Wagering Insecurity: The Rise Of Grey Betting Markets

Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale made it clear how important it was, for him and the overall racing industry, to place his massive Kentucky Derby bet on-track at Churchill Downs. He told the Thoroughbred Daily News:

“It's crazy that some people in the horse racing business bet with a bookie or go offshore to a place like Costa Rica. They're not supporting racing.”

While there are plenty of legal arrangements for betting on U.S. racing, be it through any ADW account, at the track, an OTB outlet, or even for those abroad betting through licensed bookmakers who have agreements in place with U.S. tracks, there are many illicit operators which seek to skirt the law and share no revenue with horsemen or track operators.

Betting markets can be classified in three categories, defined below in the recent Handbook from the Asian Racing Federation's Council on Anti-Illegal Betting and Related Financial Crime (ARFCAIB):

– [Legal] market: Companies licensed to operate in the jurisdiction where their customers are located.

 – Grey market: Companies licensed in some jurisdictions, but which take bets from consumers in jurisdictions where they are not licensed.

 – [Illegal] market: Operators who have no license from any jurisdiction.

No matter how robust your legal market regulation and monitoring may be, racing operators worldwide must be attentive to the issues created by grey and illegal betting sites.

For this report, we speak most about “grey market operators” – or GMOs. Their presence can impact legal pari-mutuel markets, degrade customer confidence and threaten the integrity of the sport. That impact was felt on at least three occasions in the last month at one U.S. track.

In April 2021, at least three instances of tote pool manipulation occurred in quinella pools at Will Rogers Downs in Oklahoma.

Extremely large wagers, relative to the size of the overall pool, were placed on combinations likely to lose, inflating the actual tote returns on more favored horses.

The goal of such manipulation is to dramatically change the odds on the pari-mutuel outcomes and win far more by betting through a non-parimutuel operator (like a GMO) which pays at track prices and at generous limits. While the manipulated bets on the legal, pari-mutuel pools are expected to be losing ones and inflate the returns for other successful customers, the manipulator aims to make a far larger score through their other plays. There were instances of such manipulation through the mid-1990s at Nevada racebooks before most books stopped booking racing bets and adopted pari-mutuel wagering on racing.

The quinella pool at Will Rogers typically handled between a few hundred dollars to less than $2,000 per race. In the most egregious example of manipulation, which occurred in Race 2 on April 27, the quinella pool totaled $7,469 for this Oklahoma-bred claiming event.

The winning quinella (first two horses in any order) featured the two favorites in a five-horse field and returned an astounding $51.30 for every $1 bet. The exacta with the same horses returned $6.20 while the trifecta with the third choice in betting running third paid $9.60.

What seemed like a gift for favorite backers could have been a nightmare for those who legitimately backed the two longest-priced runners in the small field if that result had materialized. The quinella probable payouts featuring those two horses, who closed at 6-1 and 9-1 in the win pool, would have returned $1.05 for every $1 bet.

A review of the quinella probables in the final moments of betting showed that the eventual winning combination was paying $3.90 in the next-to-last update of the probables, while the longshot combination, which would tumble to $1.05, was paying $18.30 at that time.

What was being treated as the least likely outcome in the win and exacta pool would close as a 1-20 favorite in the quinella pool.

There were variations on these manipulations earlier, on April 7 and April 20. The acts of manipulation are not in violation of law or even existing betting rules but could trigger a blow to customer confidence and lead to legitimate questions about the integrity of race results, depending on the circumstances of each race. Vigilance from stewards and regulators is absolutely necessary.

Will Rogers Downs, much to their credit, stopped offering quinella wagers after their April 28 races.

Grey Market Operators (GMOs)

While wanting to raise awareness to the issues the GMOs create, TIF has no interest in promoting a troublesome betting option. For that reason, we use generic titles below to describe the actions of three GMOs.

Grey Market Operator 1 (GMO1) is based in Asia and is reportedly the world's largest unregulated betting exchange. It shares no information and allegedly handles as much on Hong Kong racing as the Hong Kong Jockey Club (HKJC) itself.

