TIF: There’s Still Time To Make Handle A Top Priority For Racing

Racing needs a long-term plan which will put the sport on a path to raise handle to nearly $50 billion annually with more than $5 billion held by the industry by 2040.

Sound optimistic?

Falling well short of that goal would still be a monumental accomplishment given we are on track for another year at just $11 billion in handle, and down nearly 50% in the last two decades, adjusted for inflation.

So where are the plans from the industry to start thinking long-term about not just surviving, but thriving, and building a robust, wagering-forward industry?

Horse racing has a tremendous opportunity to lean into a massive culture of betting liberalization, but it has otherwise failed to capitalize on it. Time is still there, and the opportunity is not yet lost.

There is no doubt horsemen should be thankful for the enrichment they've received through purses over the last two decades coming by way of slot machines, video lottery terminals, historical horse racing or other revenue sharing from casino-related operations. In many cases, tracks and horsemen lobbied relentlessly for them. It makes sense that they continue to fight for them, but not at the expense of racing's most obvious source of sustainable revenue – actual wagering on racing.

These significant purse supplements have allowed the industry to minimize the importance of presenting a modern wagering product. Most tracks have not focused on making racing wagering more competitive and most horsemen's groups have not advocated for meaningful improvements to stoke wagering, either.

In some cases, 90% of prize money has come from subsidized sources beyond racing, wagering on the sport has not seemed as important – a reality which is reflected in annual handle figures over the last 20 years. Many owners and trainers within horsemen's groups do not possess a detailed understanding of racing wagering. They don't know what to advocate for to improve their own futures.

This is problematic, because as it relates to prize money for racing, the future is not bright.

Subsidies to racing from gambling beyond racing, in whatever form they take in states that have long enjoyed them, are changing. Some states are in worse shape than others. The pain of the industry's likely contraction will be widespread.

Horsemen cannot just want a bigger slice of a shrinking pie, it must advocate for growing the pie so that the slices grow for all parties.

Existing groups – including TOBA, state THAs, HBPAs and others – must begin to develop a meaningful strategic plan. Transformational steps to ensure the best possible future for racing must be embraced. At the forefront, a radical rehabilitation of wagering on racing is needed. No ideas should be off the table.

The sport is in no position to turn away from unexplored revenue streams or customer bases. Fixed odds betting on American racing is evolving, albeit slowly, and while there is no denying that the cut from fixed odds betting to tracks and purses is smaller than that provided by pari-mutuel wagering, ignoring the fastest growing legal wagering opportunity in modern American history cannot be an option. Racing's path through fixed odds must be navigated delicately and adjusted over time, but racing needs to be co-located with all other wagering opportunities.

Racing can make its pari-mutuel offerings better and get its wagering product in front of far more customers. The question, of course for all of this, is in the specifics. How?

The sport needs short, intermediate and long-term strategic planning, identifying and plotting courses to achieve goals over the next 10, 20 and 30 years.

Racing had no such plan in 1990 when annual wagering was an inflation-adjusted $18 billion and a decade later, topped $21 billion, also when adjusted for inflation. But what has happened in the intervening two decades is a mass legalization of wagering opportunities combined with significant technological innovations and a substantial increase in personal entertainment options. Racing has to compete if we are to preserve our sport, let alone grow it.

Where are the attempts to voraciously advocate for a most robust wagering offering for our sport which will likely rely far more on it in the next 20 years than it has in the past 20 years?

Just because we lack a centralized structure to oversee an industry master plan does not mean that those groups which exist now are hamstrung from starting one. Owners, breeders and all horsemen should be as interested in growing wagering as anything else they do. Many don't have the first clue where to start, and while unfortunate, it's understandable. There should be no further delays in correcting our course.

The Thoroughbred Idea Foundation was launched to advocate for progressive change in racing because we believe it is possible to turn the sport around.

With a concerted effort, racing could double handle in the next ten years, and double it again in another decade, but only if changes are adopted which would offer more realistic pricing of pari-mutuel wagers, complement tote wagering with fixed odds betting, modernize technology, improve access to data and substantially increase transparency across the sport.

