UAE Derby Winner Rebel’s Romance Arrives In New York For Belmont Stakes

A talented quartet of Godolphin runners trained by Charlie Appleby will arrive in New York on Sunday to prepare for starts during the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival that runs from Thursday, June 3 through Saturday, June 5, headlined by the 153rd running of the Grade 1, $1.5 million Belmont Stakes.

The festival will encompass 17 total stakes, including eight Grade 1s on Belmont Stakes Day, capped by the “Test of the Champion” for 3-year-olds in the 1 1/2-mile final leg of the Triple Crown.

All four of Appleby's runners – Rebel's Romance, Desert Peace, Summer Romance and Althiqa – are expected to run during the festival, with Group 2 UAE Derby-winner Rebel's Romance set to compete in the Belmont Stakes on June 5.

The sophomore son of Dubawi, an Irish homebred out of the Street Cry mare Minidress, Rebel's Romance has won 4-of-5 starts. He made the grade last out with a 5 1/2-length romp in the 1 3/16-mile UAE Derby on March 27 at Meydan.

“Rebel's Romance and Desert Peace are going to ship out on Saturday from Dubai,” said Appleby, who will be saddling his first starters in New York. “The two fillies, Althiqa and Summer Romance, are going to join them on Sunday and ship into Belmont and New York on Sunday at some stage, hopefully.”

Desert Peace, a 4-year-old son of Curlin, was a $1.3 million purchase at the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Bred in Kentucky by Doug and Felicia Branham, the colt's stakes-winning dam Stoweshoe is a full-sister to Grade 1-winning millionaire mare Taris.

The lightly raced Desert Peace was a nose winner last out traveling one-mile on May 11 over the Meydan main track.

Summer Romance and Althiqa, who finished first and third last out in the nine-furlong Group 2 Balanchine on February 18 at Meydan, are targeting the Grade 1, $500,000 Longines Just a Game, a one-mile turf event for older fillies and mares.

“Althiqa and Summer Romance are going to both head to the Just a Game and it's undecided where Desert Peace will run during Belmont Stakes weekend,” said Appleby.

Summer Romance, a 4-year-old Kingman grey out of the Statue of Liberty mare Serena's Storm, is a half-sister to multiple Group 1-winning millionaire Rizeena.

Appleby said a good result in the Just a Game could propel the filly to a start in the Grade 1, $500,000 Diana, a nine-furlong turf test for older fillies and mares on July 17 at Saratoga.

“If Summer Romance were to run well, she has a second option of stepping up a bit farther at Saratoga in the Diana,” said Appleby. “I'm looking forward to it. We're getting in there earlier so that we can acclimatize and get used to the track.”

Bred in Ireland by Roundhill Stud, Summer Romance captured the 1 1/16-mile Group 3 Princess Elizabeth in July at Epsom. Last out, in just her second start of the season, Summer Romance won the Balanchine by 2 ¼-lengths at Meydan.

Althiqa, a British homebred by Dark Angel and out of the Shamardal mare Mistrusting, won the Prix Amandine in July at Deauville in France ahead of a trio of group placings to close out her sophomore season. The grey filly launched her 4-year-old campaign in style with a score in the Group 2 Cape Verdi at Meydan ahead of her third in the Balanchine.

Appleby is a three-time Breeders' Cup winning trainer, conditioning Outstrip [2013 Juvenile Fillies Turf], Wuheida [2017 Filly and Mare Turf] and Line of Duty [2018 Juvenile Turf] to Grade 1 scores.

For more information, visit www.BelmontStakes.com.

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TVG Upgrades Wagering App With New Features, Handicapping Information

Heading into the Triple Crown season, TVG, America's horse racing network and leading advanced-deposit wagering provider, has unveiled major upgrades to the TVG mobile wagering app as part of an ongoing commitment to provide horseplayers a best-in-class online wagering experience.

In addition, the network is introducing special features and on-demand video on its OTT platform, the WatchTVG app, in the lead-up to the Kentucky Derby.

“Our team is always looking at ways to improve the wagering experience for TVG customers and to reinvest in technology upgrades to improve the customer experience and make it easier for new fans,” said Kip Levin, CEO of TVG. “These enhanced wagering and handicapping features on our mobile app are the latest example of our company's commitment to innovation and reinvestment in our core horse racing product.”