Michael Cox's 2015 profile is well worth reading, providing additional insight on GMOs and a connection to U.S. racing.

In February 2021, three men were arrested, and more than US$1 million in cash seized, at Hong Kong's Sha Tin Racecourse where the men were allegedly laying horses which were slow into stride, using sites like those run by GMO1 and taking advantage of the lag between live viewing of the races and the ability of sites to shut betting.

Attendance at Sha Tin was severely limited due to the COVID-19 pandemic and those arrested were guests of, at the least, Hong Kong horse owners.

As cited previously in this series, Hong Kong's betting monitoring includes profiles on jockeys and alerts are triggered if “irregular trends” for slow starts are identified.

Grey Market Operator 2 (GMO2) is perhaps the most aggressive operator seeking to attract racing wagering from Americans.

GMO2 operates a marketing arm which produces legitimate, original racing-related content from established and even award-winning American racing writers and media members. They created an annual award series, tagging various trainers, jockeys and other racing fans through social media in the hopes of engaging them to spread their message and promote their illicit platforms.

You won't find a more striking example of the degradation of American racing journalism and its lack of independent media coverage on it than seeing recognized journalists and publicists accepting work for a GMO.

GMO2 prefers that its customers use cryptocurrency to fund accounts and receive winnings while guaranteeing a daily rebate on all play. One executive with a legal American ADW, who asked not to be identified, told TIF that GMO2 has “an incredibly effective search engine optimization strategy which almost certainly is helping them grow their business.”

Grey Market Operator 3 (GMO3) offers 17 different methods to fund accounts to bet on any number of sports or racing offerings. Eight of the funding methods are cryptocurrencies, headlined by Bitcoin, but includes Ethereum and several smaller cryptocurrencies. GMOs seem to have a growing affinity for cryptocurrency because of the difficulties with legitimate banking transfers.

According to the ARFCAIB Handbook, this evolution in funding methods presents more challenges to concern racing.

“Many cryptocurrency betting operators accept bets that allow the customer complete anonymity…

“To support integrity operations, sports and gambling regulators rely on information-sharing agreements with betting operators…

“Account opening procedures can be limited to user name, password and e-mail address, while some operators do not even require these for a customer to place a bet.”

On Saturday, January 30, 2021, GMO3 took betting across every Thoroughbred and Standardbred race in America.

One year earlier, in January 2020, a tweet from an American owner whose horses accumulated earnings approaching $9 million from more than 1,000 starts over the last five years as of April 2021, boasted about winning thousands from GMO3 and posted screenshots (since deleted, though retained by TIF) of the successful bets.

A second horse owner whose family history in the sport includes a win in a Breeders' Cup race, posted images of successful GMO bets on racing via social media in February 2021. He indicated ADWs were not legal in his U.S. state, and thus he had no choice but to use such an option.

Betting with GMOs is the least sustainable method of wagering on American racing. No revenue from these bets is returned – to horsemen to fund purses or tracks to fund operations.

They are free riders on racing's own product.

Race fixing and worse

Speaking at the 2020 Asian Racing Conference, Tom Chignell, the HKJC's Executive Manager, Racing Integrity and Betting Analysis, a member of the ARFCAIB, and a former betting investigator with the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), offered a sobering assessment of the overall situation:

“The greatest betting integrity threat to racing are jockeys or trainers stopping horses from winning and then betting them to lose on the illegal markets.”

Chignell makes it clear that the sport's attention to bet monitoring must come not only on the legal markets on which racing regulators have some oversight, but also an awareness of other, less-visible markets which can also lead to corruption of the sport.

“You have to be looking at the illegal market. If you are looking to race-fix or match-fix, why would you bet with the legal market where there are healthy, established reporting channels when there is a large illegal market, with insufficient know-your-customer [policies] and almost non-existent reporting channels to racing authorities?”

Betting sites in the grey or illegal markets are not operating solely out of pure profit motives either, but also as a conduit for money laundering of other criminal proceeds.

