Equibase Analysis: Equipment Change Has Silver Prospector Poised To Upset Fifth Season Stakes

Most of the 10 entrants in this Saturday's $150,000 Fifth Season Stakes at Oaklawn Park have very good credentials; in fact, the combined earnings of the field is more than $6 million.

Topping the list is last year's Fifth Season winner Rated R Superstar ($1.7 million), who has 13 career wins including the similar Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial Stakes last month. Next there's Silver Prospector ($1.2 million), who won the G3 Southwest Stakes over the track three years ago and the G3 Steve Sexton Mile Stakes last spring.

Another recent stakes winner is Soy Tapatio, who took the Zia Park Championship Stakes when last seen in November. Dreamer's Disease, who won the Delta Mile Stakes in November, enters the race looking for his third win in a row.

Heart Rhythm stretches out to two-turns for only the second time in his career. It's his 24th career start and he showed he belongs at the level with a runner-up effort in the Thanksgiving Classic Stakes in November. Another top runner is Ginobili, who won the G2 Pat O'Brien Stakes last summer around one turn. King Fury was winless in five races last year but won the Bourbon Trail Stakes in the fall of 2021 and has shown sparks of that kind of form in a couple of races since.

Hello Hot Rod led from the start and into the stretch in the Jeffrey A. Hawk before fading to fourth and is one of the horses who is likely to be on, or very near, the lead from the start. Seize the Night led from start to finish to win an allowance race over the track last month and is another who could vie for the early lead but faces a big test at this level. Runnin' Ray ran the best race of his career when third in the G3 Oaklawn Mile Stakes last April over the track and won again in May but is winless in three races since then.

Top contenders:

Silver Prospector has run nine times at Oaklawn in his 24 race career, winning once and placing once so you might think he prefers other tracks as the majority of his $1.2 million in earnings has come elsewhere. That is not the case, as he earned the biggest win in his career over this track. That win came three years ago in the Southwest Stakes with a then career-best 107 ™ Equibase Speed Figure. One year later he finished second in the Oaklawn Handicap here in a huge effort when second to a six length winner, also earning a 107 figure. Silver Prospector then lost six more races in a row but showed his top form one more time last May when victorious at this mile trip in the Steve Sexton Mile, earning a new career-best 112 which is the best figure earned by any horse in this field. Rested since a poor effort last October, the reason I believe Silver Prospector can return to form good enough to win is the fact that he puts on blinkers for the very first time, and that change resulted in a very fast half-mile workout six days ago which was the second best of 87 on the day. Additionally, Silver Prospector won the Steve Sexton from the outside post in a field of nine, similar to the outside post he gets in this race, and he closed into a fast pace in that race, similar to the one he will get courtesy of need-the-lead types Hello Hot Rod, Dreamer's Disease and Seize the Night. If the assessment is correct the equipment change as well as returning to Oaklawn means Silver Prospector may be able to rebound to top form, and he could post the upset and win this year's Fifth Season Stakes.

Soy Tapatio really came into his own after changing trainers to Robertino Diodoro last summer. His first race for Diodoro was a six and one-half length win in the Manitoba Mile Stakes, earning a career-best 107 ™ figure. Since then Soy Tapatio has won two of four while losing by a neck on the wire in another. All four were stakes races and he earned 104 and 105 figures in the two wins. Since shipping into Oaklawn, Soy Tapatio has worked three times, with his most recent similar to Silver Prospector seven days ago where his half-mile workout was the second best of 47 on the day. Also similar to Silver Prospector, Soy Tapatio will appreciate the hot and contested early pace by at least three, perhaps four (including Ginobili) other horses, enabling him to potentially win for the fourth time in his last six races.

Rated R Superstar is now a nine year old but considering he won four of nine last year at the age of eight, earning $600K in the process, that's not a concern. Five of his 13 wins have come at Oaklawn and if he wins this race his earnings at this track alone will exceed $1 million. Last year Rated R Superstar won this race after returning from four months off and a runner-up finish. This year he enters the Fifth Season in even better form, as he won the Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial Stakes one month ago following a three month rest. Jockey Castillo was aboard for the first time in that race and rides back. Even though Rated R Superstar only earned a 100 figure for his win last month and a 102 figure for his win before that last summer in the Governor's Cup Stakes, the 111 figure effort earned winning last year's Fifth Season would put him right there at the finish with Silver Prospector if that one ran his best race, leading to a very exciting finish.

The rest of the field, with their best ™ Equibase Speed Figures, is Dreamer's Disease (106), Ginobili (110), Heart Rhythm (105), Hello Hot Rod (103), King Fury (108), Runnin' Ray (106) and Seize the Night (104).

