Using Poker Odds Calculators: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly

Poker players are always looking for ways to improve their game strategies, or little hints and tips they might be able to apply to their own games to make them more successful. One thing that can be very useful is to know the true odds of the particular game you are playing. Knowing your chances will sometimes prompt you to make changes in your game that you ordinarily might not make that could be the difference between winning and losing. Many players adjust their betting methods as well, so that they can better optimize their winnings. More experienced poker players can do this by observing the other players and making guesses as to what their odds of winning are against those particular players. They change their hands or playing styles according to what they determine their odds are. Some players are very experienced with calculating their odds in this method, but there is a more exact way to determine your poker odds. Poker odds calculators can be found as free downloads and for sale on the internet, and many poker players are starting to use these to get more exact odds.

Some poker players opt to use hand odds calculators by entering the player and the board cards, then hitting a calculate button to get the odds for that particular player. The calculator will list how often that player will win the game, tie with other players, or lose altogether. These calculators can also be used to compare different hands with each other to help you determine the best poker hands. The only downside to using these calculators is that they don’t factor in the fact that some players will inevitably fold, and that extra money will be added to the pot with each round of bets.

Many poker players who play in poker tournaments have also begun to use tournament equity calculators. These calculators are used to determine the average amount of prize money each participant should win based on the number of chips each player has during the tournament. The value of these chips will be less as the game progresses and players earn more chips. Some players will decide to sit out a tournament is they decide the prize pool isn’t large enough for them. The only bad thing about using this type of calculator is that it automatically assumes all players are of equal skill levels, and it doesn’t account for size and position of the blinds in the game, so it isn’t always one hundred percent accurate.

Odds calculators are used by many poker players today, and are increasing in popularity. They can be very helpful in making decisions when it comes to many aspects of game play. It is important that players who use these calculators keep in mind that these calculators do have limitations and that the information they offer should never be the sole basis of how you play your game. There are too many variables to be factored in to make any calculation be totally accurate, and sometimes you just can’t beat good ole human intuition.

Oaks Prep: After Missing Santa Ynez With Fever, Talented Justique Returns In Saturday’s Las Virgenes

With a come-from-behind style that leaves her backers on the edge of their seats, C R K Stable's Justique, idle since Nov. 19, heads a field of six sophomore fillies going a flat mile in Saturday's Grade 3, $200,000 Las Virgenes Stakes at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif.

The Las Virgenes is the first leg in the 1/ST Coast to Coast Pick 5, a $1 wager with a player friendly 15 percent takeout on a series of five races between Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park.

Additionally, the Las Virgenes winner will receive 20 qualifying points to the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks on May 5, with eight, six, four and two points going to the second through fifth place finishers.

A $725,000 Keeneland September Yearling, Justique is by 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify and is out of the Bernardini mare Grazie Mille. Trained by John Shirreffs, Justique rallied from last to take her 5 ½ furlong debut by 2 ½ lengths July 31 at Del Mar and was subsequently third when stretched out to a mile and one sixteenth in the G2 Chandelier Stakes here on Oct. 8.

In her best race to date, Justique again rallied from last under Victor Espinoza to win the seven furlong Desi Arnaz Stakes by 2 ¼ lengths at Del Mar on Nov. 19. Justique was entered in the G3 Santa Ynez, rescheduled to Jan. 8 after weather-related cancellations, but Shirreffs scratched the filly when she developed a fever. Now recovered and having posted works on Jan. 13 and Jan. 21, Justique will be trying two turns for the second time in what will be her fourth start on Saturday.

Although Justique will no doubt command a good deal of attention on Saturday, Bob Baffert's Faiza, idle since winning the G1 Starlet going 1 1/16 miles at Los Alamitos Dec. 10, has plenty of natural speed and should be extremely tough to beat as she tries to remain unbeaten in her third start.

Purchased for $725,000 out of a 2-year-old in training sale in May of last year, Faiza, who is by Girvin out of the Smart Strike mare Sweet Pistol, is owned by Michael Lund Petersen. With Flavien Prat out of town Saturday to ride at Gulfstream Park, Ramon Vazquez will ride Faiza for the first time.