The ARFCAIB Handbook outlines the specifics:

“Illegal betting is also a key means of money laundering by transnational organized crime. It has been estimated that US$140 billion, or 10% of global crime proceeds, is laundered through sports betting every year…

“Sports betting websites are essentially analogous to financial institutions as they are involved in deposits and withdrawal of money, which can be huge amounts. Yet, illegal operators are subject to none of the [anti-money laundering] oversight of financial institutions or indeed legal betting operators.

“Exacerbating this is the fact that many illegal operators are deliberately run poorly in this regard – they are set up by transnational organized crime specifically to make the proceeds of crime appear to be the profits from licensed betting operations.

“For example, in 2015, police seized EUR2 billion [approximately $2.5 billion] of assets from the 'Ndrangheta, the Italian organized crime group behind most of Europe's cocaine trade. These assets included 82 gambling websites licensed in the betting haven of Malta, through which huge sums were laundered.”

The ARFCAIB does not currently have a member from North America within its ranks, which includes racing industry representatives from Australia, Great Britain, Hong Kong, New Zealand, South Korea and organizational representation from the United Nations Office on Drugs and CrimeINTERPOL and the Australia Criminal Intelligence Commission.

The more direct connection between the role of racing and that of grey and illegal markets becomes clearer, as the ARFCAIB Handbook continues:

“The globalization of sport and betting has been a perfect combination for the corruption of racing and other sport. Match-fixers can arrange a fix safe in the knowledge that leading Asian illegal bookmakers often accept large bets on even obscure sporting events.

“Unlike legal operators, illegal betting operators do not share information about suspicious betting patterns or otherwise co-operate with law enforcement or sports governing bodies. Illegal betting operators ignore race-and match-fixing, and may actively participate.

“Race-and match-fixing has a huge social and economic impact, and if not stopped leads to a vicious cycle of corruption which can destroy the public's faith in the sport. Once lost, it is extremely difficult if not impossible to win back this trust.

“For horse racing, this is of even greater concern, since the sport depends on public confidence in racing integrity, without which there is no betting appeal.”

While a majority of developed racing jurisdictions are managing their racing and betting operations cognizant of these threats, North America is falling short of much of the rest of the racing world, at least for now.

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Report: Derby DQ May Come Down To Legal Phrasing

As discussion around Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit's positive betamethasone test continues, the attorney for owner Amr Zedan seems to already be preparing a legal challenge for a potential disqualification.

Kentucky regulations spell out penalties for trainers and for owners following a drug positive, depending on the number and class of drug violations for the relevant licensee. The penalties for owners include disqualification and loss of purse, as well as a potential requirement for horses to undergo further examination or testing before returning to racing.

As explained in the Louisville Courier-Journal, there seems to be some debate about what will happen if a split sample comes back positive. Dr. Mary Scollay, former equine medical director for the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission, and Marc Guilfoil, current executive director for the commission, both point out that there is no “mitigating circumstance” language in the owner sanctions for a Class C positive. Stewards are given a range of possible suspensions and fines for trainers with the phrase “absent mitigating circumstances” at the end, meaning they can use discretion within those ranges depending on information they get from the trainer about how the drug became introduced to the horse — i.e., environmental contamination. There is no “mitigating circumstances” language at the end of the penalties outlined for owners in this circumstance.

Attorney Clark Brewster maintains however that the phrase “shall apply” when referring to the disqualification and loss of purse for owners is legally ambiguous. While lay people understand “shall” and “must” to be the same, Brewster points out that there is some variation in interpretation of the two words in legal settings. Brewster argues that stewards should take mitigating circumstances — like whether the drug was intended to advance performance — into account when they make their eventual decision.

