Lizaid Registers A Stakes First For Zarak In Germany

Trainer Peter Schiergen had already scooped last month's G3 Zukunfstrennen, one of Germany's four juvenile pattern-race contests, with Rocchigiani (GB) (Time Test {GB}) and he doubled up with the once-raced maiden winner Lizaid (Ger) (Zarak {Fr}) in Sunday's G3 Die Winterkonigin – Preis des Derbysiegers Sisfahan at Baden-Baden to provide that filly's freshman sire (by Dubawi {Ire}) with a first black-type triumph. Lizaid's debut score came in the same one-mile Hannover maiden annexed by 2018 heroine Whispering Angel (Ger) (Soldier Hollow {GB}) and she remained undefeated to provide her trainer with a fourth renewal and a first since 2007. The eventual winner was well away from the inside stall and bowled along behind the leading duo in third after the initial exchanges of this black-type bow. Sent wide with the field into the straight, the 27-5 chance claimed the stands' side rail and the lead with 350 metres remaining and kept on strongly under final-furlong rousting to secure a career high by 2 1/4 lengths from 28-1 rank outsider Rondina (Ger) (Intello {Ger}). Rondina denied Schiergen an exacta by outbobbing Barina (Ire) (Gleneagles {Ire}) by a short head for second while 33-10 favourite Lacuna (GB) (Shalaa {Ire}) ran on from rear to finish a neck back in fourth.

Schiergen was delighted with the performances of Lizaid and Barina and said, “Both fillies had been working well and had improved from their debut victory, as a lot of my young horses do, so we were quite hopeful beforehand. Looking at the way they are bred, they should both be suited by longer distances next year.”

Lizaid is the first of two foals produced by G2 Diana-Trial third Litaara (Ger) (Wiener Walzer {Ger}), herself kin to MGSW G2 Union-Rennen victor Liang Kay (Ger) (Dai Jin {GB}) and stakes-winning G3 Kolner Herbst-Stuten-Meile placegetter Laeya Star (Ger) (Royal Dragon). The latter is the dam of G3 Herzog von Ratibor-Rennen third Laeyos (Ger) (Soldier Hollow {GB}) while Liang Kay's full-sister Laey Diamond (Ger) produced G1 Preis der Diana (German Oaks) heroine Lacazar (Ger) (Adlerflug {Ger}) and G3 Herzog von Ratibor-Rennen runner-up Liberry Gold (Ger) (Adlerflug {Ger}). The March-foaled homebred bay's dual stakes-winning second dam Linton Bay (Ger) (Funambule) is the leading performer out of Ludhiana (Ger) (Ti Amo {Ger}), whose descendants also include Listed Bayerischer Fliegerpreis and Listed Dallmayr Coupe Lukull winner Lonicera (Ger) (Charmer {Ire}). Lizaid hails from the family of Preis der Diana-winning champion Lis (Ger) (Masetto {Ger}) and she is kin to a weanling filly by Best Solution (Ire).

Sunday, Baden-Baden, Germany
DIE WINTERKONIGIN – PREIS DES DERBYSIEGERS SISFAHAN-G3, €105,000, Baden-Baden, 10-17, 2yo, f, 8fT, 1:42.87, gd.
1–LIZAID (GER), 128, f, 2, by Zarak (Fr)
1st Dam: Litaara (Ger) (GSP-Ger), by Wiener Walzer (Ger)
2nd Dam: Linton Bay (Ger), by Funambule
3rd Dam: Ludhiana (Ger), by Ti Amo (Ger)
1ST BLACK-TYPE WIN; 1ST GROUP WIN. O/B-Gestut Haus Zoppenbroich (GER); T-Peter Schiergen; J-Bauyrzhan Murzabayev. €60,000. Lifetime Record: 2-2-0-0, €63,000. Werk Nick Rating: F. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
2–Rondina (Ger), 128, f, 2, Intello (Ger)–Rondinay (Fr), by Cadeaux Genereux (GB). O-Stall Carpe Diem; B-Ralf Kredel (GER); T-Waldemar Hickst. €23,000.
3–Barina (Ire), 128, f, 2, Gleneagles (Ire)–Biscaya Bay (GB), by Dansili (GB). O-Gestut Ammerland; B-Ammerland Verwaltung & Co GmbH & Co KG (IRE); T-Peter Schiergen. €11,000.
Margins: 2 1/4, SHD, NK. Odds: 5.40, 27.60, 11.40.
Also Ran: Lacuna (GB), Enjoy The Dream (GB), Rosenart (GB), Stephanie In Love (Fr), Atomic Blonde (Ger), Artemia, Indian Sunset (Fr). Click for the Racing Post result or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.