Faiza is ineligible for Las Virgenes qualifying points toward the Kentucky Oaks because of Baffert's two-year suspension by Churchill Downs, stemming from his Medina Spirit being disqualified from a 2021 Kentucky Derby victory because of a medication violation. The case is under appeal.

A winner of two out of her first three starts, all on turf, Doug O'Neill's Pride of the Nile, who despite stumbling at the break, ran a huge race when second, beaten a head by Faiza in the G1 Starlet, rates a huge chance with Juan Hernandez back aboard. Now that she's established she can act on dirt as well as turf, Pride of the Nile, who earned a 77 Beyer Speed Figure in the Starlet, will likely stalk the early pace in what will be her fifth career start.

By Pioneerof the Nile and out of the Hard Spun mare Inny Minnie, Pride of the Nile is owned by West Coast Stables, LLC.

Along with Faiza, O'Neill's Broadway Girls also figures to ensure a fast pace. A gate to wire one mile maiden turf winner two starts back on Nov. 13, she then took the one mile turf Blue Norther Stakes here on Dec. 30 in the same front-running fashion.

Well beaten in her only dirt try, a 5 ½ furlong maiden race on Aug. 21 at Del Mar, Broadway Girls, who is owned by Stanley Cup champion defenseman Erik Johnson's ERJ Racing, LLC, Pappas Horse Racing Corp and Neil Haymes, will be making her fifth career start in the Las Virgenes.

Graded stakes-placed in her last two races, trainer Michael McCarthy's Uncontrollable will be ridden for the first time by Kazushi Kimura, who will be seeking his third added money win at the current meeting.

An even third, beaten 5 ½ lengths by Faiza in the G1 Starlet Dec. 10, Uncontrollable was second, beaten just three quarters of a length at 24-1 in the G2 Chandelier Stakes here on Oct. 8.

Owned by Repole Stable, Uncontrollable is a California-bred filly by the Flatter stallion Upstart and is out of the Include mare Behavioral. A first-out winner going five furlongs versus statebreds on July 22, Uncontrollable, in her second start, was second going six furlongs in the California-bred Generous Portion Stakes Sept. 5.

With a win, two seconds and a third place finish from four starts, Uncontrollable will hope to be rolling from off the pace.

THE GRADE 3 LAS VIRGENES WITH JOCKEYS & WEIGHTS IN POST POSITION ORDER

Race 2 of 9 Approximate post time 1 p.m. PT

  1. Faiza—Ramon Vazquez—124
  2. Sweet Trouble—Kent Desormeaux—120
  3. Broadway Girls—Edwin Maldonado—124
  4. Pride of the Nile—Juan Hernandez—122
  5. Uncontrollable—Kazushi Kimura–120
  6. Justique—Victor Espinoza—120

First post time for a nine-race card on Saturday is at 12:30 p.m.

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‘We Know Where Our Level Is’: 9-Year-Old Drafted Begins Carefully-Crafted Season In Saturday’s Toboggan

Graded stakes action for the calendar year on the New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) circuit kicks off Saturday at Aqueduct Racetrack with veteran sprinter Drafted headlining a field of nine in the seven-furlong Grade 3, $150,000 Toboggan for older horses.

Dublin Fjord Stables, Racepoint Stables, Kevin D. Hilbert and Thomas E. O'Keefe's Drafted, a 9-year-old gray or roan son of Field Commission, arrives at his 2023 debut with a ledger of 33-10-3-4 and earnings of $1,157,443 as the field's lone millionaire.

He will be seeking a repeat Toboggan triumph after capturing last year's edition by 4 1/2 lengths to win his first race in nearly three years. A victory Saturday would make him the first repeat Toboggan winner since Calibrachoa [2011-12] and would add his name to a lengthy list of dual Toboggan winners which includes, among others, fan favorite Affirmed Success [2002-03], as well as Hall of Famers Eight Thirty [1940-41] and Devil Diver [1943-44].

Trained by David Duggan, Drafted enjoyed a prosperous season in 2022, including wins in the G3 Runhappy on May 14 at Belmont Park, the Mr. Prospector on June 4 at Monmouth Park, and a curtain-closing score last out in the Gravesend on Dec. 30 at Aqueduct. He additionally was third beaten 10 3/4 lengths by eventual G1 Breeder's Cup Sprint winner Elite Power in the G2 Vosburgh in October at Belmont at the Big A; and was fifth, by the same margin, to Cody's Wish, subsequent winner of the G1 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, in the G1 Forego in August at Saratoga Race Course.