Read more at the Louisville Courier-Journal

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Frankel’s Hurricane Lane Takes the Dante

Maintaining his unbeaten record in an attritional renewal of York's G2 Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante S. on Thursday, Godolphin's Hurricane Lane (Ire) (Frankel {GB}) duly put himself in the picture for a fascinating G1 Epsom Derby. Coming through the Charlie Appleby ranks with a win in the 10-furlong Newbury conditions race that has acted as an important stepping stone to Epsom in recent times, the chestnut with abundant stamina was put in second early with William Buick keeping tabs on Ballydoyle's Roman Empire (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}). As that second string cut loose in the straight under Hollie Doyle, the chasers were hard at it in behind and for more than a furlong it looked as if the pacemaker was gone but Hurricane Lane continued to pound away at the gaping margin. By the time the furlong marker loomed, the 5-1 second favourite was on the case along with Megallan (GB) (Kingman {GB}) with the 13-8 favourite High Definition (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}) running a rusty but encouraging comeback race in their wake. At the line, there was 3/4 of a length between the Appleby and Gosden runners with Ballydoyle's much-discussed G2 Beresford S. winner getting to within a further 1 1/4 lengths in what can only be seen as an ideal blue riband prep given his upset preparation. William Buick was on the winner and believes he has a genuine chance in the June 5 Classic. “This was a good Dante on paper and a true-run race, so what you saw is what you get,” he said. “He'll go there with good credentials–he's done nothing wrong and this is an important test which he's come out of with flying colours.”

Making his debut at Newmarket when beating the useful handicapper Parachute (GB) (Sea the Stars {Ire}) over a mile on heavy ground in the “Future Stayers” Novice S. in October, Hurricane Lane had returned in the same fashion in the Apr. 16 Newbury heat which has played host to the subsequent Classic winners Enable (GB) (Nathaniel {Ire}), Star of Seville (GB) (Duke of Marmalade {Ire}) and Light Shift (Kingmambo). Buick is happy that he has the experience to make an impact in the big one. “He did the same at Newbury–once he gets company he battles back and goes through the gears gradually and in his own time but always in time,” he added. “He answers every call and everyone was racing from two out to the line here–at the line I thought he was well on top. I was drawn 11 and so only had the option to go forward, but he relaxed nicely and was always in a nice rhythm. I wanted to give him time to build up his momentum, as he was certain to stay and is certain to improve for the step up to a mile and a half. He's a big horse who has never been on fast ground, but the Derby is usually run on good and he's done everything a little bit smoother and a little bit quicker each time he's run. The way he's going, he's going to improve and go to Epsom a better horse.”

Appleby revealed that the winner would be joined by the G1 2000 Guineas sixth One Ruler (Ire) (Dubawi {Ire}). “We felt this horse had the best form, so we were confident that Hurricane Lane was the right one to go to the Dante,” he said. “He's got a great temperament for a big horse and is a good mover. It was lovely ground and he's jumped and travelled well and stayed well, so he ticks a lot of the boxes. I was a bit worried Hollie's horse had got away from them, but once I saw he was stopping I was confident our horse would keep galloping and that's what he's done. He's proven he's got stamina in abundance and the step up in trip at Epsom should suit him. I've been on the phone to His Highness Sheikh Mohammed and he was pleased, so as long as the horse comes out of it fit and well, that is the obvious place to go.”

John Gosden said of the runner-up, “He came here on trial for the [G1] Prix du Jockey Club [at Chantilly June 6] and if he's in good order that's where he'll go, as that is his trip. Megallan has a better turn of foot on quicker ground, so we'll have to see what it's like. I think the two best trials are the Derrinstown and the Dante, I think the winners are the two smart ones and Aidan also has two smart fillies.”

Hurricane Lane is the second foal out of the heavy-ground listed scorer Gale Force (GB) (Shirocco {Ger}), a homebred of Lord Vestey who was a friend of the Queen and former Master of the Horse and who died in February. Gale Force, who was most at home over two miles, boasted as her first foal the winner's full-sister Frankel's Storm (GB) who was runner-up in the Listed Junioren-Preis as a juvenile and won over a mile and a half the following season. The second dam Hannda (Ire) (Dr. Devious {Ire}), who produced the G1 Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares S. heroine Seal of Approval (Ire) (Authorized {Ire}), is also kin to the G3 Concorde S. winner Hamairi (Ire) (Spectrum {Ire}), the Listed Testimonial S. scorer and G3 Ridgewood Pearl S. runner-up Hanabad (Ire) (Cadeaux Genereux {GB}) and to the dam of the G3 Derrinstown Stud 1000 Guineas Trial winner Hamariyna (Ire) (Sea The Moon {Ger}) and G3 Prix Bertrand du Breuil winner Hunaina (Ire) (Tamayuz {GB}).

