With the Kentucky Derby still 22 weeks away, the pari-mutuel field of “All Other 3-Year-Old Colts and Geldings” closed as the 6-5 favorite in Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW) and the Bob Baffert-trained Life Is Good was the 5-1 second choice.
Life Is Good, who won his Nov. 22 debut at Del Mar by 9 ½ lengths for the record-equaling six-time Derby-winning trainer, edged Breeders' Cup Juvenile (GI) winner Essential Quality, who closed at 8-1 in the betting. Other horses who attracted interest from bettors: Hopeful (GI) and Champagne (GI) winner Jackie's Warrior (18-1); Nyquist Stakes winner Highly Motivated (18-1); and Saturday's Kentucky Jockey Club (GII) winner Keepmeinmind (19-1).
Horses in order of the public's betting choice (with trainer, Pool 1 odds and $2 Win will pays): #24 “All Other 3-Year-Old Colts and Geldings” (6-5, $4.60); #11 Life Is Good (Bob Baffert, 5-1, $12.80); #3 Essential Quality (Brad Cox, 8-1, $18.40); #8 Jackie's Warrior (Steve Asmussen, 18-1, $38.20); #6 Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, 18-1, $39.80); #9 Keepmeinmind (Robertino Diodoro, 19-1, $40); #1 Caddo River (Brad Cox, 27-1, $57.40); #20 Speaker's Corner (Bill Mott, 29-1, $61); #4 Fire At Will (Mike Maker, 30-1, $62.80); #7 Hot Rod Charlie (Doug O'Neill, 34-1, $71.40); #14 Red Flag (John Shirreffs, 35-1, $72); #15 Reinvestment Risk (Chad Brown, 35-1, $72.60); #17 Savile Row (Bob Baffert, 36-1, $75.80); #18 Scarred (Steve Asmussen, 49-1, $100.40); #22 Ten for Ten (Shug McGaughey III, 51-1, $105.80); #23 “All 3-Year-Old Fillies” (56-1, $114.40); #12 Midnight Bourbon (Steve Asmussen, 59-1, $120.40); #10 King Fury (Kenny McPeek, 60-1, $122.40); #5 Get Her Number (Peter Miller, 64-1, $130.40); #19 Sittin On Go (Dale Romans, 68-1, $139.20); #2 Dr. Shivel (Mark Glatt, 72-1, $146.80); #16 Rombauer (Michael McCarthy, 88-1, $178.80); #13 Pickin' Time (Kelly Breen, 96-1, $194.60); and #21 Super Stock (Steve Asmussen, 103-1, $209.60).
Total handle for the Nov. 26-29 KDFW pool – the first of five scheduled wagering pools in advance of the 147th running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) on Saturday, May 1 – was $249,331 ($191,984 in the Win pool and $57,347 in Exactas).
Inaugurated in 1999, the Kentucky Derby Future Wager has been offered for a 23rd consecutive year, but this marks just the eighth time that Churchill Downs has hosted a KDFW pool on closing weekend of its Fall Meet.
This year's early Derby betting menu also included the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager, which, for the sixth consecutive year, provided bettors with a unique opportunity to wager on select breeding stars and their entire crop of juveniles with the hope of winning next year's Kentucky Derby.
Into Mischief and “All Other Sires” attracted the most attention from bettors. Into Mischief, the sire of Life Is Good and Highly Motivated among others, closed as the 4-1 favorite ahead of “All Other Sires” at 5-1 and progeny by Tapit at 6-1.
