Why are the Black Jack Odds so Good?

As a decent player of black jack odds are good, especially compared to other casino games. The black jack card game is so popular some even say that it’s the most popular game. It is played in almost every country all over the world in land based casinos as well as online. The blackjack websites have really grown in numbers the recent years, and now it has become even more popular to play it from the comfort of your home than from a traditional land based casino.

Why is blackjack so popular? The main reason that blackjack is so highly embraced and loved all over the world is that when played properly, it has a house edge of less than one percent, which is the lowest house advantage of any table game. So with these odds, why are casinos – offline as well as online – not losing money to the players? Well, the most obvious reason is probably that the game is not played properly or good enough by the majority of players. It’s really a pity that players can give up such huge advantage to the house by lump playing.

The reason why this game has such good odds is that, unlike other games such as craps and games of chance like roulette is that in blackjack the choices you make as the game progresses, will impact the house edge. You see

  • in roulette each spin is an independent event
  • in craps each roll of the dice is also an independent event

In Blackjack however, instead of being a game based on independent single events, each hand is dependent on the cards that have previously been dealt so that big cards left in the deck will favour the player while small cards will favour the dealer. This is the reason why card counting is so important for winning in blackjack. You simply have to memorize what cards are left in the deck.

To a large extent, blackjack results are based on your actions as a player and not solely on chance. Your chances to win in this game is much better than the chance based games. So the secret to winning at blackjack is to keep track of the cards. As soon as you master this – which you definitely can do with training – you can start a pleasant and fun blackjack odysse.

‘Chasing That Feeling’: Steve Asmussen Nowhere Close To Stopping At 10,000 Wins

While becoming the first North American trainer to win 10,000 thoroughbred races, Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen has run horses at 76 tracks in 29 states and provinces, according to industry data-collector Equibase.

Through Feb. 26, Kentucky ranked No. 4 among total Asmussen wins at 1,204, but figures any week to blow by Oklahoma (1,206) to trail only the trainer's native Texas (2,638) and Louisiana (1,898). But in importance to Asmussen's record-breaking operation, the Bluegrass State takes a backseat to no one.

Since starting a Kentucky division in 1997, Asmussen's top division has been based at Churchill Downs much of the year, where in 2020 he surpassed Dale Romans as the all-time win leader, with Keeneland also a priority. He added a large operation at Ellis Park in 2016 and now is year-round in the state with 25 horses currently at Turfway Park. He also is a strong supporter of Kentucky Downs, where he tied for the 2021 training title.

“The importance of Kentucky has always been extremely significant,” Asmussen said. “But I think that is nothing compared to the importance Kentucky is going to be for horse racing going forward. There is no doubt in my mind, it has far surpassed California and New York now, and that would have been laughable to say 5-10 years ago.

“The trajectory of racing in states, Kentucky is the most important and the gap, I think, is only going to widen…. The only thing that hasn't caught up is the graded stakes committee. Saying how tough races are is one thing. (You should) be in them.”

A huge part of the equation is Kentucky's escalating purses, with Kentucky Downs and Churchill Downs offering among the highest in the world, when factoring in Kentucky-bred purse enhancements. The Kentucky Thoroughbred Development Fund also allows Turfway Park to offer higher purses in the maiden and allowance ranks than Santa Anita and similar to Aqueduct.

While Asmussen acknowledges “money matters,” it's also cheaper to train in Kentucky and there's a less-congested quality of life many find appealing.

And, as Asmussen said, “I think it can be explained that there are horses on the license plates for a reason.”

Here are Asmussen's top 10 states for wins, through Feb. 25: Texas, 2,638; Louisiana, 1,898; Oklahoma, 1,206; Kentucky, 1,204; Arkansas, 839; New York, 745; Illinois, 395; New Mexico, 283; Ontario, 193; and New Jersey 133.

His top 10 tracks for wins: Lone Star Park, 1,523; Remington Park, 1,199; Fair Grounds, 1,120; Sam Houston, 918; Churchill Downs, 865; Oaklawn, 839; Louisiana Downs, 431; Aqueduct, 283; Sunland Park, 243, Arlington, 238.

Among the other Kentucky tracks: Keeneland, 162; Ellis Park, 138; Kentucky Downs, 23; and Turfway Park, 16.