Racing must be more open in reporting on the business of betting – where it is coming from, what it contributes to purses and how it has changed over time. This movement should be driven by owners. Racetracks have proven insufficient leaders of the sport and industry organizations have been distracted by other topics. Nothing should be more top of mind than how we fund our business and keep racing viable.

Racing needs a new generation of horsemen's leadership to propel it forward. Those who might not think it is the role of horsemen to relentlessly pursue improving the wagering business should think again – their role is federally protected by the Interstate Horseracing Act and should be the envy of any professional sporting endeavor in the country. Racing needs increased wagering to survive, let alone thrive.

The business of betting has been ignored for far too long. A new future for the sport promotes a modern wagering business at the heart of racing.

The post TIF: There’s Still Time To Make Handle A Top Priority For Racing appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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Into Mischief Passes Tapit, Sets Single-Season Earnings Record

With another productive weekend, which included a victory by the impressive first-time starter and “TDN Rising Star” Life Is Good at Del Mar, Into Mischief has set a new Northern Hemisphere record for most single-season earnings by a sire. According to TDN sire stats, Into Mischief’s offspring have earned $19,994,815 this year. The record had been held by Tapit, whose progeny earned $19,914,317 in 2016.

A win Saturday at Churchill Downs Saturday by Asar in an $85,000 maiden special weight race, moved Into Mischief into the top spot. He added to his totals with a win Sunday by Valletta in a $40,000 maiden claimer at Aqueduct and then picked up another $34,200 when the Bob Baffert-trained Life Is Good romped to a 9 1/2-length win as the 1-5 favorite in the betting.

With earnings of $11,465,367, Tapit is a distant second behind Into Mischief in 2020.

“He’s a remarkable horse,” said Spendthrift Farm General Manager Ned Toffey. “There’s not a lot left to say about him. He’s shown that he can get any level of horse and at the same time is very consistent. That’s what has allowed him to get to the level he has gotten to. He is so good mentally. Such a high percentage of the mares he breeds result in, first of all, a live foal, and, second of all, a good sound foal. They get to the racetrack and they perform. He’s been prolific at doing that and the offspring have been prolific at doing their job from a consistency standpoint and a brilliancy standpoint. We are proud to be associated with him.”

In addition to the earnings record, Into Mischief leads all stallions in several categories for the year. They include number of winners (178), wins (266), black-type winners (28), and black-type performers (58). With three Grade I winners, he is tied with Speightstown, Violence, War Front  and More Than Ready for the top spot in that category.

Into Mischief’s 2020 accomplishments will almost certainly include a Horse of the Year title. With his wins in the GI Haskell S., the GI Kentucky Derby and the GI Breeders’ Cup Classic, Authentic is a clear favorite for that title. He, alone, accounts for $6,160,000 of the total earned by Into Mischief’s offspring this year.

“Authentic is the horse that checked the last box in terms of his ability to get a Classic horse,” Toffey said. “That was the one question people still had about him, as remarkable as he has been as a sire. He started off at such a low price point, so the mare quality back then was not exactly stellar. But the great stallions seem to be able to overcome that. As he has added quality, you see the results of that. And the quality only continues to improve. As the mares have improved, you are starting to see these Classic-type of results. Authentic has very much demonstrated that.”

Into Mischief’s year also included a win in the GI Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, the GI Acorn S. and the GI Test S. by Gamine and a win by Dayoutoftheoffice in the GI Frizette S.

Into Mischief’s stud fee for 2021 has been set at $225,000.

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The `Black Eye’ of Environmental Contamination, Part Two

(This is the second in a series we are doing on environmental contamination. Click here for part one.)

Like a Matryoshka doll of conjecture and supposition, the very real threat of environmental contamination in the horse racing industry’s testing protocols can play out like a game that becomes ever more intricate with each layer unpeeled.

In part one of this series, we looked at a growing understanding of the array of possible contaminants in the backstretch environment coupled with ever more sensitive testing methodologies.