The third dam is Handaza (Ire) (Be My Guest), in turn a half-sister to the G3 Blue Wind S. scorer Hazarista (Ire) (Barathea {Ire}) and the G3 Athasi S. winner Hazariya (Ire) (Xaar {GB}) with the latter being the dam of the G1 Epsom and Irish Derby hero Harzand (Ire) (Sea the Stars {Ire}). Gale Force's as-yet unraced 2-year-old colt by Harzand's sire is named Sweet William (Ire), while she also has a yearling filly by Australia (GB).

Thursday, York, Britain
AL BASTI EQUIWORLD DUBAI DANTE S.-G2, £165,000, York, 5-13, 3yo, 10f 56yT, 2:10.06, gd.
1–HURRICANE LANE (IRE), 126, c, 3, by Frankel (GB)
1st Dam: Gale Force (GB) (SW-Fr & SP-Eng), by Shirocco (Ger)
2nd Dam: Hannda (Ire), by Dr Devious (Ire)
3rd Dam: Handaza (Ire), by Be My Guest
1ST BLACK-TYPE WIN; 1ST GROUP WIN. (200,000gns Ylg '19 TATOCT). O-Godolphin; B-Normandie Stud Ltd (IRE); T-Charlie Appleby; J-William Buick. £93,572. Lifetime Record: 3-3-0-0, $156,446. Werk Nick Rating: A+++ *Triple Plus*. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
2–Megallan (GB), 126, c, 3, Kingman (GB)–Eastern Belle (GB), by Champs Elysees (GB). O-A E Oppenheimer; B-Hascombe & Valiant Stud Ltd (GB); T-John & Thady Gosden. £35,475.
3–High Definition (Ire), 126, c, 3, Galileo (Ire)–Palace (Ire), by Fastnet Rock (Aus). O-Derrick Smith, Susan Magnier, Michael Tabor, Westerberg; B-Whisperview Trading Ltd (IRE); T-Aidan O'Brien. £17,754.
Margins: 3/4, 1 1/4, 2 1/4. Odds: 5.00, 14.00, 1.63.
Also Ran: Roman Empire (Ire), Gear Up (Ire), Pythagoras (Ire), Flying Visit (Ire), Belloccio (Fr), Royal Champion (Ire), Uncle Bryn (GB). Scratched: Alenquer (Fr). Click for the Racing Post result or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.

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Seven Up For Stoute In the Middleton As Queen Power Strikes

It may not have been the most intriguing renewal of the G2 Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies' S. to be staged at York on Thursday, but what the race lacked in depth was made up for in a show of ruthless dominance as King Power Racing's Queen Power (Ire) (Shamardal) finally got it together to deliver on her promise. Runner-up last time in Newmarket's nine-furlong G2 Dahlia S. May 2, the 6-4 favourite was not as free early as she can be tracking the leading duo in an already-weak edition diminished further by the withdrawal of Passion (Ire) (Galileo {Ire}). Taking over from the long-time leader Chamade (GB) (Sepoy {Aus}) approaching two out, the bay drew away to win by eight lengths in a time faster than the Dante staged later on the card. In doing so, she was providing Sir Michael Stoute with a seventh renewal. Silvestre de Sousa was on board and said, “It was a combination of the ground and the pace of the race. She travelled nicely and I never felt in danger, she settled really well. When I asked her she put the race to bed very quickly and I think 10 furlongs is her trip.”

In the immediate aftermath of her defeat of Lavender's Blue (Ire) (Sea the Stars {Ire}) and Star Catcher (GB) (Sea the Stars {Ire}) in Newbury's Listed Haras de Bouquetot Fillies' Trial S. in May 2019, it would have been a surprise to learn that Queen Power would have to wait two years for another success. Fourth behind Star Catcher when stretched too far in the 12-furlong G2 Ribblesdale S. at Royal Ascot the following month, she was unable to truly regain her momentum in six subsequent starts despite showing a smart level of form throughout. Second in last year's Dahlia, third in the G2 Duke of Cambridge S. at Royal Ascot and fourth in the G1 Nassau S. at Goodwood, she was only third dropped in class for the Listed Upavon Fillies' S. over this trip at Salisbury in August and was not seen again until coming off second-best to Lady Bowthorpe (GB) (Nathaniel {Ire}) in the latest renewal of the Dahlia. While this was handed to her on a plate, she went through the line with a vengeance and it could be that the resulting boost to her confidence could see her tackle the highest level again with a different outlook.

