Robin Goodfellow’s Racing Tips: Best bets for Saturday, March 27
Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow dishes out his tips for Saturday's meetings at Doncaster, Wolverhampton, Kempton, Kelso and Newbury.
Month: March 2021
$951,991 Carries Over Into Mandatory Payout Florida Derby Day For Rainbow 6 Jackpot At Gulfstream Park
A mandatory payout of the 20-cent Rainbow 6 is scheduled at Gulfstream Park for Saturday's 14-race blockbuster program in Hallandale Beach, Fla., headlined by the $750,000 Curlin Florida Derby (G1) presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa.
The Rainbow 6 went unsolved Friday for the 14th racing day in a row since a March 6 mandatory payout. Multiple tickets with all six winners were each worth $246.28 Friday.
A pool of $951,991.13 will be carried over to Saturday, when the mandatory pool is likely to swell well into the multi-millions.
The Rainbow 6 carryover jackpot is usually only paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day's pool usually goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winners, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool. However, on mandatory-payout days, the entire pool is paid out to the bettor or bettors with the most winners in the six-race sequence.
The Late Pick 5 and the Late Pick 4 will have guaranteed pools of $750,000 Saturday. The Late Pick 5 (Races 10-14) and Late Pick 4 (Races 11-14) will both offer all-stakes sequences. The Curlin Florida Derby will anchor the sequences for the Late Pick 5, Late Pick 4 and the Rainbow 6 (Races 9-14).
The Rainbow 6 sequence will be kicked off by a mile optional claiming allowance on turf for older horses in Race 9. Todd Pletcher-trained duo of Summer to Remember, who finished third in the Tropical Park Derby in December, and Sayyaaf, who is coming off a front-running optional claiming allowance victory Feb. 27, are scheduled to clash with former stablemate Noble Indy, who has joined the barn of Saffie Joseph Jr. after being claimed for $35,000 out of a winning effort last time out.
Good old Sadler's Joy, a multiple Grade 1 winner with more than $2.6 million in purse earnings, is a slight morning-line favorite in the $200,000 Pan American (G2), a 1 ½-mile turf stakes for older horses carded as Race 10. The 8-year-old son of Kitten's Joy, who son the 2017 Pan American, will clash with the Michael Maker-trained duo of Cross Border, who was second in the Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational (G1), and Temple, who finished ahead of Sadler's Joy while finishing second in the McKnight (G3) two starts back.
Bill Mott-trained Annex will seek to stay undefeated when he goes to post in Race 11, the $100,000 Cutler Bay, a mile turf stakes for 3-year-olds. Annex, the 5-2 morning-line favorite, broke his maiden at first asking at Gulfstream Jan. 16 and came right back to win the Palm Beach. Both victories were achieved by powerful late surges. Pletcher-trained Hyperfocus is coming off an optional claiming allowance win in his 2021 debut that was also his turf debut. Barclay Tagg-trained Step Dancer is set to make his 2021 debut Saturday after concluding his juvenile campaign with a victory in the Oct. 31 Awad Stakes at Belmont.
Trainer Kenny McPeek will saddle Crazy Beautiful for the $200,000 Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2), a 1 1/16-mile race for 3-year-old fillies carded as Race 12. McPeek saddled Swiss Skydiver for a victory in last year's Oaks on her way to a victory against the boys in the Preakness Stakes (G1). Crazy Beautiful, who finished second in the Davona Dale (G2) last time out, will clash with Pletcher-trained Con Lima, a stakes winner on turf who will return to Gulfstream's main track, over which she broke her maiden.
Always Shopping, an impressive three-length winner of the La Prevoyante Jan. 23, appears to be one of the likeliest 'singles' for budget-conscious Rainbow 6 bettors. The Pletcher trainee is the is the 8-5 morning-line favorite for the $100,000 Orchid (G3), a 1 3/8-mile turf stakes for fillies and mares carded as Race 13. Christophe Clement Sorrell is slated to make her U. S. debut Saturday after winning three straight stakes in Great Britain to finish off her 2020 campaign.
Shug McGaughey-trained Greatest Honour, the winner of the Holy Bull (G3) and Fountain of Youth (G2), should prove very popular with Rainbow 6 bettors in the Florida Derby. Greatest Honour is listed as the 6-5 morning-line favorite in a deep field of 11 3-year-olds. Bob Baffert-trained Spielberg, who finished second behind Eclipse champion Essential Quality in the Southwest (G3), is rated second at 4-1. Known Agenda, Pletcher's hope for a sixth Florida Derby success, is coming off an impressive 11-length victory in a 1 1/8-mile optional claiming allowance.
WHO'S HOT: Paco Lopez rode four winners on Friday's card, scoring back-to-back on Mamba On Three ($5.60) in Race 1 and Romario ($11.40) in Race 2 before going back-to-back again aboard Simple Story ($8.40) in Race 5 and Free to Fly ($5.40) in Race 6.
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Buzzed-About Bezos Shows Up at Second Asking
6th-Santa Anita, $61,500, Msw, 3-26, 3yo, 1m, 1:37.64, ft, 4 1/2 lengths.
BEZOS (c, 3, Empire Maker–A P Mink, by A.P. Indy) failed to live up to the immense hype when seventh at 3-5 behind 'TDN Rising Star' Dream Shake (Twirling Candy) sprinting here Feb. 7, but he made good on the buzz this time while getting more ground to work with. Shedding the blinkers this time, the handsome bay was off at 7-5 in the field of five. Away well from the rail, Bezos took the lead into the first bend from stablemate Fenway (Into Mischief). He doled out an opening quarter in :22.98, and was passed by Fenway down the backside through a :46.37 half. Bezos took back over entering the lane, and found no new challengers from there to don cap and gown by 4 1/2 lengths. There Goes Harvard (Will Take Charge) completed the exacta. “We missed the window, we were trying to get him there [to the GI Kentucky Derby], but he's a beautiful horse,” said trainer Bob Baffert. “This was good what he did today. Going two turns, that's gonna be his game, so he'll develop. We'll just let him develop on his own now. We're not in a hurry now.” The winner hails from the female family of GSWs Palmeiro (Pleasant Tap), Dynaslew (Dynaformer) and Shotski (Blame). His dam was bred to Competitive Edge for 2021. Sales history: $190,000 Wlg '18 KEENOV; $400,000 Ylg '19 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: 2-1-0-0, $37,100. Click for the Equibase.com chart or VIDEO, sponsored by Fasig-Tipton.
O-SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Golconda Stable, Siena Farm LLC & Robert E. Masterson; B-Grousemont Farm (KY); T-Bob Baffert.
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‘The Race Will Do The Deciding’: Undefeated, Untested Prevalence Headed To Wood Memorial
Godolphin's promising sophomore colt Prevalence will make his first start in a Kentucky Derby prep race next weekend, reports the Daily Racing Form. Untested in two career starts, which he won by a combined 11 1/2 lengths, the son of Medaglia d'Oro will show up in the entries for the Grade 2 Wood Memorial at Aqueduct.
The Wood offers the winner 100 points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Tyler Gaffalione will head north to ride Prevalence, who is conditioned by Brendan Walsh.
“The way we're approaching it is the race will do the deciding not us hoping and thinking and hypothesizing,” Jimmy Bell, president of Godolphin U.S., told DRF. “Hopefully, the result will point you in one direction or another.”
Read more at the Daily Racing Form.
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