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Money Management for Sports Betting Success:

A Fundamental Strategy to Grind Out Long Term Profits

From DocumentedCappers.com

Let’s face it: the number one goal of anyone who bets on sports is to win money. No one likes the feeling of wagering on a sporting event and then losing their hard earned money because their team didn’t win the game or cover the point spread. It has been well discussed in the past that most people who bet on sports lose money in the long run. After analyzing this trend, one of the biggest problems that most amateur bettors have is a poor, or nonexistent, money management strategy. While nothing in sports betting is ever for certain, there are some very important skills that you can learn, and implement today that will set you apart from a majority of the people that lose money betting on sports. You can become one of the few who shows a nice profit. This article is by no means all that there is to know or consider with a money management program, but it will give you a SOLID foundation from which to build your bankroll month after month, and year after year.

Establishing Sports Betting Goals

As I said earlier, people bet because they are trying to show a profit. One of the main questions that you need to consider when developing a winning plan for success is:

1. How much money do I want to make monthly or yearly from
betting on sports, and do I have enough money to start
with to accomplish this goal?

It’s ok if you don’t have a clear understanding of what the answers to the above two questions should be. Very shortly it will be perfectly clear.

Let’s use an example of an unrealistic goal: “I would like to make $500 per month betting on sports. I have $500 to start with at the beginning of the football season.”

FORGET IT, GO FIND A NEW HOBBY, OR GO PLAY THE LOTTERY!

Now let’s use an example of a realistic goal: “I would like to make and extra $100 – $300 per month betting on sports. I have $3000 to start with at the beginning of the football season.”

NOW THIS IS MUCH MORE REALISTIC, AND THIS ARTICLE WILL SHOW YOU HOW TO DO JUST THIS AND MORE BY FOLLOWING SOME BASIC MONEY MANAGEMENT SKILLS.

Just as with any business, if you treat sports betting as a serious business, money can be made, if you understand what is involved. Most people have unrealistic expectations that they can bet $50 a game with a $500 bankroll and be doubling their money in no time. It just DOES NOT AND WILL NOT work this way. We will now look at how to establish a proper bankroll for your betting habits, set realistic goals, and run your sports betting just as you would do with any other business.

Bankroll Size

The first thing you need to do is establish a starting bankroll for your sports betting, and then decide how much you will be betting on each particular game. Your bankroll should always determine your betting size, and the size of your bets should correlate with the size of your current bankroll.

Let’s define bankroll size as the amount of money available to place your bets with, and the investment vehicle to build your profits. The main betting technique that we use, and that we recommend you use for long term success with a majority of your bets is a basic 2% flat rate of bankroll. What this means is that if you start with a bankroll of $1000 your first bet would be for $20, or 2% of your bankroll. Why 2% you may ask? By betting 2% you will have nearly no chance of losing your entire bankroll during a losing streak, because as your bankroll decreases, a 2% bet will also get smaller as well. When things turn around and you go on a hot streak, and your bankroll grows to more than your initial $1000, you get to increase your bet size, simply by being disciplined and sticking with the 2% flat rate of bankroll system. Below you can see what 2% of different bankrolls looks like.