While Drafted continues to display the desire to compete, Duggan said his veteran warhorse will likely not be squaring off against any of the heavier hitters in the sprint division this year.

“We know where our level is and we aren't going to shoot for the stars. We're going to basically pick off the races he can win,” Duggan said. “We'll get through this one and then pick our spots from there. He's nine and he's got age under him, so you've got to be realistic on where you spot him.”

Following his first three starts as a juvenile with trainer Eoin Harty, Drafted joined the contingent of Dubai-based conditioner Doug Watson in 2017. He picked up two Group 3 triumphs in early 2019 during his Middle Eastern tenure, capturing the Al Shindagha Sprint and the Mahab Al Shimaal. He joined Duggan's barn in late 2020, winning last year's Toboggan in his ninth start for his current trainer.

“He's always been something of a fan favorite, we just weren't able to get him to that kind of stage,” Duggan said. “Once we got into our rhythm and got him into the right spots without over facing him, he became the horse we knew he could be – like a movie star that just did a couple of B movies before doing a couple of A movies. There are some good sprinters out there. Just look who he's been up against. Horses like Cody's Wish and Elite Power. We're looking forward to Saturday's race.”

Luis Rodriguez Castro will pursue his first graded stakes triumph as a jockey when guiding Drafted, who carries a co-field high 124 pounds, from post 3.

Drafted will face a formidable foe in Rainbow's End Racing Stable's Milton the Monster [post 7, Manny Franco, 120 pounds], who sports a 4-for-4 record going seven furlongs on the main track.

Trainer Tom Morley claimed the 6-year-old son of Jack Milton for $62,500 out of a local allowance optional claimer over a sloppy and sealed track on Dec. 3 at the Toboggan distance, en route to a New Year's Day score at seven furlongs over muddy and sealed going.

Previously trained by John Servis, Milton the Monster was an emphatic 12 3/4-length winner of his seven-furlong debut last January at Parx Racing, recording a career-best 101 Beyer Speed Figure. He finished third in the Stymie in March at the Big A before completing the trifecta behind Drafted in the Mr. Prospector in June three starts later.

Morley cited the Toboggan distance as the primary reason for running.

“He's obviously very good at seven furlongs and he's obviously good on a wet track as well,” said Morley. “His last two starts were both seven [furlongs] at Aqueduct, but both have been a sealed track and we're not going to get that on Saturday. He absolutely deserves to take his chance in here and we're very happy with the way he's training. The reason we claimed him is because he had some good races behind some rock solid horses. Seven furlongs around one turn seems to really suit this horse. The horse seems to be in very good form, he looks healthy and appears to be in good shape.”

Morley also spoke volumes of owners Mike Iannaconi and Bob Scavetta of Rainbow's End Racing Stable, who participated in graded stakes action at the Big A in November 2019 when Red Right Hand finished 10th in the G3 Red Smith.

“They've been very loyal to my barn,” Morley said. “They set up Rainbow's End a few years ago and they've only had horses with me. They've been tremendous supporters of the barn. They're a local syndicate that is growing in size and strength. They've made some astute claims and they're great people to be involved with.”

Trainer Norman “Lynn” Cash has entered G2 Kelso Handicap winner Double Crown [post 5, J.D. Acosta, 124 pounds] and Pirate Rick [post 2, Jose Gomez, 120 pounds]. Both horses are cross-entered at Parx with Double Crown listed in a one-mile allowance on Monday, while Pirate Rick is entered in a Tuesday allowance sprint that also includes potential Toboggan aspirant Wendell Fong.

Double Crown has been soundly beaten in his three starts since springing a 42-1 upset in the Kelso on Oct. 29 at Belmont at the Big A, where he confronted mutuel favorite Baby Yoda in deep stretch to win by 1 3/4 lengths. The 6-year-old Bourbon Courage gelding enters off a 10th in the Queens County on Jan. 7 at the Big A.

