horses tested positive in Florida – one for omeprazole and one for dexamethasone. A third horse picked up a stacking violation in Florida for levels of ketoprofen and phenylbutazone after a Feb. 3 race.
To many people, that doesn't sound so dissimilar from the case of Baffert, who was much scrutinized in the aftermath of Medina Spirit's positive test from the 2021 Kentucky Derby for having had seven drug violations in 21 months. Baffert's therapeutic medication violation history was cited by both Churchill Downs Inc. in their decision to ban him from the Kentucky Derby for two years and by the New York Racing Association in their decision to deny him stalls and entries for one year. Baffert fought to have both bans dropped and was ultimately unsuccessful. His appeal of the stewards' disqualification of Medina Spirit from the 2021 Kentucky Derby is ongoing.
There are a few key differences between the Pletcher situation and Baffert's. For one thing, several of Baffert's violations were in high-profile races. The disqualification of Charlatan from the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby for a lidocaine positive was ultimately reversed, but carried significant weight since it had an impact on Kentucky Derby qualifying points. Then, Gamine tested positive for the corticosteroid betamethasone after the rescheduled 2020 Kentucky Oaks, after Baffert said the filly received injections of the medication into both hocks outside the prescribed withdrawal window.
The Kentucky Horse Racing Commission has pointed out that Medina Spirit's positive for betamethasone falling after Gamine's in the same jurisdiction under the same regulations negates any argument that Baffert was unaware of what the rules may be regarding that drug. (Baffert's attorneys have claimed that the origin of the drug in Medina Spirit was a topical cream and that it therefore shouldn't count per Kentucky's rules.)
For his part, Pletcher's recent drug offenses haven't been repeats, other than the commonly-used phenylbutazone (though we still don't know what the substance of concern may be in Pennsylvania). He hasn't made the same mistake in the same jurisdiction, and neither the Hopeful nor the Parx Dirt Mile can be said to carry the same weight as the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks.
Baffert went on a tour of mainstream media in the days after he announced Medina Spirit's betamethasone positive, and some of his remarks needled Churchill Downs. Baffert's shifting public story and invocation of “cancel culture” as the reason for what he considered mistreatment was an aggravating factor for the racing commission and both racetracks. Pletcher, by contrast, has had little to say publicly about the therapeutic overages, and those have gone mostly undetected by mainstream media.
It's also true that while all substances for both trainers are therapeutic drugs that are considered to have legitimate purpose in the horse, corticosteroids and anesthetics do have stricter withdrawal times regarding their use in relationship to a race, for fear they could have a greater impact on a pre-race veterinary exam. One of Pletcher's positives was for a corticosteroid, while Baffert had two, plus two for lidocaine, which can be used as a local anesthetic or nerve block (although he attributed its presence to contamination from human use of an over-the-counter pain patch).
The timing and location of the violations also probably makes a difference in how they are handled. Pletcher's most recent violations were in Florida, and while the February overage was his sixth, it's likely that Florida tracks didn't find that out until trade press reported on the accumulation this month. Likewise, Pennsylvania officials probably didn't know about his New York positives last fall, because the New York cases were only recently adjudicated and had rulings published. Stewards in Pennsylvania and Florida haven't made initial decisions on his positives there, and he's appealing the rulings against him in New York, so none of these cases are final.
The timing of Baffert's civil cases fighting racetrack exclusion decisions meant that stewards had issued rulings in all his positives at the time judges had to make decisions about whether racetracks were right to exclude him. Even if he was still appealing one or more of those stewards' rulings, the tracks could at least say that those rulings existed.
Is all of that splitting hairs? Perhaps the differences are minute and shouldn't shield Pletcher from private track exclusion while Baffert got pushed out. Or perhaps they're a lot of little subtleties that mean this comparison isn't apples and apples.