For Asmussen, it's not about thinking big. It's thinking biggest

Where most people would see a summit, Hall of Fame trainer Steve Asmussen sees another steppingstone.

After his 10,000th North American win, there seemingly was only one person standing in his way of being No. 1 in the world. That's Peruvian trainer Juan Suarez Villarroel, now at 10,345 victories, according to paginadeturf.wordpress.com, and who had 10,336 when Asmussen hit the seven-digit landmark on Feb. 20 with Bet He's Ready in Oaklawn Park's fifth race. But Asmussen had a different answer.

“There's two,” he responded.

You don't achieve Asmussen's mind-boggling numbers (including 49,255 starts through Feb. 26) by simply thinking big. With Asmussen, it's always been about the biggest. So he doesn't see Suarez as the only one ahead of him.

“Russell Baze,” he added, referencing the Northern California-based jockey Russell Baze who retired with 12,842 victories in 2016.

“You gotta keep going,” Asmussen said cheerfully in a phone interview.

Well, we might as well throw in another challenge if he's shooting for the all-world all-time mark: Brazilian jockey Jorge Antonio Ricardo's world-record 13,224 victories through Feb. 26, according to paginadeturf.wordpress.com.

“I better get to winning,” the Hall of Fame trainer, told of Ricardo's tally, responded via text.

But first up is the Chilean-born Suarez, who is based at the Hipodromo de Monterrico in the Peruvian capital Lima. He passed the late Dale Baird's then-record on September 8, 2019, when he saddled the 9,446th winner of his career. At the time, Asmussen ranked third in the world at 8,577, according to Thoroughbred Racing Commentary. Since then, Asmussen has a 1,432 to 899 edge in wins over Suarez through Feb. 26.

“He's not exactly sitting still,” said Asmussen, up to 10,009 North American wins through Feb. 26. “But I am inching closer.”

A couple more stats: Asmussen's more than $406.5 million in purse earnings trails only Todd Pletcher's $453.5 million. No one comes close to his 49,255 career starters, with Jerry Hollendorfer almost 15,000 behind in No. 2. Asmussen also had 63 victories in two-plus years as a jockey. Incredibly, he has owned more than 13 percent of his winners: 1,339 outright and another 131 with various partners, according to Equibase.

For the record, Bet He's Ready was Asmussen's 49,205th starter in North America. You could argue that his 10,000th victory actually came earlier on Feb. 18, given that his two-time Horse of the Year Curlin won two stakes in 2008 in Dubai, capped by the Dubai World Cup. Curlin, by the way, was racing's first $10 million-earner, at $10,501,800.

With droughts inevitably seeming to happen when approaching a milestone, Asmussen went 0 for 18 after Win No. 9,999. If 18 starters might be a month's worth or more of runners for most stables, the Asmussen barn actually was shut out for only two days.

“I got a little anxious there,” Asmussen said with a laugh. “I rolled them out like marbles there for a little bit.”

Bet He's Ready is owned by Texan Mike McCarty, who also owns the horse Shanghai's Dream, whose victory last summer gave Asmussen his 9,445th victory to tie Baird for the most victories in North America.

“Obviously I've been able to reflect on it for a little while now. I'm overwhelmingly proud of the unit of people that we have stuck together. They have done so much work. I'm in awe of their accomplishment, I really am,” Asmussen said, adding in reference to long-time chief assistants Scott Blasi and Darren Fleming. “It starts with Scott and Darren, the effort and care they have put into it for so long. I love the fact that we are as intense now as we've ever been — and I think racing requires that.

“… Everything matters. It's such a good feeling to be correct, or to do something right, or to see the results. Just chasing that feeling. Horses are so amazingly rewarding to you with their effort: Get them in the right spot, get a good race from them, just seeing them happy.”

'Perfect storm' leads to 10K but Asmussen says his record will fall

Asmussen calls it a “perfect storm” that led to 10,000 wins and counting. He credits his success with starting with parents Keith and Marilyn Asmussen, who for more than 60 years have operated the El Primero Training Center in Laredo, Texas. Not only are his horses ready to run coming in from Laredo, but Steve Asmussen knows where they need to compete to succeed.

