Now Or Never Heads Tattersalls February at 250,000gns

NEWMARKET, UK–Stradivarius (Ire) and friends set the scene for the sale which has a little bit of equine everything on offer. Seven stallions in their first or second seasons at stud paraded through the ring at Tattersalls ahead of the official start of trade, led by Caturra (Ire), a son of Mehmas (Ire) who had made 110,000gns when sold at Tattersalls as Book 2 yearling and has now joined the roster at Overbury Stud alongside the popular Ardad (Ire). 

The TBA-organised parade and various open house sessions at local stud farms draw breeders from all over to Newmarket, as does the February Sale, the traditional opening to the Tattersalls sales year. 

We heard a little about the career of Bushranger (Ire) in yesterday's TDN feature on Tally-Ho Stud and one of his most successful offspring, Now Or Never (Ire), duly took top billing during Thursday's opening session when sold for 250,000gns to Michael Donohoe of BBA Ireland. The half-sister to Group 1 winner Fairyland (Ire) (Kodiac {GB}) plied her trade on the racecourse with great success in both hemispheres, winning the G2 Rose of Kingston S. in Australia and the G3 Derrinstown Stud 1000 Guineas Trial in Ireland. Offered by Tweenhills Farm and Stud as lot 130, the 10-year-old was sold in foal to Kameko on a June 3 cover.

“She was obviously a high-class race filly herself and she is from a proper fast family,” said Donohoe, the leading buyer of the day with seven purchases and who noted that the client he was buying for keep mares in Europe and Australia. “Her late cover and the fact that she missed a year might be the reason why she has not made quite what she might have, hopefully she might be a bit of value.”

A bit of value is what most people are after at the winter mixed sales, and a Galileo (Ire) half-brother to Group 1 victrix to Amazing Maria (Ire) (Mastercraftsman {Ire}) for 140,000gns certainly looks to be just that. The juvenile colt was offered by Barton Sales as lot 93 on behalf of Lady Ogden, the wife of his late breeder Sir Robert Ogden, in whose colours his dam won the Falmouth S. and Prix Rothschild. Tattersalls' own Jason Singh did the bidding on behalf of the colt's new owners Con and Neil Sands of Bronsan Racing, who plan to send him to Ireland to be trained by Joseph O'Brien.

“They are becoming a rare breed these Galileos, and obviously he has been one of the greatest stallions of the modern era and my father, who is the principal of our team, has had this type of horse as a target for a long time,” said Neil Sands via telephone. “We are really delighted to have been able to close out at the price we did, he could have made double that in Book 1.”

With around 40 horses in training the Bronsan Racing is mostly based in Ireland but the team also has interests in Australia and Britain, predominantly on the Flat but including a few jumpers. 

Sands added, “The dream for this horse is for him to become a top racehorse and then a stallion prospect. You have to have that dream, but sometimes we can all be afraid to dream.”

Queenhope (Fr) (Kendargent {Fr}) was initially led out of the ring unsold but a private transaction later in the day led to her being sold for 140,000gns to Imad Al Sagar's Blue Diamond Stud via Hugo Merry. In foal for the second time and carrying to New Bay (GB), the 6-year-old mare has a yearling filly by Galiway (GB). She won twice in France and is a full-sister to the G3 Prix de la Grotte winner Kenhope (Fr) who has already produced a Group 2 winner in Japan, Pourville (Jpn) (Le Havre {Ire}).

“She is a complete outcross, and will be a very easy mare to mate,” said Merry. We have seen her Galiway yearling at Barton Stud, and she is a very good first foal. Queenhope is a very commercial mare, and I know the family well through my client Dr Poonawalla.

“Blue Diamond was keen to buy into this Grey Sovereign line. It's so hard to buy interesting pedigrees now and ones that are a complete outcross. This family also goes back to Pat O'Kelly's wonderful Flame Of Tara line.”

The Shadwell Stud dispersal gave a boost to proceedings at last year's February Sale, and figures for this year dropped a little, with a clearance rate of 78% leading to 141 horses being sold for a total of 2,265,500gns (-27%) at an average of 16,067gns (-12%) and median 6,500gns (-28%).

Trade focuses solely on horses in training through the second and final session at Tattersalls, which begins at 10 a.m.

The post Now Or Never Heads Tattersalls February at 250,000gns appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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Video Poker: Is It Worth It?

Video Poker seems to be one of those games that people are a little dubious about until they give it a whirl, and the concept of it being worth it, of being able to gain an advantage is the biggest cause of this dubiousness.

I was recently assured of a way of gaining the advantage in a progressive jackpot video poker game: Of course strategies vary from game to game, particularly between wild and no-wild games. However, on a machine that pays out 8-1 on a full house and 5-1 on a flush, there is, or so I’m assured, a means of gaining the advantage.

First, locate a progressive jackpot machine whose jackpot is greater that the maximum bet x 1750; the reason that this is important is because it is only once the jackpot gets this high that the game is even with the house, therefore if the game isn’t even there is no way of gaining an advantage. Now, in theory, or at least this is what I’ve been told; with each 350 x max bet addition to the jackpot, the players advantage increases by 1%. Therefore if you come across a progressive jackpot with a jackpot 2100 x the maximum bet, you have a 1% advantage; if you find one with a jackpot 2,450 x the maximum bet you have a 2% advantage.

Unfortunately, getting to this stage of play requires a lot of time and a lot of money; more of both than most people have. Therefore short of building up the advantage as suggested above, it might be best to simply be familiar with the frequency of video poker hands, and from that determine the likelihood of gaining an advantage. The following statistics were given to me a by a guy in the industry, who claims they are the average frequency of video poker hands:

A royal flush, which is of course what we all want appears once ever 32, 680 hands; a straight flush every 10, 163 hands; four of a kind every 425 hands; a full house every 87 hands; a flush every 90 hands; a straight every 89 hands; three of a kind every 14 hands; two pair every 8 hands; and a pair every 5 hands. Now, in terms of timing, based on these statistics the average video poker machine will therefore produce a royal flush ever 60 hours of constant rapid play; a straight will appear every 6 hours or so, as will a flush; whilst a 4 of a kind will pop up on a more or less hourly basis.

Therefore the majority of the time the video poker player is playing at a disadvantage, however this will be somewhat compensated for by the more regular smaller hands. Is it possible to manipulate the outcomes, to create an advantage? In all honesty probably not, but isn’t it fun trying?

Tickets to the Belmont Racing Festival On Sale Soon

Tickets for the 2023 Belmont Stakes Racing Festival will go on sale to the public on Thursday, Feb. 9 at 10 a.m. Eastern via Ticketmaster.com, the New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) said in a press release on Thursday afternoon.

General Admission tickets start at just $30 and will provide fans with access to the trackside apron bench seating, backyard and grandstand concourse. NYRA will offer advance pre-sale opportunities to NYRA Bets members, returning ticket buyers and others beginning on Tuesday, Feb. 7. All groups eligible for the pre-sale will be notified directly via email.

Highlighted by the 155th running of the GI $1.5 million Belmont S. presented by NYRA Bets, this year marks the 50th anniversary of Secretariat's Triple Crown victory, which NYRA will commemorate throughout the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival.

The post Tickets to the Belmont Racing Festival On Sale Soon appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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