Sires in order of favoritism for the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager (Odds and $2 Win Will Pays): #12 Into Mischief (4-1, $10.20); #24 “All Other Sires” (5-1, $12); #20 Tapit (6-1, $15.20); #6 Curlin (12-1, $27.80); #1 American Pharoah (13-1, $29); #5 Constitution (17-1, $36.40); #22 Uncle Mo (19-1, $41.20); #8 Frosted (21-1, $44.80); #18 Quality Road (22-1, $47.40); #10 Hard Spun (24-1, $50); #19 Street Sense (25-1, $53.20); #9 Ghostzapper (27-1, $56.80); #17 Pioneerof the Nile (30-1, $62.60); #16 Not This Time (30-1, $63.80); #14 Medaglia d'Oro (35-1, $72); #21 Tiznow (35-1, $73.20); #2 Bernardini (36-1, $74.20); #23 Union Rags (43-1, $89.80); #11 Honor Code (44-1, $91.40); #15 Munnings (47-1, $97); #4 Candy Ride (ARG) (47-1, $97.80); #13 Liam's Map (49-1, $100.40); #3 Bodemeister (60-1, $123.60); and #7 Flatter (80-1, $162.80).
Total betting on the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager was a record $47,567 ($33,269 in the Win pool and $14,298 in the Exactas).
The KDFW and Sire Future Wager combined to handle $296,898 compared to $397,394 in 2019 and $291,313 in 2018.
The other Future Wager dates are tentatively set for Jan. 22-24 (Pool 2), Feb. 12-14 (Pool 3), March 5-7 (Pool 4) and March 26-28 (Pool 5). The lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager will coincide with Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 4 on March 5-7.
The post Life Is Good, 5-1, Lowest-Priced Horse In Kentucky Derby Future Wager’s Opening Pool appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.
In part one of the Caribbean Stud Poker Tip Sheet, I went over the all-important odds chart and gave you some insight into what to expect when you’re playing Caribbean Stud Poker. Next, let’s go over four fast tips to help you maximize your fun and potential profit when playing Caribbean Stud Poker.
Caribbean Stud Poker Tip One – Staying In
This one is pretty easy. If you are dealt two pairs or better, add to your wager and stay in the hand. The premise is simple. The dealer will only have a hand better than two pair once per 47 hands in theory. The probability of you winning is on your side.
I’d also expand this and say that with one pair you should strongly consider staying in the hand. The probability of getting two pair is 1:21 and if you win you’re being paid 1:1, so the value is in your favor. The dealer will fail to qualify very often and that’s what you want when you have one pair.
Caribbean Stud Poker Tip Two – Play that progressive
Some call it a sucker’s bet, but let’s be honest. Why are you playing this game? To have fun and win money!
If you get a straight, flush, full house, straight flush or royal flush and the dealer doesn’t quality-again, it happens a lot-you get paid nothing. I don’t know about you, but if I’m dealt a four of a kind and the dealer doesn’t qualify, I’ll look pretty stupid for not betting that $1.
And if you’re a money management and fiscal conservative, go play Craps or nothing at all.
Caribbean Stud Poker Tip Three – Nothing equals fold
Again, a super simple tip to live by. If you have nothing in your hand, fold. Why? Well, think about it. The only way you win is if the dealer doesn’t qualify and that might happen say 30% of the time. If that were the case, you’d have a 70% chance to lose and you’ll only be paid even money on your Ante wager. Your Bet wager gets nothing, but it can lose if you stay in.
Think about it again if you think I’m wrong. You’re wagering two times the amount to win half. For instance, you’re wagering $10 with nothing to win a maximum of $5 and you have a high probability of losing on top of all that. It’s a really stupid move.
Caribbean Stud Poker Tip Four – Play it cool
Caribbean Stud Poker is a great game, but it’s not the best game in the house. Have a blast, but never press up your bets thinking that you’re “due” to win.
Take it easy, have fun, remember these tips and win some money.
Chad Brown stablemates Viadera (GB) (Bated Breath {GB}) and Blowout (GB) (Dansili {GB}) took their show on the road, but the result was the same as once again Juddmonte Farms’ Viadera got the best of her gutsy rival to win the GI Matriarch S. with a dramatic late surge at Del Mar Sunday. When the duo last met, Viadera was just able to get her nose in front on the line after Blowout set a torrid pace in the Sept. 25 GIII Noble Damsel S. at Belmont Park.