Asmussen began training in 1986, earning his first victory at New Mexico's Ruidoso Downs. He was ready with horses the next year when Birmingham Turf Club opened in Alabama and when Remington Park launched in Oklahoma in 1988. Also in 1987, Texas legalized parimutuel betting on horse racing after a 50-year ban. Asmussen was at Sam Houston Race Park when that track opened in 1994 and when Lone Star Park launched in 1997.

“The youngest in a family of unbelievable horsemen, coming from a long line of animal lovers,” Asmussen reflected of his path to the top. “Just very fortunate to grow up in that circumstance to witness and to be present for that sort of knowledge. The dynamic of my mom training and my dad being a jock and working in the barn. Being the youngest, you get to do a lot more listening than you do talking. Every little experience has helped and added up to where we are now.

“I really feel my barn or the racing stable itself, we all are an extension of what Mom and Dad have created, just a philosophy of doing what's right by a horse is always what's right by the owner,” he continued. “Being in horse racing, you have to work from the position you're in. Not the position you wish you were in, or the one you were in the day before, but from exactly where you're at right now. And we all know how quickly that changes with a racehorse.”

Because he races at so many tracks at the same time, it was good fortune that Asmussen and his family were at the site where he broke Baird's record (Saratoga) and then at Oaklawn for his 10,000th victory.

“It is so amazing how I've been so blessed to be able to share these moments with the family,” he said, adding of his wife, “For Julie and the sacrifices she has made to allow me to chase these dreams, and the job she has done raising our boys, thank God, I have the opportunity to share that with them. Because of all the sacrifices they've made with me being gone.”

Asmussen thinks his records will be broken: By one of his three sons.

After earning a masters degree in accounting from the University of Texas, eldest son Keith is living his dream as a jockey at Oaklawn. Youngest son Eric — who started working with the stable his last two years in high school after the pandemic forced classes to be online — is an exercise rider for his dad at Oaklawn. Darren is in his last semester at Baylor.

“Eric just became so much more involved with the barn immediately,” Steve Asmussen said. “I think with his mind and talent, he will be the one to break any record I set. Keith or Darren or Eric could, because they would have all of this family support. I have done nothing by myself, even remotely, at any stage. It has been very collective with everybody involved.”

The post ‘Chasing That Feeling’: Steve Asmussen Nowhere Close To Stopping At 10,000 Wins appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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First Foals for Millionaire Sleepy Eyes Todd

MGSW Sleepy Eyes Todd (Paddy O'Prado) was represented by his first two foals on the same day-a filly and a colt-at Francisco Bravo's River Oaks Farms in Sulphur, OK, on Jan. 29.

The filly is the first foal out of three-time winner Maddie's Music (Maclean's Music) and the colt is out of Taylor Lake (Parading), who also produced the SW Barrister Tom (Artie Schiller). Both mares are owned by David Cobb, who campaigned Sleepy Eyes Todd in the name of his Thumbs Up Racing Stable.

“We knew we'd get some beautiful babies by Sleepy Eyes,” Cobb said. “But we are amazed at how beautiful his babies are. We can't wait to see the rest of them.”

Sleepy Eyes Todd, who was a $9,000 KEENOV weanling in 2016, won the 2020 GII Charles Town Classic and GIII Mr. Prospector S. and won or placed in five other black-type events and logged a record of 20-8-3-1, $2,051,725. He stands at Swifty Farms in Seymour, IN, for a fee of $3,500.

The post First Foals for Millionaire Sleepy Eyes Todd appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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2023 Mating Plans, Presented by Spendthrift: Stonehaven Steadings

With the breeding season underway, the TDN staff is continuing the '2023 Mating Plans' series, presented by Spendthrift Farm, to find out what stallions breeders have chosen for their mares this year, and why. Here Aidan and Leah O'Meara of Stonehaven Steadings talk us through their plans for the year. Before getting into their individual mares, Aidan discusses their process for drawing up the farm's mating plans each year.

We usually begin our matings by drawing up a short list of stallions that we intend to use for the coming season. We'll break them into three groups of proven, up-and-coming and freshmen sires and we try to diversify as much as possible amongst our broodmare band of 30 mares. We'll have a short list of potential mates for each mare which, when considering stud fee ranges, usually ends up being a list of four or five stallions. This is refined further with pedigree and conformation considerations before reaching the ultimate choice.

