Month: May 2023
Kentucky Derby: Horse deaths overshadow Mage victory
Number 1 Secret Poker Strategy
If you have ever played poker before you know that you can obviously see all the players around you since you play in a circle (unless you’re playing online poker). You just figured out the most important part of poker. You may be thinking that that’s impossible.
You probably think that the most important part is the cards; what cards you get how to use them, ECT… These are very important, you are correct, but it all starts with your ability to use your body language to your advantage. The cards are going to be relatively the same for all the players. Luck usually doesn’t factor in well in poker since everyone has the same chance to get the same cards.
In case luck begins to play a large role in your game then what can you does? A player always has 4 basic choices; you can check, bet or call, raise, or fold. If you are not getting good cards you can always fold right?
This is not always a good idea. You may be leaving large amounts of money on the table in the long run after a few initial folds. Sure you seemingly get away with losing less but you give up the chance to even try. Bluffing is the art of misguidance. You want them to think you have a bad hand one second and the next a great hand with all the best cards that are sure to win you the pot.
How do you accomplish such a thing? Simply with your body language this can be done. If you have good cards act happy. You may not want them to know that you have good cards but it’s a way to change there thinking; now every time you act “happy” they will think you have good cards and may fold.
If you have bad cards and you act happy they might fold because now they are afraid.
What you want to do is create a complicated pattern of sad, happy, indifferent, ecstatic, angry, ECT. Actions for certain hands. You want to throw them off but try and lure them into a safe zone where they think they understand your bluffing pattern and then hit them with the reality. As long as they are trying to keep up with whatever pattern you have, you will have them all under your control.
In one game of poker tournament I was playing in I decided to create very complex poker faces. They where not good they where not bad. I scrunched my face, grabbed my lip and scratched my leg; I did the craziest thing that nobody understood. They had no idea what my faces meant so they assumed that when I didn’t raise that my cards where not good and they would raise and raise. When it came time to show, guess who took home the pot.
The moral of this little story is that you have to be creative. This is step two of poker (after learning the basics and learning them by heart), body language is very important. If you are known as a newbie and you come in they will expect you to show your cards loud and clear through your body language. You can mislead and kill your competition with a good poker face.
Forte Finishes As Top Choice In Preakness Future Wager, Mage Closes At 22-1
Despite being scratched on the morning of an expected start in the Kentucky Derby (G1), Repole Stable and St. Elias Stable's Forte finished the inaugural Preakness Future Wager Saturday as a 4-1 favorite to win the middle jewel of the Triple Crown.
Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher said during Saturday's NBC Derby broadcast that Forte, the 2-year-old male champion of 2022 that has won five consecutive graded-stakes capped by the Florida Derby (G1) April 1, remains in the Preakness mix as long as his bruised foot heals to 100 percent.
The 148th Preakness Stakes will be run Saturday, May 20 at historic Pimlico Race Course. A career winner of 5,528 races and a North American record of more than $458 million in purse earnings, Pletcher has won the Derby twice and Belmont Stakes (G1) four times, but is still seeking his first win in the Preakness. He has started 10 horses in eight Preaknesses dating back to Impeachment's third in 2000, his best finish.
Given unanimous approval by the Maryland Racing Commission at its April 4 meeting, the Preakness Future Wager opened Friday, April 28 and closed at 6 p.m. Saturday, less than an hour before the running of the Kentucky Derby, with $304,326 in the win pool.
Forte, installed by Maryland Jockey club linemaker Keith Feustle as the 4-1 top choice in an initial field of 29 betting interests, held steady as the favorite throughout the wagering. His win streak also includes the Hopeful (G1), Breeders' Futurity (G1) and Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) at 2 and Fountain of Youth (G2) at 3.
Godolphin homebred First Mission, winner of the April 15 Lexington (G3) at Keeneland in just his third career start and first in a stakes, proved popular on the final day of wagering to finish as the second choice at 6-1. Trained by Brad Cox, First Mission was 15-1 on the morning line and began Saturday co-second choice at 9-1 with Angel of Empire.
“Obviously with what happened to Forte today puts more uncertainty into the situation, but I anticipated the late push to come in for First Mission and the field,” Feustle said. “When I lined this, it was a first for me. This kind of morning line is different from a day-to-day morning line. You have to kind of present some value to the people, and it played out like that. All in all, I'd consider it a success.”
Arkansas Derby (G1) winner Angel of Empire, also trained by Cox, wound up third in the Preakness Future Wager at 9-1. Forte's Blue Grass (G1)-winning stablemate Tapit Trice finished fourth at 12-1, while both UAE Derby (G2) winner Derma Sotogake and the field entry of “all other 3-year-olds” were fifth at 13-1.
Chase the Chaos, sitting at 60-1 in the Preakness Future Wager, and Red Route One (30-1) have already earned berths in the Preakness field by virtue of respective qualifying victories in the El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields and Bath House Row at Oaklawn Park.
This year marks the first time the MJC offered advance wagering on the Preakness, the second-oldest of the three Triple Crown races, predating the Derby by three years. Minimum wager was $2, with an 18 percent takeout. Similar to that of future wagers for the Derby and Kentucky Oaks (G1), bettors are not refunded if their selection does not run in the Preakness, which is limited to a maximum of 14 starters.
Two horses, Continuar and Wild On Ice, were removed from the Preakness Future Wager.
PREAKNESS FUTURE WAGER FINAL ODDS
Horse Odds M-L
- Angel of Empire 9-1 12-1
- Blazing Sevens 21-1 50-1
- Chase the Chaos 60-1 99-1
- Confidence Game 25-1 50-1
- Continuar (JPN) SCR 70-1
- Cyclone Mischief 50-1 50-1
- Derma Sotogake 13-1 10-1
- Disarm 40-1 35-1
- First Mission 6-1 15-1
- Forte 4-1 4-1
- Hit Show 45-1 30-1
- Instant Coffee 40-1 50-1
- Jace's Road 60-1 60-1
- Kingsbarns 20-1 15-1
- Lord Miles 70-1 60-1
- Mage 22-1 30-1
- Mandarin Hero (JPN) 18-1 20-1
- Practical Move 19-1 10-1
- Raise Cain 70-1 60-1
- Red Route One 30-1 50-1
- Reincarnate 50-1 50-1
- Rocket Can 60-1 50-1
- Skinner 40-1 20-1
- Sun Thunder 80-1 60-1
- Tapit Trice 12-1 6-1
- Two Phil's 25-1 40-1
- Verifying 30-1 15-1
- Wild On Ice SCR 80-1
- All Other 3-Year-Olds 13-1 8-1
*-$304,326 in pool
*-M-L odds by MJC linemaker Keith Feustle
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