Poker Strategy: Look Out For The Flush Draw

Let’s take a look at a situation that some online players find irresistible, and this situation is playing hands just for the color. Why they do it is pretty simple: they look nice all rounded up and with the same color and they will surely bring the player fabulous winnings. But they won’t, you need luck to get a flush just out of two cards. They play for instance and Ace or a king along with any kicker just because they are from the same suit. Many even cross this line, and they think that anything is worth playing if the two cards share the same color.

You looking back at your game you find that you also can be help responsible for these kinds of hands, even when you find yourself in early position, then you must really rethink your way of playing. Let’s take a look at the odds you get a flush right out of the flop. So, to have a flush them you must have in your hand two card of one color, and next to this, the three cards dealt in the flop must be all three of the exact same color as the ones you are holding. The chances for that to happen are under 1%. They are actually about 0.85%. That means something like 118 to 1. Very low chances. So, even now when you know this you might still play let’s say an Ace with any suited card because you hope you will get a flush along with the flop or on the river. But, usually you have to waste lots of money to test this. And saying that you do have a flush, you can not be sure that you have the winning hand. Maybe another player tried it too and he has a flush also, only with better cards than yours.

I know that everyone finds it hard to give up this method but if you want to be successful you must give it up. Just think of it as it is a bad think, that will surely make you lose money and this way you might be able to give it up.

To stop yourself from doing this mistake again just set an objective not to play this hands for 10 poker sessions from now one. Take a pen and a paper and note down every hand you will throw that fits this description. And fold but continue watching the game. In the end do some calculus and see if you could have won that hand. Include all the bets you would have made to win it, how much money you would have spent on that hand and how much you would eventually win.

Repeat this for every hand. And after 10 poker sessions, add all the figures up. And surprisingly you will realize that it was a right decision, that you saved money and this will convince you too be more careful with hands of two suited cards.

4,595 Winning Tickets On Rainbow Pick 6 Mandatory Payout Day At Santa Anita

On a picture perfect Memorial Day at Santa Anita in Arcadia, Calif., fans wagered $4,584,692 in new money, creating a total pool with a mandatory payout in the 20 cent Rainbow Pick 6 Jackpot of $5,173,176.  Sunday's Rainbow 6 was bookended by a pair of Grade 1 stakes, the $500,000 Shoemaker Mile and the $400,000 Gamely, resulting in 4,595 winning tickets, each worth $889.60.

With the Shoe Mile, carded as race five going to the second wagering choice Count Again, who paid $7.00 to win and the Gamely Stakes taken by Irish-bred Ocean Road at $12.20, post time favorites took three out of the six Rainbow 6 races.

Program numbers and winning mutuel prices on today's Rainbow 6 winners were as follows:  R5, #2 ($7.00), R6, #3 ($4.80), R7, #2 ($4.00), R8, #1 ($6.40), R9, #8 ($6.20) and R10, # 3 ($12.20).

Live racing will resume with first post time for an eight-race card on Friday at 1 p.m.

Closing day for Santa Anita's 75-day Winter/Spring Meet is Sunday, June 19.

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Irish-Bred Ocean Road Upstages Going To Vegas, Going Global In Gamely

Last to the quarter pole, the Brendan Walsh-trained Ocean Road, in her third North American start, unfurled an impressive turn of foot the final three sixteenths of a mile to win Monday's Grade 1, $400,000 Gamely Stakes at Santa Anita in Arcadia, Calif., by a half length under Umberto Rispoli while getting 1 1/8 miles on firm turf in 1:46.66.

Last while in-hand behind five rivals in the run to the first turn, Ocean Road began to inch forward leaving the half mile, but was still last, about 2 ½ lengths behind Canoodling and Going to Vegas approaching the quarter pole.  At that point, Rispoli angled out four-deep and Ocean Road went on to overtake Going to Vegas and Irad Ortiz, Jr. close home in a big effort.

“I think there's some more improvement in her and I can't see why she wouldn't keep going forward,” said Walsh, who is based in Kentucky and flew in earlier from Lexington.  “Umberto had her in a nice spot and he was able to creep in a little closer going to the (far) turn.  There were a couple nice fillies in this race and we knew we weren't going to get by them too easy.  She showed a nice kick and it's always good to see that from a horse coming over here to run in this country.

“The guys that came out with her here to Santa Anita have been telling me all week how good she's been doing, that she's just blossomed out here.  Today, she had a bit of a swagger about her.  I knew she was going to run a good race, whether it was going to be good enough or not remained to be seen.

“I've been lucky here at Santa Anita.  I won a couple Breeders' Cup marathons back when I first started out (in 2014 and 2016), so this makes three stakes here.”