This year we had a particularly deep draft of incoming freshman sires and you're not always able to use as many of the younger stallions that you would like to depending on a mare's particular fit or the make up of your broodmare band. Some of the up-and-comer stallions can take a huge and somewhat unwarranted jump in stud fee due to supply demands. That can make you sit out a year and wait to see if it's legit or not, especially if a younger stallion has a couple of weak crops coming down the pipeline.

Proven

VENETIAN SONATA (m, 14, Bernardini – Moonlight Sonata, by Carson City) and STUNNING SKY (m, 6 Declaration of War – Sky Walk, by Unbridled's Song) to be bred to Quality Road

This will be Venetian Sonata's second time to Quality Road. One of our top two yearling fillies for this year is her daughter by Quality Road and he has been the pick for her again for this year for quite some time. She is smaller mare, but despite that she has been a big producer at the track and in the sales ring. Quality Road is one of the better stallions out there to get a little commercial leg under a mare and he has already had a significant filly out of this family in MGISW Abel Tasman. The Quality Road-Bernardini cross has been a potent one.

We had some great success mating a classy turf filly with Quality Road in the past and hope lightning might strike twice here with Stunning Sky, who was herself a Grade III winner at Keeneland and was Grade II placed at Saratoga. She is a big, robust filly and will benefit from the refinement Quality Road brings to his offspring.

JILTED BRIDE (m, 6, Wicked Strong – Cry At My Wedding, by Street Cry {Ire}) and MISS COSTA RICA (m, 5, Hit It a Bomb – Five Star Daydream, by Five Star Day) to be bred to Into Mischief

These are two new graded stakes fillies we added to the broodmare band this year. We try to give the younger mares as much opportunity as possible and there is no better sire than Into Mischief for that job. Both are bigger, well-conformed mares. Those traits will complement Into Mischief physically. Pedigree selection is a little easier with Into Mischief as he works so well with so many lines.

BECKLES ROAD (m, 14, Smart Strike – Padmore, by French Deputy) to be bred to Gun Runner

Beckles Road is another mare that has been a big producer for us at the track and sales. She has another beautiful Into Mischief filly this year that rivals her full-sister Class on Class that we sold in Book 1 last year at Keeneland September. When breeding at the upper echelons of the stallion ranks, we try to use mares that have shown us that they can consistently produce the kind of quality and ability in their offspring to warrant such a strong investment. She is a big, beautiful-profiled mare who is a little offset in front, but hasn't been passing that on. Gun Runner will suit her beautifully in the pedigree and physique department.

Figure of Speech broke her maiden on debut at Saratoga in 2019. This year she will be bred to Curlin | Sarah Andrew

FIGURE OF SPEECH (m, 6, Into Mischief – Starlight Lady, by Elusive Quality) to be bred to Curlin

Figure of Speech is a young, Grade I-placed Into Mischief filly currently in foal to Gun Runner. Curlin is the preeminent sire of Classic horses in the country and a mix of blood of these two stallion rockstars can only be a positive thing. Figure of Speech is a very classy-looking filly who will complement Curlin's powerful physique.

LUCY IN DIAMONDS (m, 11, Rock Hard Ten – Spritz, by Relaunch), THISSMYTIME (m, 6, Carpe Diem – Seraphic Too, by Southern Halo), CHAMPAGNE IVY (m, 5, Shackleford – Wonder Upon a Star, by Street Cry {Ire}) and BERNIN MIDNIGHT (m, 8, Midnight Lute – Venetian Sonata, by Bernardini) to be bred to Uncle Mo

These are all young mares and Uncle Mo is probably the best value now of the top-tier stallions. All are very clean-legged fillies in front, which tends to help with this sire too. Uncle Mo brings such diversity in his offsprings' abilities, whether it's distance or surfaces, and he works so well with such a variety of sire lines that he helps make the decision-making process a lot easier. He gives breeders a great shot at building a strong foundation under their younger mares.

Lucy In Diamonds had her best foal to date by this horse that sold well in September to SF Bloodstock and company. Part of the play here would be anticipating that this colt may develop into a promising runner by the time a full sibling gets to auction in a couple of years.