TVG's mobile app, available both for Apple and Android users, now features enhanced betting features and TVG Insights, including expanded information on each horse in every race and summary past performances, as well as access to full past performances with starting price and runner comments and more. These enhanced features help handicappers by flagging and calling out relevant information on horses in categories such as equipment changes, “Horse For Courses”, and “Hot Trainer”, and to give horseplayers further insight into trends, odds shifts and other important data.

TVG has also introduced dramatic and intuitive improvements to the “Bets” section of the app. A new re-bet feature that allows players to use their selections in multi-race wagers in a new bet should they be eliminated in an early leg. For example, if a player is knocked out of the first leg of a Pick 5, the platform facilitates a Pick 4 wager on the player's remaining selections if the player chooses that option. Other features include approximate payouts and personalized will-pays directly on the betting ticket. And improved navigation lets bettors get to the upcoming leg faster.

There is enhanced viewing functionality as well and horseplayers can watch live video, check pools, access handicapping data and place wagers all seamlessly on one screen.

The video player is now upgraded to HD where available but more importantly is at a significant reduced latency. Video feeds in are faster than before and just a few seconds behind live.

“A lot of hard work has gone into these improvements over the past year by the team,” said Stephen Kennelly, Vice President of Racing Product. “We've focused on two key themes with our app, ease of use and presenting the right info at the right time. Customer research and feedback has been great on both the handicapping info and Bets improvements and we are looking forward to even further improvements later this year.”

This short video helps explain some of the new wagering and data features. https://vimeo.com/537032615

In addition to the enhancements of its wagering app, TVG has added special on-demand features for fans and horseplayers on its OTT WatchTVG app, including replays of Kentucky Derby prep races, expert analysis, handicapping tips and contender profiles. “Derbyology”, a recap of all of the Derby prep races, is also available. There will also be access to highlights of historic editions of the Kentucky Derby including Unbridled (1990), Mine that Bird (2009) and American Pharoah (2015).

The WatchTVG App is available on Roku, Amazon Fire TV, and Apple TV connected devices. TVG account holders can sign in to the WatchTVG app for free using their existing TVG account login details. Non-TVG account holders can sign up for a 7-day free trial. Learn more by going to TVG.com/watch.

Additionally, TVG has recently rolled out a new broadcast graphics package to enhance the everyday viewing experience of horseplayers, fans and industry stakeholders.

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‘We Know He’s Talented Enough’: Cohen Ready For First Derby Shot With Keepmeinmind

For jockey David Cohen, winning last Saturday's second race at Oaklawn was a sign of things to come for the jockey.

Cohen said after Canadian Ginger crossed the finish line first in the starter-allowance sprint for females, her trainer, Robertino Diodoro, received a call from Churchill Downs officials, informing him that Get Her Number had been removed from consideration for the Kentucky Derby. The defection moved Keepmeinmind into the projected 20-horse field, meaning Cohen and Diodoro, both Oaklawn meet champions, will be making their Kentucky Derby debuts Saturday at Churchill Downs.

“For us, it was a nice surprise,” Cohen said Sunday afternoon at Oaklawn. “We had somewhat of an idea it was going to happen, early on, through the grapevine. For me, it was the start of a great day, obviously, to ride six and win four of them.”

The four-bagger was a career high at Oaklawn for Cohen, 36, who was Oaklawn's leading jockey in 2019. He had previously won three races on an Oaklawn card 12 times, according to Equibase, racing's official data gathering organization. In addition to Canadian Ginger ($6.20), Cohen won the fifth race aboard Greeley and Ben ($8.40) for trainer Karl Broberg, ninth race aboard American Dubai ($31.20) for Diodoro and the 11th race aboard Livingmybestlife ($5.60) for trainer John Sadler.

Cohen is Diodoro's go-to rider and the regular pilot of the yo-yo-like Keepmeinmind, who was among the country's top 2-year-olds of 2020 after finishing second in the $400,000 Breeders' Futurity (G1) Oct. 3 at Keeneland, third in the $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) Nov. 6 at Keeneland and breaking his maiden in the $200,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) Nov. 28 at Churchill Downs.

It's been a deflating 2021, for the most part, however.

Keepmeinmind had been set to make his 3-year-old debut Feb. 15 at Oaklawn – the $750,000 Southwest Stakes (G3) – before severe winter weather led to multiple postponements of the race and interrupted the late-running colt's training schedule. Oaklawn lost eight live racing dates and 11 days of training (Feb. 12-22) because of heavy snow and arctic temperatures. Keepmeinmind also was entered in the $400,000 Risen Star Stakes (G2) Feb. 13 at Fair Grounds, but Diodoro opted to remain at Oaklawn, where the colt had been based since late December.