% of bankroll Initial Bankroll Bet Size

2 100 2
2 500 10
2 750 15
2 1000 20
2 1500 30
2 2000 40
2 5000 100
2 7500 150
2 10000 200
2 20000 400
2 50000 1000

Now you can see that if you are the type of person who feels comfortable betting $20 a game, you should start with a bankroll of $1000. You need to use this type of system to minimize your losses during cold streak and maximize your profits during a hot streak.

How much can I expect to profit?

To look at this we will use a scenerio of someone who has a starting bankroll of $1000 and we will examine how much money they can make using the 2% flat rate of bankroll system with different winning percentages for picking winners. We will track 100 bets.

Scenerio #1

Starting bankroll: $1000
Winning percentage: 55%
Initial bet size: $22
Number of bets: 100

Results:

55 winners = $1100
45 losers = $990
Rough estimate using 11-10 point spread odds
$1100 – $990 = $110 profit

Scenerio #2

Starting bankroll: $1000
Winning percentage: 57%
Initial bet size: $22
Number of bets: 100

Results:

57 winners = $1140
43 losers = $946
Rough estimate using 11-10 point spread odds
$1140 – $946 = $194 profit

Scenerio #3

Starting bankroll: $1000
Winning percentage: 59%
Initial bet size: $22
Number of bets: 100

Results:

59 winners = $1180
41 losers = $902
Rough estimate using 11-10 point spread odds
$1180 – $902 = $278 profit

If you are getting thoughts that you are interested in making more per 100 bets there are two ways to make this happen with this system. The first is to pick a higher percentage of winners, if you pick higher that 60% winners you will make more money than if you only pick 55% winners. The second way is to increase your bankroll, which will allow you to increase the size of your bets. As a 2% bet of $1000 was $20, (we used $22 to simplify the math), 2% of $2000 would be $40. This situation would now allow you to increase your profits quite nicely over a 100 bet stretch.

The above is a basic fundamental strategy involved in long term sports wagering success. It is a way to grind out long term profits month after month, and year after year. This system does not have the excitement factor of hitting a 6 team parlay, but it is a very safe way to build a bankroll little by little and make you one of the few you can proudly show a profit at the end of the year. Good luck!

Thunderous Affair, Lindsey Partridge Win 2020 Thoroughbred Makeover Champion

Thunderous Affair, trained by Lindsey Partridge, was selected by the panel of judges of the Thoroughbred Makeover and National Symposium, presented by Thoroughbred Charities of America, as the 2020 Thoroughbred Makeover Champion, sponsored by Churchill Downs.

The 2017 16.2 hand gray/roan mare was bred in Kentucky by Jim Williams. She never made a start, but did train to race. By Liaison out of the Thunder Gulch mare Thunder Fan, Thunderous Affair was placed through CANTER Michigan.

Lindsey Partridge, a professional based in Pontypool, Ontario, is no stranger to the Thoroughbred Makeover — she won the overall title back in 2015 with Soar — but this particular journey has not been without its challenges.

“She didn't trust me in the beginning,” recalled an emotional Partridge. “I really had to slow down and just go to events, and just not make it about competing. Just the fact that she was so calm and relaxed here and able to trust me to do everything — gosh, I'm going to start crying!”

Partridge, who has made a name for herself with her unique brand of horsemanship and crowd-pleasing freestyle routines, trained Thunderous Affair to not one but two discipline championships — Freestyle, in which the pair played with Partridge's signature big blue tarp and other props, and Competitive Trail, in which Thunderous Affair's easygoing demeanor impressed judges and spectators alike.

“It's all about putting that relationship first,” Partridge described, reflecting on her past Makeover performances and her road to success. “I've done ranch and field hunter and trail and freestyle, but it all comes back to that partnership first.”

