View From The Eighth Pole: The Inevitability Of Change

It's difficult to imagine what horse racing in North America is going to look like 10 or 15 years from now. This much seems certain: It's going to look different.

It is almost certain that some tracks will follow the same path as now-defunct Bay Meadows, Hollywood Park, Calder, Arlington Park, and others before them. In some cases, the land is too valuable to justify standalone horse racing operations that eke out low-margin profits. A growing number of racetracks connected to slots parlors are owned by casino companies that would like nothing better than to decouple the two gambling activities. That spells disaster for racing. And then there is the challenge of societal changes where more than a few people view the use of animals for sports or entertainment as cruel. That is a real threat in some states.

The only new tracks built in recent years are those that are coupled by necessity with casinos. Horse racing proponents in Georgia continue to push for legalization of pari-mutuel wagering so a racetrack can be built in the Peach State. But wasn't that tried in Alabama with the colossal failure of the Birmingham Turf Club more than 30 years ago? What would make Georgia any different?

No state's horse racing picture seems brighter than Kentucky, which has solidified its future with races from the past. Historical horse racing, whose legality was very much in doubt just a few years ago, is now the foundation for a strong purse structure for horse owners and a profitable bottom line for the racetracks. That's all thanks to state legislators who recognized the importance of Kentucky's signature industry and made the historical horse racing machines legal, expanding their reach to virtually every corner of the state.

Churchill Downs in Louisville, home of the Kentucky Derby, has been regularly expanding its hospitality offerings and will continue to do so for as long as enough people put America's most famous horse race on their bucket list.

The future of the host sites for the second and third legs of the Triple Crown is not quite as certain.

Pimlico Race Course in Maryland is an aging relic that needs to be demolished and replaced if the Preakness is to remain in Baltimore. Legislation in 2020 authorized financing of up to $375 million to rebuild Pimlico and renovate Laurel Park, its sister track 25 miles down the road, but those projects have stalled during the coronavirus pandemic and there is no firm timetable or definitive plan for what those tracks will look like.

Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y., where the final Triple Crown leg, the Belmont Stakes, is run, has already undergone a partial transformation. Just behind the massive grandstand is the UBS Arena, home of the National Hockey League's New York Islanders. The Arena will also be a concert venue, with restaurants and bars expected to spring up around the property at some point.

But that's just the first phase of what could be major changes at Belmont Park. The editorial board of Newsday wrote recently about a potential new grandstand that could be used for winter racing with the anticipated closure of Aqueduct. A tunnel into the infield could help accommodate the large crowds that Belmont Park gets one day a year on Belmont Stakes Day, especially if a new grandstand is smaller than the current one. It's also hoped that a new structure would bring Belmont Park back into the picture as a potential host site for the Breeders' Cup.

Those who long for the good old days are going to be disappointed, because they're not coming back. But change isn't necessarily bad; it is, however, inevitable.

That's my view from the eighth pole.

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PLAYING POKER: The Ultimate Small Business Idea Part 2

Copyright 2006 The Brad Eden Company

The truth about online poker Online is you do not use a real deck of cards. You really don’t even use cards at all while playing any type of game online. You are playing with computer generated information. These are the same numbers as mathematics that are flawed and irregular and have a massive array of patterns. This is why I cannot stress the importance of securing your own personal poker business. I personally found that once I re-evaluated everything I did not want to continue playing poker online unless I had an incredible edge not only over the players but the site itself. When I first started I played not for recreation but because I thought I had a chance to make some money out of it. Then when I came into the poker scene and literally got robbed of hundreds of dollars. I’m sure you’ve seen poker sites post their “RNG certificates” to show that you are playing a “fair game”. “RNG” stands for Random Number Generator. The “RNG” is a special area in

computer gaming software that will “try” to produce a “random event”. In poker software the “random event” would be the cards and the outcome of the hand. Not many people understand this concept but producing a completely random event from a computer is IMPOSSIBLE. Think about this for a second. If a completely random event was possible from a computer that would mean Artificial Intelligence would be possible. Artificial Intelligence is basically having a computer hold a real conversation with you and being able to do anything at all it wanted. Since we are not living in a fantasy world this is not possible. That also means that when the poker RNG software tries to pick random cards and random events it is simply relying on what it is programmed to do. Every event that occurs from a computer requires a human to program that event. This is the big question about online gambling software. How is it fair then if it is not random? The bottom line is simple.

When you physically pick up a deck of cards and begin to shuffle those cards you are causing a natural random event that a computer would never be capable of doing. Your motion and sense of touch and all of your other senses for that matter are playing a major role in where those cards fall. You will never get that type of randomness from a computer generated deck of cards. The poker sites will never let the public know how their RNG functions because then we could mathematically figure out the cards that will come next. Then when the site uses a “Third Party Tester” you still don’t know what’s going on for real! Are you going to trust a piece of paper on a site saying that the RNG is really random when it is scientifically impossible to have a completely random event from a computer at all?

end of part 2

Former CHRB Chairman Winner Dies

Courtesy California Horse Racing Board

Chuck Winner, an internationally recognized expert in public affairs, crisis communications, and campaign management, who served on the California Horse Racing Board from 2012 to 2019, five of those years as chairman, passed away Thursday morning, Mar. 24, from natural causes at the age of 81.

Mr. Winner guided the CHRB through difficult times, most notably during the winter of 2019 when a rash of equine fatalities at Santa Anita Park attracted worldwide scrutiny. He led the push for improved safety measures to protect horses and riders, which resulted in greater equine health and welfare throughout California.

After advising Governor Gavin Newsom's office that he would not be seeking reappointment after he completed his second term as a racing commissioner on July 26, 2019, Mr. Winner said, “It's been a challenging yet fulfilling seven years. My colleagues and I have faced some challenging and critical issues. I hope that we have made a positive difference.”

Mr. Winner is survived by his wife, Annie, and four children: Justyn, Ethan, Nicole, and Zach. Private funeral arrangements are pending.

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Jockey Junior Alvarado Plans To Ride Year-Round In South Florida

Junior Alvarado, a mainstay at New York racetracks for the past decade, has decided to stick around following the April 3 conclusion of the Championship Meet to ride year-round at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla.

“I've been riding the last 10 years in New York. There's a tough colony there. I just think moving here year-round is a good move to win races,” the 36-year-old Venezuela-born jockey said Thursday after recording his 48th victory of the Championship Meet aboard Kodama ($9) in Race 4. “For the family, I think it's the right time to settle in beautiful Florida.”

Alvarado, who won his first race in Venezuela in 2005, rode his first winner in the U.S. at Gulfstream on Feb. 17, 2007. He ventured to Chicago-area tracks in 2008 and split his time between Chicago and New York in 2010 and 2011. He began riding in New York year-round in 2012. Alvarado has ridden at Gulfstream Park during the last three Championship Meets before riding the rest of the year in New York.

“In 2007, that was the first year I came here. I stayed year-round and then in 2008 in May I made my move to Chicago,” Alvarado said. “I like it here, but my business in New York was too good to leave. I think it's perfect timing now to move here.”

Alvarado, who has ridden the winners of 1907 races and $109 million in purses, ranks sixth in wins and fifth in purses-earned this season at Gulfstream Park.

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