Win contenders, in preference/probability order:
Silver Prospector
Soy Tapatio
Rated R Superstar

Fifth Season Stakes
Race 9 at Oaklawn
Saturday, January 14, 2023 – Post Time 5:22 PM E.T.
One Mile
Four Year Olds and Upward
Purse: $150,000

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Help Wanted: Kentucky Downs Seeking Full-Time Turf Course Manager, Groundskeeper

Kentucky Downs is seeking a full-time turf-course manager and groundskeeper to be in charge of year-round maintenance of the track's 1 5/16-mile grass course as well as overseeing care of the barn area and the facility's outdoor areas.

The person hired will work closely with consultant Butch Lehr, regarded among the best track superintendents in the world, and Kentucky Downs Vice President for Racing Ted Nicholson. The position includes full benefits, including health, dental and vision insurance, paid vacation and a 401K with company match.

Kentucky Downs' 2023 meet runs Aug. 31 and Sept. 2, 3, 7, 9, 10 and 13.

“We run only seven days a year, but we want the best turf course in America and that requires year-round attention,” Nicholson said. “We're looking for someone who has track-maintenance experience, is hands-on, works well with people and will mentor the other team members on the track crew. This is a prime job for someone who wants to be part of the country's best turf racing and also to learn under a legend like Butch.”

For more information and to apply, go to themintkentuckydowns.com/careers.

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Pioneering Sportswoman Virginia Kraft Payson Dies at 92

Virginia Kraft Payson, a pioneer with a buoyant spirit who often referred to her life as “a magic carpet ride” woven from a whirlwind of adventure travel, a passion for outdoors journalism, and a mid-life immersion into the world of Thoroughbred racing and breeding, died Jan. 9 at age 92 at her Payson Stud farm in Lexington, Kentucky.

The cause of death was complications from Parkinson's disease, as confirmed by Christian Erickson, a decades-long family friend and the trustee of the Payson estate.

Payson's entry into Thoroughbred ownership was the product of a whim, when her second husband, the late Charles Shipman Payson, bid on impulse on at an auction in the late 1970s. That first horse wasn't an on-track success, but the couple's breeding operation later yielded such noteworthy runners as St. Jovite, the 1992 European Horse of the Year, and the 1984 GI Travers S. winner Carr de Naskra.

Payson Park Training Center in Florida still carries the family's name and a reputation as an idyllic place for developing racehorses. Although Payson sold that property in 2019, for years beforehand she had been a highly enthusiastic participant in its operation. She often visited her horses stabled there by driving a Corvette painted in her family's blue and white racing colors.

A native of New York City, a graduate of Barnard College, and a self-described “outdoor adventuress,” Payson was among the first dozen writers (and the only woman) hired by the fledgling Sports Illustrated when that landmark magazine first launched in 1954.

Competition was fierce and staff turnover was high, but Payson (writing under her maiden name, Virginia Kraft) helped the publication flourish for 26 years as it grew into the era's pre-eminent weekly sports publication.

“Every guy who was hired looked around and figured, 'I can knock her off first,'” Payson once recalled in an interview. “I just did my job and created the opportunities.”

“Opportunities” was an understatement. Payson hunted big game on six continents, including tracking wild boar with General Francisco Franco of Spain, going on the prowl for tigers with the Queen of Nepal, and shooting birds from horseback with King Hussein of Jordan.

She also piloted hot-air balloons and competed in international sport fishing tournaments. Her prowess as a scuba diver led to her election into the Underwater Hall of Fame, and Payson even raced sled dogs through the Alaskan wilderness.

In addition to her work with Sports Illustrated, Payson was the author of five books on boating, training dogs, shotgun sports, and tennis. Siena College in New York State presented her with an honorary doctorate in Humane Letters in recognition of her lifetime body of work.

St. Jovite winning the G1 King George and Queen Elizabeth S. at Ascot in 1992 | racingfotos

In a 2013 podcast with the Blood-Horse, Payson detailed the humorous story of how she and Charles Payson acquired their first racehorse around the time they got married in 1977. The two both had experience riding horses, but not in owning Thoroughbreds.

They had taken a trip to Lexington to visit Secretariat as tourists. They then attended a Fasig-Tipton auction and sat down front. Caught up in the excitement, Charles bid on a horse sired by Arts and Letters, whose name Virginia had recognized. Charles even mistakenly bid against himself at one point, but eventually won the bid.

When it came time to sign the sales slip, Charles wasn't aware that a buyer was expected to have first established credit. He said someone he knew at the well-respected Greentree Stable would be able to pay on his behalf.

“We went back to the hotel and ordered a bottle of champagne and stayed up until two o'clock in the morning congratulating ourselves on owning a racehorse,” Kraft reminisced nearly four decades later.

“At about five o'clock in the morning the phone rang and it was the then-manager at Greentree, who, after quite a string of expletives, [wanted to know why] we were buying a horse for Greentree,” Payson recalled with a laugh.

The purchase got okayed, but Kraft said the horse, later named Romanair, turned out to be “absolutely insane” and extremely difficult to train.