2020 Thoroughbred Makeover Discipline Champions (in order of go):

Eventing, sponsored by Tipperary Equestrian: Legend's Hope, trained by Jazz Napravnik
Show Jumper, sponsored by Excel Equine: Canton Comet, trained by Samantha Fawcett
Show Hunter, sponsored by Beyond the Wire: Still Dreaming, trained by Charles Hairfield
Field Hunter, sponsored by Masters of Foxhounds Association: Zapper, trained by Cameron Sadler
Dressage, sponsored by PTHA's Turning For Home: Elbow Room, trained by Helen Pianca
Polo, sponsored by United States Polo Association: That's My Bertie, trained by Willowbrook Polo Team
Freestyle, sponsored by New Start: Thunderous Affair, trained by Lindsey Partridge
Barrel Racing, sponsored by SmartPak: Czraina Maria, trained by Jessica Frederick
Competitive Trail, sponsored by Godolphin: Thunderous Affair, trained by Lindsey Partridge
Ranch Work, sponsored by MidAtlantic Horse Rescue: Aussie Prayer, trained by Raechel Ramsey

A full list of results and awards can be found at TBMakeover.org.

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Warren’s Showtime Best In California Distaff At Santa Anita

Classy Warren's Showtime overcame a pedestrian pace and rallied from last to take Saturday's $100,000 California Distaff Handicap for owner/breeders Ben and Sally Warren and trainer Craig Lewis at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif. An ultra-consistent chestnut filly by top sire Clubhouse Ride, Warren's Showtime, in her first try down the track's hillside turf course, went about 6 ½ furlongs under Juan Hernandez in 1:13.76.

Last after the first half mile but only about four lengths off the lead, Warren's Showtime, who was shortening up out of five consecutive turf miles, loomed ominously as the field made the dirt crossing at the top of the lane and sliced her way through traffic in what was to become her seventh career stakes victory.

“I wasn't confident when I saw the first quarter, but I could see Juan was confident, so that gave me some hope,” said Lewis, who also conditioned millionaire Clubhouse Ride and Warren's Showtime's Grade I winning dam, Warren's Veneda. “(It) made me think maybe. Once she got into gear, I knew she'd get there…Another Clubhouse Ride, they just run.”

Overlayed at 2-1 off of her morning line of 9-5 in a field of six fillies and mares, Warren's Showtime paid $6.80, $3.80, and $2.80.

With the Distaff winner's share of $60,000, Warren's Showtime boosted her earnings to $775,431 from an overall mark of 22-8-2-10.

“I knew the pace wasn't that fast, but she was in the bridle and pulling,” said Hernandez, who has been aboard for her last nine races. “That's the way she likes to run and she came with a big run today. She's a nice filly, very consistent.”

The Warrens, who came in from their Las Vegas base to watch today's Distaff, were understandably elated with their homebred star.

“It's just been unbelievable and (Ben) has had so many horses, but not one that has been so consistent as 'Showtime,'” said Sally Warren. “We were just saying, 19 out of 21 starts and she's hit the board and that's unbelievable…We are really, really thankful. Craig picked her out at the farm, now we know (why).”

Although it was expected that speedy Anna Fantastic would make the early lead, most observers felt she'd be pressed by eventual favorite Bella Vita through quick early splits, but with Bella Vita taking a more conservative approach, moderate hillside fractions of :22.90, :45.99, and 1:08.14 resulted and it was Sedamar, who was second to the dirt crossing, who prevailed for the place by a half-length over Anna Fantastic.

Ridden by Joe Bravo, Sedamar was off at 7-1 and paid $6.60 and $4.40.

Anna Fantastic, off at 4-1 with Edwin Maldonado up, paid $3.60 to show while finishing 2 ¼ lengths clear of even-money favorite Bella Vita.

The California Distaff Handicap is part of the lucrative CTBA sponsored Golden State Series for eligible California-bred or sired fillies and mares three and up.

The Distaff marked win number two on the day with two races remaining for Hernandez, giving him 10 for the meet—five back of Flavien Prat, who has 15 wins through nine racing days.

First post time for a nine-race card on Sunday is at 1 p.m.

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