Keepmeinmind, in his 3-year-old debut, finished sixth in the $1 million Rebel Stakes (G2) March 13 at Oaklawn, then fifth in the $800,000 Blue Grass Stakes (G2) April 3 at Keeneland in his last start.

Following the final round of Kentucky Derby points races April 10, including Oaklawn's $1 million Arkansas Derby (G1), Keepmeinmind was 30th on the leaderboard with 18 points – all collected as a 2-year-old – and needed 10 defections to be guaranteed a spot in the Run for the Roses, which is limited to 20 starters. Using a musical analogy, Keepmeinmind was number one with a bullet, climbing to No. 28 (April 12), No. 27 (April 15), No. 24 (April 17), No. 22 (April 19), No. 21 (April 23) and No. 20 (April 24) in official rankings compiled by Churchill Downs. Points earned in designated races like the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Rebel and Blue Grass are used to determine starting preference.

“It's been such an emotional ride with him because he was a horse that started the year with 18 points,” Cohen said. “Then we miss out because of the weather and he missed both races. He missed the Fair Grounds race and he missed the Southwest, so that hurt us. He obviously didn't perform to the way we felt he was training, even though we know he's better than that. He's really developed over his 3-year-old year, even though he hasn't shown it on paper. On paper, it doesn't look like he deserves to be in there. We know he's talented enough. We're happy for the horse, that he gets the chance that he does deserve, in our eyes.”

Following Oaklawn's April 22 card, Cohen flew privately to Kentucky to work Keepmeinmind and stablemates Ava's Grace and Dreamer's Disease the next morning at Churchill Downs. Keepmeinmind, in company, recorded a half-mile bullet (:46.20). Keepmeinmind breezed without blinkers last week and will remove the equipment Saturday At that time, Keepmeinmind was 21st on the points list.

“The owners and us, we made a big decision to send me out there,” Cohen said. “It's not cheap. For them to still have faith in the horse and not give up on him and keep him in Kentucky after the Blue Grass, they could have easily said, 'No. Send him back here and run in the Oaklawn Stakes the same day.' ”

Instead, Cohen will be at Churchill Downs Saturday. His Kentucky Derby debut comes a little more than seven years after a severe leg injury (he was kicked by a horse in the paddock before a Feb. 1, 2014, race at Aqueduct) and the subsequent deaths of deaths of his father (cancer) and sister (head injury) threatened to derail the jockey's once-promising career.

Cohen rode his first winner in 2004 and five years later ranked sixth nationally in victories (288) and 24th in purse earnings ($7,357,326) – both career highs – competing in New York and the Mid-Atlantic. In 2012, Cohen won Saratoga's prestigious $1 million Travers Stakes (G1) for 3-year-olds aboard 33-1 long shot Golden Ticket, who dead-heated with favored Alpha.

After not riding in 2015 and 2016, Cohen returned to the saddle in late 2017 and rode 37 winners in his Oaklawn debut in 2018 to finish third in the standings. Cohen rode 75 winners the following year at Oaklawn to end Ricardo Santana Jr.'s six-year hold on the title.

In addition to Keepmeinmind (50-1 on the morning line), Cohen also is scheduled Dreamer's Disease in the $500,000 Pat Day Mile (G2) for 3-year-olds Saturday at Churchill Downs. Dreamer's Disease had several published workouts this year at Oaklawn, but didn't run at the meeting after falling behind in his training because of winter weather. He was also supposed to be riding in the Kentucky Oaks, the country's biggest race for 3-year-old fillies, for the first time aboard Ava's Grace, but the filly was scratched Wednesday morning with an injury. She had finished second in the $600,000 Fantasy Stakes (G3) April 3 at Oaklawn.

“Honestly, I never felt like I wouldn't have the opportunity again,” Cohen said. “For me, it's special to get it with a team that's been so essential in my return from an injury. To have it with Robertino, not only with the Derby, but with the Pat Day Mile, for me that's definitely a special touch and the cherry on top. It means a lot. The guy's very loyal. For it to be the home team really means a lot.”

Cohen, named 2018 Comeback Jockey of the Year by JockeyTalk.360.com, a web site dedicated to promoting jockeys around the world, has 186 career victories at Oaklawn, according to Equibase. Almost two-thirds (111) have come for Diodoro.