Stoute excels with older horses and his assistant trainer James Savage was hoping Queen Power goes on to add another chapter to the master of Freemason Lodge's saga. “Today everything went right for her, she relaxed and got into a lovely rhythm early doors which meant everything went very smooth,” he said. “We thought she was going to be a really nice filly two years ago and she's always threatened to do something like that, so it's great to see her do it. She's going to make a fantastic broodmare so that is in the back of our minds, but we'll try to improve on this.”

The dam Princess Serena (Unbridled's Song) boasts two other significant performers in the triple group-winning sire Puissance de Lune (Ire), who was also placed in two renewals of the G1 Turnbull S. and G1 Makybe Diva S. apiece, and the G1 Prix d'Ispahan hero Zabeel Prince (Ire) by Shamardal's son Lope de Vega (Ire). Princess Serena, who also produced the dual stakes-placed Majesty (Ire) also by Shamardal, is the second dam of the G1 Coronation S. and G1 Moyglare Stud S. winner Rizeena (Ire) (Iffraaj {GB}) and the G2 Balanchine and G3 Princess Elizabeth S. scorer Summer Romance (Ire) (Kingman {GB}). She is a half to the GII American Turf S. scorer Doubles Partner (Rock Hard Ten), while their respective dam Serena's Sister (Rahy) is a full-sibling of the champion Serena's Song (Rahy) who produced the G1 Coronation S. heroine Sophisticat (Storm Cat) and her GII Oaklawn H.-winning full-brother Grand Reward. Princess Serena's as-yet unraced 3-year-old filly by Gleneagles (Ire) is named Serena's Symphony (Ire), while her 2-year-old colt Teumessias Fox (Ire) (Lope de Vega {Ire}) was a 230,000gns purchase by SackvilleDonald at the Tattersalls October Yearling Sale Book 1.

Thursday, York, Britain
AL BASTI EQUIWORLD DUBAI MIDDLETON FILLIES' S.-G2, £100,000, York, 5-13, 4yo/up, f/m, 10f 56yT, 2:09.89, gd.
1–QUEEN POWER (IRE), 126, m, 5, by Shamardal
1st Dam: Princess Serena, by Unbridled's Song
2nd Dam: Serena's Sister, by Rahy
3rd Dam: Imagining, by Northfields
1ST GROUP WIN. (500,000gns Ylg '17 TATOCT). O-King Power Racing Co Ltd; B-Roundhill Stud (IRE); T-Sir Michael Stoute; J-Silvestre de Sousa. £56,710. Lifetime Record: 11-3-3-2, $240,189. *Full to Puissance de Lune (Ire), MGSW & MG1SP-Aus, $877,536; Majesty (Ire), MSP-Aus, $205,736; and 1/2 to Zabeel Prince (Ire) (Lope de Vega {Ire}), G1SW-Fr & GSW-Eng, $315,377. Werk Nick Rating: A+++ *Triple Plus*. Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree.
2–Chamade (GB), 126, f, 4, Sepoy (Aus)–Colima (Ire), by Authorized (Ire). O/B-Mr & Mrs David Aykroyd (GB); T-Ralph Beckett. £21,500.
3–Cabaletta (GB), 126, f, 4, Mastercraftsman (Ire)–Allegretto (Ire), by Galileo (Ire). O-Cheveley Park Stud Ltd (GB); T-Roger Varian. £10,760.
Margins: 8, 4 1/4, 4 3/4. Odds: 1.50, 5.50, 6.00.
Also Ran: Silence Please (Ire), Freyja (Ire). Click for the Racing Post result or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree.

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