“He was a beautiful horse, but he was just absolutely crazy in the head,” Kraft said.

Romanair raced three times in Kentucky before he was ruled off. They first time, Kraft said, he unseated the jockey. The second time he bolted in the wrong direction. The third time he tried to savage the horse next to him soon after breaking from the gate.

The Paysons gave away Romanair, but Kraft was always proud that, after four years off, a patient steeplechase trainer had managed to calm down the horse enough that he competed over jumps, and eventually won a steeplechase race at age nine. After a second retirement, Romanair became a successful sport horse for a number of years, which also delighted Payson.

After Charles's death in 1985, Virginia kept the Payson racing and breeding operations going. Other prominent horses she bred and campaigned included L'Carriere, Salem Drive, Lac Ouimet, Strawberry Reason, Uptown Swell, and Milesius. Her mare, Northern Sunset, was honored as 1995 Broodmare of the Year. In 1997, Payson was honored as Breeder of the Year by the Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association.

Payson raced most of the horses she bred until 1999, keeping the number of foals each year relatively small, at about 12. In 2000, she decided to make Payson Stud more commercial, selling half her yearlings. The following year, she sold all of them. From those two early crops came a pair of 2002 divisional champions, the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Vindication, and GI Kentucky Oaks winner Farda Amiga.

According to a biography provided by the family via Erickson, Payson's first marriage, to Robert Dean Grimm, ended in divorce.

After being widowed from Charles Payson, in 1994 she married a third time, to the Thoroughbred owner Jesse M. Henley, Jr. After his death, Payson in 2008 married David Libby Cole, a real estate broker from Colorado.

Cole, now of Lexington, survives Payson, as do three daughters from her marriage to Grimm, plus three grandchildren.

Arrangements for services are pending.

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GISW Hot Rod Charlie to Shadai Stallion Station

Grade I winner Hot Rod Charlie (Oxbow–Indian Miss, by Indian Charlie) will stand at Shadai Stallion Station in Japan beginning in 2023. The GI Pennsylvania Derby hero and half-brother to Eclipse Champion Sprinter Mitole (Eskendereya) will stand for ¥2,000,000.

Eisuke Tokutake of Shadai Stallion Station said, “Hot Rod Charlie has only one [Grade I] win, but he is running steadily, and his pedigree background is a stallion that is definitely a Japan stallion [in the making] with a champion sprinter as his half-brother, [Mitole].”

Purchased for $17,000 as a short yearling out of the Fasig-Tipton February Sale, he developed into a $110,000 prospect when reoffered at Fasig-Tipton in October of 2019. The Edward A. Cox, Jr.-bred dark bay won a maiden special weight in his fourth start at two for Roadrunner Racing, Boat Racing, LLC & William Strauss and trainer Doug O'Neill and was later was a close second to Essential Quality (Tapit) in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile of 2020.

At three, Hot Rod Charlie was campaigned with the Triple Crown in mind, and was third in the GIII Robert B. Lewis S. prior to taking the GII Louisiana Derby by two lengths. Gainesway Farm bought in before he crossed the wire in third in the GI Kentucky Derby, although he was subsequently elevated to second as Medina Spirit (Protonico) was disqualified for a medication positive and Mandaloun (Into Mischief) was named the winner. The colt was only 1 1/4 lengths behind old rival Essential Quality when runner-up in the GI Belmont S., and he was a nose the best in the GI Haskell S., but was disqualified to seventh after drifting down the stretch. Recording a career-high victory at Parx in September, he rounded out the season with a fourth in the GI Breeders' Cup Classic at Del Mar, followed by a nose second in Santa Anita's GII San Antonio S.

Sent to Meydan in February of 2022, the then-4-year-old dashed to a 5 1/4-length win in the G2 Al Maktoum Challenge Round 2 prior to running second in the G1 Dubai World Cup a month later. Runner-up in his North American reappearance in the GIII Salvator Mile last June, he finished third behind Eclipse finalist Life Is Good (Into Mischief) in the GI Whitney S., narrowly besting Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike (Keen Ice) in the GII Lukas Classic in October. He concluded 2022 with a sixth in the GI Breeders' Cup Classic held at Keeneland Nov. 5.

“What to say? Thank you Hot Rod Charlie for the amazing memories, the great and often unpredictable ride and for inspiring us to give our ALL every time,” tweeted O'Neill. “Wishing him the best in his new career. We'll miss him around here.”

In a press release, O'Neill continued: “Hot Rod Charlie was a phenomenal racehorse. He competed against the best of his generation and proved his class time and again. As a half-brother to champion sprinter Mitole, the sky's the limit. We look forward to following his stud career.”

He retires with a mark of 19-5-5-4 and $5,676,720 in earnings. The fifth foal, runner and winner for his placed dam, Hot Rod Charlie hails from the same family as GII Davona Dale S. heroine Live Lively (Medaglia d'Oro).

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