But go deeper, and what emerges are questions surrounding things like metabolism rates and pathways of exposure, chemical stability and analytical sensitivity, burdens of proof and innocence.

So, what do some industry experts posit as possible solutions to the kinks bedeviling the current testing infrastructure?

For some, the first port of call belongs in the medication rule books–more specifically, the arcana of testing thresholds.

These thresholds are permissible amounts of a legal therapeutic medication in a given sample–designed to be an indication, regulators say, that it was administered at the proper time and at the proper dose, and that the horse was not racing under the influence of a performance-enhancing dose of something.

The Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI)’s “Endogenous, Dietary, or Environmental Substances Schedule” is a list of 10 substances with their associated testing thresholds. Caffeine has a threshold of 100 ng/ml in blood, for example. For morphine, it’s 30 ng/ml in urine. The Racing Medication & Testing Consortium (RMTC)’s “Controlled Therapeutic Substances Schedule” is a list of another 28 regulated medications with associated thresholds.

Nevertheless, there are all sorts of other substances of both horse and human use found frequently in the backstretch environment for which there are no such thresholds.

Because of this omission, Steve Barker, former director of the Louisiana State University Equine Medication Surveillance Laboratory, says he believes the industry needs to convene a team of experts, including pharmacologists, to establish a more sweeping and comprehensive set of testing thresholds.

This list would take into account the ubiquity of substances across the nation’s backstretches, as well as to determine levels below which they have no pharmacological effect–in other words, amounts that don’t enhance the performance of a horse.

“We need a veterinary pharmacologist review to say, ‘this is what the drug does, and yes it has the potential to be a sedative or be a stimulant–all these things, it has the potential to be–but at these levels, it does nothing,'” says Barker.

“This need not be so damaging to the integrity to racing, but it is damaging,” Barker says, adding that in some cases where thresholds are already in place, they may need to be raised to take into account the additional threat of environmental contamination.

Some experts, however, urge caution.

“It is not an unreasonable suggestion on the face of it,” says RMTC executive director and chief operating officer Mary Scollay, regarding an across-the-board look at thresholds.

But Scollay warns that the industry needs to be careful not to adopt more permissive rules that result in the sport’s integrity being even further eroded.

Indeed, there are various reasons why the RMTC hasn’t already established testing thresholds for medications, permitted and otherwise, including how the use of a particular drug in close proximity to a race may be deemed ethically objectionable.

“You’ve got to think about the other people in the race,” says Scollay. “Can they legitimately feel like their horse had a fair shot and was not at a chemical disadvantage?”

A broader snag appears to concern the term “performance enhancing”–a phrase tossed around like a tennis ball, but one that can have a kaleidoscopic set of interpretations and permutations.

“When you have a horse that wins by half a nose, and if that horse ends up having some sort of a drug in its system, how can you say with certainty that there was no performance-effecting thing going on?” says a director of a U.S. laboratory, who asked to remain anonymous due to their company’s involvement in ongoing litigation.

“Performance is more than about speed, right?” says the director. “It’s about focus. It’s about determination. It’s about drive. It’s about a whole bunch of things.”

“No one size fits all”

University of Kentucky professor Scott Stanley agrees that the nailing down of thresholds can be a complicated task. He pointed to scopolamine–a substance that can appear in jimson weed, a potential feed contaminant made infamous by Justify’s positive test following his 2018 GI Santa Anita Derby win.

According to Stanley, not only can scopolamine appear at different levels in the jimson weed’s stem, leaf or seed, but these levels can also be altered by the conditions in which the plant grew, like a bad drought season.

“So now I’m supposed to establish a threshold for potential exposure that may shift and change on the fly, depending on the season and the environment, and whether the horse was exposed to this over several days or a single time,” Stanley says.

“Not one size fits all,” he says, adding that the determination of legitimate instances of environmental contamination is a similar scientific minefield. “We don’t necessarily know how, when and why the contamination happens. And it’s rarely the same every time.”

The problem, says Stanley, is racing’s current “hardline regulations, which are appropriate 99% of the time,” he says. “We need to have more modernized rules that can address situations like this.”