While Double Crown looks to return to winning form, stablemate Pirate Rick enters the Toboggan off a string of four victories. The 6-year-old Liam's Map gelding arrives off short rest, capturing a local six-furlong allowance optional claimer on Sunday by seven lengths while earning a 104 Beyer. A six-furlong allowance winner at Mahoning Valley Race Course and Mountaineer Race Course during the latter portion of 2022, Pirate Rick will make his first start going seven furlongs in the Toboggan.

Trainer Juan Avila will ship Victoria's Ranch's Little Vic to New York by way of Parx in search of a second career stakes score. The 4-year-old Practical Joke bay captured the City of Laurel in November at Laurel Park in his lone start going seven furlongs before finishing a nose behind Drafted in the Gravesend.

Boasting a consistent 11-4-2-1 record and $206,230 in earnings, Little Vic has taken his show on the road with all four of his wins taking place at different tracks. He broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park at first asking in September 2021 before winning a six-furlong allowance in May at Monmouth Park. He defeated two next-out winners in a Delaware Park allowance in October before capturing the City of Laurel.

Carlos Olivero, who has been aboard Little Vic for three of his four wins, will retain the mount from post 8. Little Vic, assigned 122 pounds, will race with blinkers on.

Also invading from Parx is Double B Racing Stables' Repo Rocks [post 6, Andrew Wolfsont, 122 pounds], who enters off two stakes victories at the Philadelphia-area oval for trainer Jamie Ness. Second in last year's Toboggan, the 5-year-old Tapiture gelding defeated stakes winners Twisted Ride and Beren in the November 23 Let's Give Thanks before capturing his 2023 debut in the Blitzen on January 4.

Completing the field are multiple stakes-placed Three Two Zone [post 1, Dylan Davis, 118 pounds], graded-stakes placed Wendell Fong [post 4, Jorge Vargas, Jr., 118 pounds], and graded-stakes placed Synthesis [post 9, Gokhan Kocakaya, 120 pounds], a nine-time winner.

Inaugurated in 1890, the Toboggan was originally known as the Toboggan Slide as it was contested on the downhill Eclipse course at Morris Park. The Toboggan is slated as Race 7 on Saturday's nine-race card. First post is 12:10 p.m. Eastern.

America's Day at the Races will present live coverage and analysis of the Aqueduct winter meet on the networks of FOX Sports. For the broadcast schedule and channel finder, visit https://www.nyra.com/aqueduct/racing/tv-schedule.

NYRA Bets is the best way to bet every race of the Aqueduct Racetrack winter meet. Available to horse players nationwide, the NYRA Bets app is available for download today on iOS and Android at www.NYRABets.com.

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Frankie Dettori Back At Gulfstream For One More Try In Pegasus

Ahead of his participation on Saturday's Pegasus World Cup Day program, international star Frankie Dettori rode Wednesday at Gulfstream Park for the first time since 2020.

Dettori set the pace aboard Union Dolly in Race 7, a mile turf stakes for older fillies and mares, before weakening late to finish a close third.

Dettori, who is named to ride two horses on Thursday's card at Gulfstream, is scheduled to ride in 10 races of Saturday's stellar 13-race program. He is named to ride D. Wayne Lukas-trained Last Samurai in the $3 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational (G1) presented by Baccarat (Race 13), Graham Motion-trained Hurricane Dream in the $1 million Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational (G1) presented by Qatar Racing (Race 12), and Jonathan Thomas-trained Bay Storm in the $500,000 TAA Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G3) presented by Pepsi (Race 11).

Dettori has ridden in three editions of the Pegasus World Cup 2018-2020 without success, but he did visit the Gulfstream Park winner's circle in 2018 aboard Dale Romans-trained Sportscaster in an undercard race, delighting fans with his trademark flying dismount.

Saturday will be the last visit to Gulfstream, since Dettori has decided to retire at the end of the 2023 racing season.

“I really don't want to stop, but I'm going to stop. I'm 53 in December,” said Dettori, who has been riding at Santa Anita during the winter months during Europe's off season. “I'm not that young anymore.”

Although he will ride Last Samurai and Bay Storm for the first time Saturday, Dettori had the opportunity to get to know Hurricane Dream in Europe. In a German Group 2 event at Baden-Baden Sept. 6, Hurricane Dream and Dettori closed from off the pace in the stretch to fall short of victory by a head.

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