June, 2023 | Horse Racing Free Tips

Gulfstream: Mandatory Payout Of Rainbow 6 Pool Set For Friday’s Card

A mandatory payout of the Rainbow 6 pool is scheduled for Friday's program at Gulfstream Park, where the popular multi-race wager has gone unsolved for nine racing days following a jackpot hit for $263,655 June 4.

The carryover jackpot pool stands a $149,053.69 heading into Friday's card. The Rainbow 6 jackpot pool is expected to grow near $1 million following betting on Friday.

The Rainbow 6 sequence will span Races 3-8, kicked off by a 5 ½-furlong bottom claiming race for fillies and mares, including a pair of dropdowns for trainer Georgina Baxter in Rasmalai and Shall Return. Mabee Luckynwild draws the rail for trainer Kelsey Danner.

Race 4, a 5 ½-furlong $12,500 claimer on Tapeta for fillies and mares that have not won two races, drew an evenly matched field that will be a 'spread' race for some Rainbow 6 bettors. Mary Eppler-trained Bullock, a dropdown with speed in a race packed with closers, and Kent Sweezey-trained Greek Mojo, a winner on dirt last time out, should have popular support.

Terri Pompay-trained Smart Striker, who will make his first start since finishing second in the June 10 Not Surprising Stakes, may well be a popular Rainbow 6 'single' in Friday's Race 5, a mile-and-70-yard race on Tapeta for Florida-bred 3-year-olds.Pompay has 28 starters going into the week during the summer meet and is 5-10-6.

A seven-furlong maiden optional claimer follows in Race 6. Ralph Nicks-trained Belts 'n Brooks, out of a half sister to Grade 1 millionaire Jackson Bend, is set for his 2023 debut after showing some talent in his 2-year-old season; Victor Barboza Jr.-trained Power Humor, who produced a promising third-place finish against better last time out; and Jena Antonucci-trained Danzig Chips, a game second in his second career start June 2; are among the leading contenders.

Trainer Peter Walder will have two shots at the 1000-win milestone in Friday's Race 7, a mile optional claiming allowance for 3-year-olds and up on the main track. Slim Slow Slider, a winner two starts back in a mile optional claiming allowance, and Big Daddy Dave, who finished second at a mile in his most recent start, will represent Walder in an eight-horse field. Big Data enters off a couple second-place finishes for trainer Michael Lerman.

A $12,500 maiden claimer for 3-year-olds and up on Tapeta closes out the Rainbow 6 sequence in Race 8. Jose D'Angelo-trained Emergency Response returns following a very game second-place finish against slightly tougher in his Tapeta debut. Amador Sanchez-trained Green Millennium, a son of Curlin, returns as a gelding after racing against better last season. Joe Orseno-trained Nyquest Nix makes his second start off a long layoff in an eight-horse field.

On mandatory-payout days, the entire Rainbow 6 jackpot pool is paid out to the bettor or bettors with the most winners in the wager's six-race sequence. The carryover jackpot is usually only paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day's pool usually goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winner, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool.

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Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards To Include Canadian Nominations In 2023

The Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards (TIEA) are pleased to announce 1/ST RACING as the sponsor of the Support Services Award for 2023.

Said Jodie Vella-Gregory, Vice President of Industry Relations at 1/ST RACING: “1/ST RACING is honored and excited to be part of this important industry initiative that recognizes the hard-working individuals who are the backbone of our industry.”

The Support Services Award is one of a total of seven categories in which nominations can be made this year.

Another important change to the 2023 TIEA is the opportunity for individuals working in the Canadian Thoroughbred industry to be nominated.

Katie LaMonica, Charities Manager for Godolphin USA, commented: “Following a recent meeting with our partners, the Jockey Club, the HBPA, TOBA and the Breeders' Cup, we felt it appropriate to extend nominations across the border to Canada. While we might be separated by a border, our industries are very much interconnected, and it really does make sense to make this meaningful revision.”

Godolphin sponsors related awards in Great Britain, Ireland, France, and Australia.

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Champion Wonder Wheel ‘Back To Square One’ In Woodbine’s Selene Stakes

Wonder Wheel, winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies en route to honours as the Eclipse Award winner in her division last year, will be looking to revitalize a subpar sophomore campaign when she makes her local debut in Saturday's Selene Stakes, at Woodbine.

The Selene, the major local prep for the July 23 Woodbine Oaks Presented by Budweiser, will share billing on the blockbuster Canada Day program with the Marine Stakes, the penultimate stakes step on the road to the August 20 King's Plate. Both the Selene, which attracted 10 entrants, and the eight-deep Marine, are open Grade 3, 1 1/16-mile races for 3-year-olds.

Mark Casse, who conditions Wonder Wheel and also will field Solo Album, will be looking for a sixth straight and ninth overall Selene success. Patrick Husbands, aboard for five of those wins, will ride Wonder Wheel for the first time in what is also her debut on a synthetic surface.

Wonder Wheel, who had won Keeneland's Grade 1 Alcibiades at 1 1/16 miles prior to her Breeders' Cup tour de force, began her current season with a second-place finish in the mile and 40-yard Suncoast Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs.