Over the past few years, many regulators have modified their rules to better take into account the threat of environmental contamination. In recent years, the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission (KHRC) altered its absolute-insurer rule to allow trainers with a medication positive to provide rebuttal during hearings, for example.

But as it currently stands, a positive finding almost always triggers a formal regulatory process that critics argue too often ends in unnecessary penalties when environmental contamination is to blame. On top of that are the not-inconsiderable costs that aggrieved connections can amass if they choose to legally defend their reputations.

Which is why Stanley suggests that a non-prosecutorial “initial review” first take place before any regulatory action occurs, if indeed environmental contamination appears a genuine possibility.

An initial review–conducted by an independent panel of experts with no skin in the outcome–would afford regulators a needed window with which to investigate cases that defy simple explanation and without the regulatory clock ticking.

Back in 2013, 48 California-based horses tested positive for Zilpaterol–then a Class 3 medication that is also used as a supplement for weight gain in livestock. The contamination was traced back to a batch of contaminated sweet feeds.

Zilpaterol is the “perfect example” of the need for such a review system, Stanley says. “We would never have considered Zilpaterol when it happened as a contamination exposure issue.”

A non-prosecutorial initial investigation would also afford regulators the opportunity to determine whether a positive is intentional or inadvertent, and thus give them avenues to embark upon formal regulatory proceedings or dismiss the case altogether without penalty if environmental contamination is proven.

If the preponderance of evidence supports that the positive finding did not affect the horse’s performance, and that it was outside the trainer’s control, “then the horse shouldn’t be disqualified,” Stanley says.

“There’s no room for error”

There are other ways to modernize the regulatory framework, especially when it comes to detection limits and screening limits for which there can be much variability between laboratories, say experts.

A detection limit is the lowest level at which a laboratory can detect with confidence a certain substance. That different laboratories often have different detection limits for substances is a problem primarily for those without established testing thresholds–in other words, the “non-threshold” substances.

In a nutshell, what this means is that one laboratory might be able to accurately detect a substance at a lower level than another, making the playing field less than fair for trainers across the country, say experts.

A similarly problematic paradigm exists when it comes to screening limits, typically higher than the detection limit, and what is in essence an established cut-off limit for detection.

Screening limits differ from testing thresholds in that they aren’t permissible amounts of a regulated drug–rather, as Scollay puts it, they are levels that trigger further analysis.

And while the RMTC has recommended screening limits for certain substances–less than a dozen, says Scollay–in an effort to “harmonize” practices across different laboratories, “to a large extent, it’s unknown” just how much variability in testing for non-threshold substances there is, she admits.

“They screen for so many substances,” says Scollay. “Until a certain substance gets on our radar screen and we have a discussion, we don’t really know how the labs respond.”

On a more fundamental level, trainers, regulators and scientists emphasize the need for a wholesale revision of management practices across the nation’s backstretches and testing areas. “Equine environments aren’t pristine and never will be, but we must do something,” says Barker.

Some look to the trainers to make their barns as contaminant-free as possible, ensuring that all medications are handled cleanly and professionally, for example, and that staff don’t urinate in the stalls. “If you can’t housebreak the help, you probably shouldn’t have a trainer’s license,” says Scollay.

But many horsemen are in turn highly critical of the tracks themselves and argue that facilities across the nation don’t take nearly enough rigorous care to ensure the ship-in stalls, the receiving barns, and the test areas are clean.

“I have on occasion complained to management because you ship into some stalls on race day and you’ll find manure from the day before or bandages that haven’t been thrown in the trash,” says trainer Graham Motion. “In many countries it wouldn’t be acceptable.”

Indeed, in the United Kingdom, horses typically are stabled at the racetrack only for the day of the race. When they leave, the racetrack must clean the empty boxes to one of two levels of cleanliness, or else face a possible fine. A similar punitive set of standards in the U.S., says Motion and others, could help fix a glaring problem.

“The levels we’re being tested at nowadays are so minuscule, there’s no room for error here,” Motion says. “Like we’re being held to high standards as trainers, which is a good thing, so should they be held to high standards as well.”

 

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