Of course, it can't escape notice that while Baffert's violations did not take place in New York, NYRA still felt compelled to act against him. Two of Pletcher's cases originated there, but he is also one of the largest barns on the NYRA circuit, if not the very largest and one of the most successful. When he transfers his horses to South Florida, he has a tremendous impact on entries at Gulfstream, too. Baffert ships horses for high-profile graded stakes races in Kentucky and New York, but his presence at those facilities isn't a deciding factor in whether races fill. It would be a tough business decision for NYRA to exclude Pletcher, who has already run roughly a quarter of his 445 starts this year at their facilities.
And this, no doubt, is one of the elements that keeps racetracks from enacting their private property rights more often to exclude trainers. (That, and the certainty that a well-funded licensee will drag them to civil court to dispute their right to exclude.) If you're going to exclude one person with one set of circumstances, you're opening the floodgates to people who will ask you why you didn't rule off someone else. But that was the bargain Churchill and NYRA made when they chose to exclude Baffert. Time will tell how they handle the flood.
The post Will Todd Get ‘The Baffert Treatment’? appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.
Hot property at 1-3 for Thursday's Broad Oak Fillies' Novice S. at Haydock, Godolphin's Star Of Mystery (GB) (Kodiac {GB}–Mistrusting {Ire}, by Shamardal) made even those odds look generous as she registered a TDN Rising Star performance when breaking her maiden by 11 lengths. Having met a potentially top-class peer in the Crisfords' Carla's Way (Ire) (Starspangledbanner {Aus}) on debut over nearly 6 1/2-furlongs at Doncaster 12 days previously, the Charlie Appleby-trained half-sister to Dark Angel's GI Summer S. winner Mysterious Night (Ire) and GI Just a Game S. and GI Diana S. heroine Althiqa (GB) looked to have a soft touch here if repeating that form and did so in style under James Doyle.
Keen initially behind the leading pair, the homebred tanked her way to the front at the halfway mark of the six-furlong trip and powered clear with the rail to guide her. The James Ferguson-trained debutante Royal Elysian (GB) (Showcasing {GB}) won the race for second, 1 1/2 lengths in front of the Karl Burke-trained Out Of Line (GB) (Showcasing {GB}). “She ran a nice race on debut and the winner of that race set a decent standard, I thought,” the winning rider said. “It was testament to this filly that she got so close to her and she was green as well. She looks at everything, so I was keen to get her back and my tack shifted back so it wasn't a great first couple of furlongs but she picked up well and there is plenty of improvement to come.”
Star Of Mystery routs them at @haydockraces!
The daughter of Kodiac makes no mistake under @the_doyler after a promising Doncaster debut 12 days ago. Normal service resumed for Charlie Appleby as that's his 5th winner from his past 9 runners. pic.twitter.com/3EUDII0V7D
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) June 15, 2023
Pedigree Notes
Star Of Mystery is TDN Rising Star number six for Kodiac, with this year's 2000 Guineas runner-up Hi Royal (Ire) and past G1 Cheveley Park S. heroine Fairyland (Ire) the pick. She is the fifth foal out of Mistrusting, who took the Listed Boadicea Fillies S. before providing the operation with the two Dark Angel luminaries who have racked up six black-type and graded-stakes wins between them including their three at the highest level. The second dam is the G2 Cherry Hinton S. winner Misheer (GB) (Oasis Dream {GB}), who was also second in the G1 Cheveley Park S. Like Althiqa's first foal born this year, Mistrusting's yearling colt is by the operation's powerhouse Dubawi (Ire).
2nd-Haydock, £9,999, Novice, 6-15, 2yo, f, 6fT, 1:13.15, g/f.
STAR OF MYSTERY (GB), f, 2, by Kodiac (GB)
1st Dam: Mistrusting (Ire) (SW-Eng, $120,206), by Shamardal
2nd Dam: Misheer (GB), by Oasis Dream (GB)
3rd Dam: All For Laura (GB), by Cadeaux Genereux (GB)
Lifetime Record: 2-1-1-0, $8,983. O/B-Godolphin (GB); T-Charlie Appleby. Click for the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.
The post Kodiac Filly A New TDN Rising Star appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.