Casse believed that effort would have Wonder Wheel primed for Keeneland's Grade 1 Ashland, which in turn was to be her springboard to the Kentucky Oaks, only to watch her finish a non-threatening sixth in Lexington and then end a troubled ninth of 14 in the Louisville showpiece.

“I was really disappointed with her effort in the Ashland,” said the trainer, from his Ocala base. “And the Oaks was kind of a weird-run race. Then I wanted to get her up there and train her on the Tapeta. I just find that horses thrive at Woodbine, more than anywhere. I just kind of felt like we needed to get her back to square one, try to get her some confidence.”

Solo Album comes into the Selene off a front-running maiden score over 1 1/16 miles when returning to Woodbine for her sixth career start and third of this season.

“She's a filly that's kind of one speed, likes Tapeta, runs long,” said Casse. “She's got a really big pedigree. If she could just get some black type, it would mean a lot for her in the future.”

Saffie Joseph, Jr., whose primary base is Gulfstream Park, has had Blind Spot and Be My Sunshine preparing for the Selene on site and is shipping up Honor D Lady.

Blind Spot finished first in the six-furlong Star Shoot on April 29 but was found to be guilty of interfering with the runner-up and had her number taken down.

The Maryland-bred won the listed Our Dear Peggy over a mile and 70 yards on Gulfstream's Tapeta surface but Joseph expects the Selene to be a tougher spot.

“This is a different class,” he said.

The Kentucky-bred Be My Sunshine will be making her stakes and Tapeta debut after running well at both Gulfstream and Keeneland.

“She missed some time, and might be short a work or two, but I'm hoping she'll run well,” said Joseph.

Honor D Lady ran well when shipping north last fall, ending a close third in the 1 1/16-mile Mazarine. The Kentucky-bred became a stakes winner this spring in the listed Honey Ryder, a one-mile turf race at the Hallandale Beach oval, before rallying to finish third there in the listed Martha Washington over 1 1/16 miles on the synthetic strip.

'She's going into this race with a good chance,” offered Joseph. “She got a little far back last time.”

The Woodbine Oaks eligibles in the field are Tito's Calling, Friends for Life, Dolce Sopresa, Speed Trap and Fortyfiveseventy.

Twin City and Kaukokaipuu both broke through for their first stakes wins at the distance of seven furlongs last out and will be looking to use the Marine as a final stepping-stone to the King's Plate.

The Plate Trial, a 1 1/8-mile race for Canadian-bred 3-year-olds, will be run July 23 but trainers Stuart Simon and Ted Holder plan to bring their respective charges into the King's Plate off a seven-week break.

Twin City had plenty of experience around two turns last year, graduating in his second start going long and then finishing a strong second in the 1 1/8-mile Coronation Futurity.

Following a winter in Ocala, Twin City returned to action here in the open King Corrie Stakes and prevailed by a scant nose under regular rider Gary Boulanger.

“He came back in March,” said Simon, who also owns Twin City in partnership with Brent, Russ, and Roy McClellan. “He's a big horse, and he's always been mentally mature and that's the good part about him. In the Coronation, he was going good at the end. Distance isn't an issue.”

Kaukokaipuu, conditioned by Holder for Culpepper Island Syndicate, failed to find the range in seven starts at 2, but did finish second on five occasions and opened up his sophomore campaign with another runner-up effort. His two starts since then have been impeccable, however, as Kaukokaipuu won his maiden in lengthy fashion and then was a smart winner of the Queenston while giving Holder his first career stakes score.

The Marine represents a change in plans for Kaukokaipuu, who was supplemented at a cost of $2,250.

“I was going to go to the Plate Trial, but with this horse as good as he is I decided not to wait,” said Holder, who also had Kaukokaipuu in Florida with a long-term eye toward to the King's Plate.

“Off his last work, I don't think the distance will be a problem. It was something special.”

With his new regular partner Rico Walcott aboard, Kaukokaipuu breezed six furlongs last Sunday in 1:12.40.

Velocitor, the Coronation Futurity winner, will be looking to rebound off a seventh-place King Corrie finish with fellow King's Plate nominees Stayhonor Goodside, One Bay Hemingway and Simcoe also looking to polish their credentials.

American-bred shippers Turf King (IRE), who is sure to attract serious support with New York-based trainer Chad Brown and Woodbine's leading rider Kazushi Kimura in his corner, and Kentucky invader Midnight Rising complete the lineup.

FIELD FOR THE $150,000 GRADE 3 SELENE STAKES
Post – Horse – Jockey – Trainer

1 – Fortyfiveseventy – Ryan Munger – Barbara Minshall

2 – Friends for Life – Eswan Flores – Stuart Simon

3 – Honor D Lady – Edgard Zayas – Saffie Joseph, Jr.

4 – Dolce Sopresa – Justin Stein – Josie Carroll

5 – Be My Sunshine – Kazushi Kimura – Saffie Joseph, Jr.

6 – Wonder Wheel – Patrick Husbands – Mark Casse

7 – Speed Trap – Luis Contreras – Josie Carroll

8 – Blind Spot – Rafael Hernandez – Saffie Joseph, Jr.