Keepmeinmind and Dreamer's Disease, who ran sixth in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, were all at Trophy Club Training Center in Royal (roughly 20 minutes west of Oaklawn) last spring completing the breaking process under Ike Green, who has strong ties to Diodoro. Ike Green was Diodoro's assistant at Oaklawn in 2019 and 2020 when he captured his first local training title. Green and his wife, Aidan, have run Diodoro's divisions at Saratoga and Churchill Downs in recent years. Aidan Green went out on her own last year and recorded her first career training victory and stakes victory at the 2021 Oaklawn meeting.

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Between The Hedges: Getting A Handle On Handle

Horseplayers can wager on as many as 77 different pools during nine-race cards at each of the New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) tracks comprising Aqueduct Racetrack, Belmont Park and Saratoga Race Course.

With so many options, a handicapper must decide on which wagers to focus on, negotiating a delicate balance between risk and reward in search of the best possible payout.

Over time, the betting public has settled on their favorite wagers at NYRA tracks. The most popular wagers at NYRA in 2020 – by average handle per pool – were the Empire 6 mandatory payout days [$2.8 million], the Early Pick 5 [$546K], the retail-only Late Pick 5 [$444K], and the Late Pick 4 [$429K].

The mandatory payout days of the Empire 6 ranged from $420K on an abbreviated carryover on February 23 to $6.1 million in Saratoga on August 9.

The Empire 6, a jackpot style wager offered at a $0.20 base, shifted to a daily mandatory payout in January 2021 and was replaced at the current Belmont Park spring/summer meet by a traditional Pick 6: a retail-only wager featuring a $1 base and 15 percent takeout with an opportunity for carryover days.

The success of multi-race wagers has garnered much attention. Twitter users post their plays and share their major scores, entire podcasts are dedicated to studying the sequences, and analysts on America's Day at the Races, the acclaimed national telecast produced by NYRA in partnership with FOX Sports, spend airtime discussing their tickets for the audience to follow along.

The multi-race wagers offer the best value on the wagering menu and allow fans the best chance to bet a little to win a lot. But these multi-race options represent only four out of the 77 wagers on a nine-race card. In 2020, the Empire 6 mandatory payout days, Early Pick 5, Late Pick 5, and Late Pick 4 only accounted for 15 percent of all handle.

So, what about the other wagers?

By total handle, the most popular NYRA wager is the exacta, which handled 22 percent of all wagers at NYRA in 2020. A close second was the win pool, which handled 21 percent of all wagers, while the trifecta pool finished third with 12 percent of all wagers.

Because of the sheer number of intra-race pools compared to multi-race pools, total intra-race handle exceeds multi-race pools. But the difference between the two is closing over the years.

2020 Average Handle per Pool and Total Number of Pools

While still popular, there have been noticeable drops in the exacta and trifecta pools as a percentage of total wagers. In 2016, intra-race pools comprised 76 percent of total handle. In 2020, that number was 71 percent. With more than $1.8 billion wagered on NYRA races in 2020, that reflects over $90 million of wagers shifted from intra-race to multi-race wagering.

What has caused the change?

Since 2016, the wagering menu has not changed except for the introduction of the Late Pick Five. First limited in the number of days offered, and only offered to customers of NYRA Bets, the pool eventually became a daily fixture open to the public starting in July 2019.

Additionally, the switch from a traditional $2 Pick Six to the $0.20 Empire 6 in August 2019 created mandatory payout carryover days that were more accessible to the average customer. These two new wagers gave bettors additional higher value opportunities on the back end of the card, which formerly was highlighted by the Late Pick 4. Clearly popular, bettors flocked to the new wagers.

The popularity of the Empire 6 and Late Pick 5 has impacted the handle on the Late Pick 4. Looking at the total percentage of NYRA handle since 2016, the Late Pick 4 is the only Pick N wager to lose significant market share in the NYRA wagering menu landscape. By comparison, the Early Pick 4 at the beginning of the race card has stayed consistent even as the Early Pick 5 grows in popularity.

Percentage of Total NYRA Handle – by Year by Pool

The change to a $1 traditional Pick 6 should provide some differentiation in the later portion of the card, and NYRA is looking forward to analyzing how players respond. This Thursday's card at Belmont will feature a Pick 6 carryover of more than $61,000.

An upcoming edition of Between The Hedges will offer a closer look at the $1 traditional Pick 6, which launched on Thursday's Opening Day card at Belmont.

For more information, please visit www.NYRABets.com and send your questions for Between The Hedges to betweenthehedges@nyrainc.com.

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