Thissmytime is a young, stakes-winning filly and a track record holder. She lacks a little size and Uncle Mo is one of the better stallions out there to help a mare in that department.

Bernin Midnight's first three foals have been impressive, most notably the Street Sense yearling from last year, and she continues to get an increased opportunity with quality of her perspective mates.

Champagne Ivy is a maiden stakes filly with a big family backing her up.

 

Freshmen

Aidan O'Meara with the Quality Road colt out of True Feelings that topped the 2022 Keeneland September Sale | Keeneland

TRUE FEELINGS (m, 14, Latent Heat – Grand Charmer, by Lord Avie) to be bred to Flightline

True Feelings is the jewel of our broodmare band. She has consistently produced quality stock from multiple sire lines that have different looks physically, but all had the quality physical and stylish walk that has stood them well in the sales ring. Flightline is a rare talent that is arguably the most impressive dirt runner of the modern era. The plan in this case was simple: breed a special mare to a special stallion and hope for something special.

NOTAPRADAPRICE (m, 9, Paddy O'Prado – Brenda's Slew, by Straight Man) to be bred to Life Is Good

We are very fortunate this year to have two very high-caliber incoming freshmen sires that had that “next level” natural ability. Life Is Good's Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile was arguably the most impressive performance in that race's history and, coupled with his ability to take that speed a little further, his physique takes him to the top of the list of the best-looking sons of Into Mischief.

Prada is a graded stakes winner and a stakes winner on both surfaces. She is a big, beautiful filly who should work well physically with Life Is Good.

EASY LIVING (m, 12, Big Brown – Jaramar Miss) and EARLYBIRD ROAD (m, 19, Cherokee Run – Kiss N Make Up, by Private Terms) to be bred to Corniche

Corniche is obviously our pride and joy and we are fortunate enough to still be minor shareholders in him, so we are trying to play our part in helping him in his future career. Both mares are quality stakes producers and consistently throw the right kind of physical.

Easy Living's Into Mischief colt will be our best colt headed to auction this year and her daughter My Kentucky Girl (American Pharoah) is a current-year stakes filly with potential to add to her resume as the year progresses. She had a beautiful Quality Road filly a few years back and should hopefully work well here again.

Corniche was a magnificent-looking foal. Still to this day he is the most impressive-looking foal we've ever had on the farm and he has the potential to be one of the standouts of this very deep group of freshmen sires when the first foals hit the sales next year and go on into their yearling stages.

Up-And-Coming

DEBBY D'ORO (m, 10, Giant's Causeway – Dashing Debby, by Medaglia d'Oro) and QUIRL (m, 8, More Than Ready – Beckles Road, by Smart Strike) to be bred to Good Magic

STEELIN MEMORIES (m, 3, Quality Road – Steelin' by Oreintate) and CANNY (m, 9, Big Brown – Sharp Instinct, by Awesome Again) to be bred to Justify

SCOOTER BIRD (m, 13, War Pass – Miz Emmalou, by Well Decorated) to be bred to Bolt d'Oro

PRINCESSDIANE (m, 7, Uncle Mo – Romantic Fibs, by Prized) to be bred to Violence

MIZ KELLA (m, 11, Harlan's Holiday – Steelin' by Orientate) and MIDNIGHT DIVA (m, 5, Midnight Lute – Pizza Lady, by Dance With Ravens) to be bred to Constitution

In any given year, we are lucky to have one stallion that shows enough early ability with his first crop of two-year-olds to suggest long-term viability as a major Kentucky stallion. But the deep group this year has three very solid candidates, all with strong early commercial success and strong groups of mares bred each year to help maintain the momentum.

All the above mares are younger and these stallions give breeders the opportunity to access a somewhat proven stallion without the steep stud fees of the older brigade.

Violence has the potential to have a huge year with Forte on the Derby trail, Newgrange headed to the GI Santa Anita H. and Dr. Schivel back on the warpath.

Constitution is entering the upper echelons of the sire ranks, but with his current production and more importantly his potential  for even further success when his bigger, better-bred crops hit the track, we think he is still in the up-and-coming stage. Some of the best opportunities for breeders comes with riding the success of these young stallions as they climb the ladder and it has stood us well in the past.

The post 2023 Mating Plans, Presented by Spendthrift: Stonehaven Steadings appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

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