9 – Tito's Calling – Emma-Jayne Wilson – Ross Armata, Jr.

10 – Solo Album – Sahin Civaci – Mark Casse

FIELD FOR THE $150,000 GRADE 3 MARINE
PP – Horse – Jockey – Trainer

1 – One Bay Hemingway – Luis Contreras – Sid Attard

2 – Velocitor – Patrick Husbands – Kevin Attard

3 – Stayhonor Goodside – Emma-Jayne Wilson – Mark Casse

4 – Kaukokaipuu – Rico Walcott – Ted Holder

5 – Turf King (IRE) – Kazushi Kimura – Chad Brown

6 – Twin City – Gary Boulanger – Stuart Simon

7 – Midnight Rising – Reylu Gutierrez – Jordan Blair

8 – Simcoe – Rafael Hernandez – Katerina Vassilieva

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Pat Cummings Joins The TDN Writers’ Room Podcast

Computer Assisted Wagering (CAW) has been a hot topic of late. What we know is that there are a handful gamblers that use computer algorithms to formulate their wagers, are allowed to make their bets at the very last second and receive substantial rebates. But there's a lot we don't know, like how much are they betting, what pools they most prefer and what affect has that had on the “regular” player? In his latest report for the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation (TIF), entitled Sharks & Minnows, TIF Executive Director Pat Cummings dug into the issue. To find out more about his findings, the TDN Writers' Room podcast presented by Keeneland was joined this week by Cummings. He was the Green Group Guest of the Week.

Using data from Del Mar, Cummings concluded that CAW players are betting more each year and that the amount of betting from “everyone else” is declining.

“Not only are the sharks growing, but the minnows are declining,” he said. “For the first time in this paper, were able to really separate how the CAW play has grown and how all other customers have in almost every pool shrunk. Total handle figures are often marketed in the industry press releases, they're touted. It looks like on an annual basis that not a whole lot has changed. That's not telling us the accurate picture. For years now, the Thoroughbred Idea Foundation has wanted to really dive into who's betting, how are they betting, how are they participating and how is the market changing? What we're seeing now more clearly than ever before is what's happening with all other customers. We're talking about people that may bet $10 a year or maybe even $2 million a year. They are a smaller percentage of the pools and declining.”

When asked if this could lead to a “doomsday” scenario, whereby the “sharks” have driven all the “minnows” out of the game, Cummings said that is in fact a concern.

“I'd call it a real threat,” he said. “And I would suggest that some of the biggest sharks are eating some of the smaller ones too.”

He estimated that CAW players now account for 33% of the total handle in U.S. racing

Cummings is not in favor of banning CAW players. He recognizes that if they go away overall handle would plummet, which could be catastrophic. The answer he says is to find ways to level the playing field when it comes to the sharks versus the minnows, starting with the takeout.

“Takeout rates have not come down commensurate with all of this money coming in (from CAW players) at low price points and driven by technology,” he said. “That's the opposite experience that investors have had in almost all other areas, where we have seen costs for customers come crashing down. The days of the $35 stock commission are long gone. And yet 50, 60, maybe even 70% of all trading on the stock market now is high-frequency trading. Ordinary investors in 401Ks and IRAs, regular mutual fund holders, exchange traded funds, different products have been created to allow ordinary investors to buy and hold. And their costs have come down from where they were 20 years ago. We have not seen that same evolution in American horse racing wagering, which remains one of the most expensive gambles out there.”

Cummings also called on the industry to end all jackpot bets. He has found that not only do they keep money out of circulation by cutting down on churn, but that the CAW players often come in and take home a disproportionate amount of the pool at the expense of the regular player.

“If you run a parimutuel wagering business and your goal is to keep collecting commissions on parimutuel wagering, then why introduce a bet that limits the number of times that a customer can keep coming back to your window and churning their money?” he said. “You're going in the complete opposite direction to all traditional business logic, which is you should drive customers back into your wagering pools. Yet, tracks continued to persist with these bets. The jackpots need to go as quickly as possible. Tracks need to revert to a traditional play, get that daily payout, get that churn up. The sport needs churn. It's better for every stakeholder along the way.”

Elsewhere on the podcast, which is also sponsored by Coolmore,https://lanesend.com/ the Pennsylvania Horse Breeders Association, Kentucky Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders, 1/st Racing, WinStar Farm, Lane's End, XBTV.com and https://www.threechimneys.com/ West Point Thoroughbreds, the team of Bill Finley, Randy Moss and T.D. Thornton, took a look at the win by Two Phil's (Hard Spun) in the GIII Ohio Derby and his subsequent injury and retirement. There was a look back at the Royal Ascot meet, where one of the highlights was the win by the U.S. based 2-year-old filly Crimson Advocate (Nyquist) in the G2 Queen Mary S., and a look ahead at Saturday's GI Stephen Foster S. at Ellis Park. The podcastwrapped up with a discussion on a new proposed rule by the New York Gaming Commission which would require all horses to undergo checks by a veterinarian 72 hours prior to a race or a workout.

Click here to watch the Writers' Room podcast or here for the audio-only version.

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