A respectable sixth, beaten seven lengths with trouble in her U.S. debut, the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf at Del Mar Nov. 6, Ocean Road, in her first start for Walsh, took a first condition allowance going 1 1/8 miles on turf by a nose at Keeneland on April 15.  Off at 5-1 with Rispoli up for the first time today, she paid $12.20, $5.40 and $2.60.

“It's very special,” said Rispoli, who despite relocating in early April to Kentucky, opted to return to Santa Anita recently.  “Sheikh Fahad (owner, Qatar Racing) always was a big supporter of mine when I was in France and even overseas a couple of times, he came to run in Hong Kong with a couple of horses and I was always pleased to wear his colors…Coming back and having a Grade 1 win here (at Santa Anita)…makes me very happy.”

Owned by Qatar Racing, Ocean Road, a 4-year-old filly, got her first Grade 1 win today, thus improving her overall mark to 8-3-1-2.  With the winner's share of $240,000, she increased her bankroll to $351,772.

Going to Vegas, who put away longshot Canoodling turning for home and repelled a stout challenge from Going Global in deep stretch, finished second by one length and paid $4.00 and $2.20 while off at 2-1.

One of three Irish-breds in the race, Going Global was the 4-5 favorite with Flavien Prat and finished one length clear of Canoodling with no apparent excuses, returning $2.10 to show. Pacesetter Canoodling finished fourth, with Eddie's New Dream and Thrumps Dream rounding out the order of finish. England's Rose and Neige Blanche were scratched.

Fractions on the race were 23.49, 47.81, 1:11.65 and 1:35.11.

Live racing returns with first post time for an eight-race card on Friday at 1 p.m.

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Silver Prospector’s Steve Sexton Mile Score Caps Four-Win Day For Asmussen, Elliott

Putting the finishing touch on a four-win day for the trainer-jockey combination of Steve Asmussen and Stewart Elliott, Ed and Susie Orr's 5-year-old Silver Prospector ended a two-year stakes drought by winning Monday's Grade 3, $400,000 Steve Sexton Mile Stakes at Lone Star Park in Grand Prairie, Texas.

The gray son of Declaration of War was forwardly placed throughout while wide, ran down pace-setting Mish inside the eighth pole and drew off late to win by 1 1/2 lengths, covering the mile in 1:37.20 on a fast track. Silver Prospector, winning for the fifth time in 21 career starts, paid $13 to win.

Mish, making his stakes debut for Florida-based trainer Saffie Joseph Jr., held second by a neck after setting all the fractions under Edwin Gonzalez. Shaaz, a West Coast invader made the 2-1 favorite under Florent Geroux in his stakes debut, finished third, with local hope Popular Kid another neck back in fourth in the field of nine older runners. Rated R Superstar, Sheriff Brown, Flash of Mischief, Mine That Star and Tesoro completed the order of finish. Elector was scratched before making the trip to Texas from his California base.

Earlier on the day, Asmussen and Elliott teamed to win a starter/optional claiming race with Lady Ave, took the Memorial Day Sprint Stakes with Kalypso and then scored a 10-1 upset in the $300,000 Texas Derby with the Curlin colt King Ottoman for Three Chimneys Farm.

Silver Prospector, bred by Hargus and Sandra Sexton and Silver Fern Farm LLC and produced from the stakes-placed Tapit mare Tap Softly, was a $180,000 2-year-olds in training purchase by the Orrs at the OBS April sale from the consignment of Eisaman Equine. Later that year, Silver Prospector won the G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes as a 2-year-old in 2019, defeating eventual G1 Belmont Stakes winner Tiz the Law among others. As a 3-year-old, the gray colt won the G3 Southwest Stakes, but a sixth-place finish in the G2 Rebel began a  streak of nine non-winning performances in graded stakes, though he would finish second in the G3 Razorback and G3 Mineshaft.

The Steve Sexton Mile was his first win since an allowance victory Oct. 30, 2020.

After breaking from the outside post and racing five wide around the first turn, Elliott moved toward the leader approaching the far turn after Mish set fractions of :24.00 for the opening quarter mile and :46.99 for the half. Silver Prospector loomed up to challenge Mish nearing the quarter pole and overtook the front-runner to get the win following a six-furlong fraction of 1:11.33 and seven furlongs in 1:23.91.

“Stewart gave him a great trip,” Asmussen told TVG's Scott Hazelton. “You know he's kept great company his whole career – a couple of graded stakes wins. It's great to have him in the winner's circle after a great race like this.”

The race is named for the respected racetrack executive who was part of the management team when Lone Star Park opened in 1997. Sexton held executive positions at a number of other tracks, including Canterbury Downs, Golden Gate Fields, Thistledown, Arlington Park and Churchill Downs, serving as president from 2002-'09 at the home of the Kentucky Derby. A member of the Texas Horse Racing Hall of Fame, Sexton died Dec. 12, 2016, at the age of 57 after battling brain cancer.

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