Blowout zipped out to the early lead at Del Mar Sunday, was clear around the first turn and completed the opening quarter in :22.62, but Juddmonte homebred Juliet Foxtrot (GB) (Dansili {GB}) surged to the lead midway down the backstretch and was two lengths in front of Blowout through a half in :45.63 as Viadera remained unhurried near the back of the pack. Juliet Foxtrot was still in front at the top of the lane, but Blowout reengaged that foe as they passed the three-quarters in 1:09.37. The Peter Brant colorbearer took a slim lead with a furlong to run, but Viadera was finding a seam to run through and closed powerfully to just get on top on the line.
“I had to work for that one,” admitted winning rider Joel Rosario. “She’s a good filly, a really good filly. But she makes you work. I had to stay after her. She can run, though, there’s no doubt. I’m lucky that Chad Brown gives me an opportunity like this. Grass horses and especially fillies. He’s the best.”
Viadera’s win capped a successful holiday weeked on the west coast for Brown, who also won the GI Hollywood Derby and GIII Jimmy Durante S. and was second in the GII Seabiscuit S.
“This weekend has been amazing,” said Brown’s longtime assistant Jose Hernandez. “I didn’t know which filly was the winner, but I’m happy it turned out to be Viadera. My boss Chad Brown is an amazing trainer and I just do my best for him. It’s an amazing job for me and I love the horses. In the future, I don’t know when it would be, if Chad wanted to come out here with a string, I’d like that. We like it out here.”
Group placed in Ireland with trainer Ger Lyons, Viadera was transferred to Chad Brown this summer. Fourth behind fellow Brown trainee Newspaperofrecord (Ire) (Lope de Vega {Ire}) while making her stateside debut over a yielding turf course in the June 6 GIII Intercontinental S., she earned her first U.S. win in the July 17 De La Rose S. at Saratoga. She made it two in a row when she nailed Blowout on the line to win the Noble Damsel last time out.
Pedigree Notes:
Sacred Shield produced a full-sister to the winner last year and a colt by Camacho (GB) this year. The mare is a half-sister to the dam of Group 1 winner Passage of Time (GB) (Dansili {GB}) and to the dam of multiple Group 1 winner Twice Over (GB) (Observatory).
Viadera is one of 10 graded winners for Bated Breath and one of two in the U.S. His Simply Breathless (GB) won last year’s GIII Wilshire S. The Juddmonte stallion has been represented stateside this year by stakes winner and multiple graded placed Feel Glorious (GB). Last year, his Daayeh (GB) was second in the GI Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.
Sunday, Del Mar
MATRIARCH S.-GI, $301,500, Del Mar, 11-29, 3yo/up, f/m, 1mT, 1:33.03, fm.
1–VIADERA (GB), 123, f, 4, by Bated Breath (GB)
1st Dam: Sacred Shield (GB), by Beat Hollow (GB)
2nd Dam: Quandary, by Blushing Groom (Fr)
3rd Dam: Lost Virtue, by Cloudy Dawn
1ST GRADE I WIN. O-Juddmonte Farms, Inc.; B-Juddmonte
Farms Ltd. (GB); T-Chad C. Brown; J-Joel Rosario. $180,000.
Lifetime Record: 13-6-1-1, $391,441. *1/2 to Crossed Baton
(GB) (Dansili (GB)), MSW & GSP-Eng, GSP-Fr, $141,509.
Click for the eNicks report & 5-cross pedigree. Werk Nick Rating: A.
2–Blowout (GB), 123, f, 4, by Dansili (GB)
1st Dam: Beauty Parlour (GB), by Deep Impact (Jpn)
2nd Dam: Bastet (Ire), by Giant’s Causeway
3rd Dam: Benediction (Ire), by Day Is Done (Ire)
(€450,000 Wlg ’16 GOFNOV). O-Peter M. Brant; B-Dayton
Investments Ltd. (GB); T-Chad C. Brown. $60,000.
3–Juliet Foxtrot (GB), 123, m, 5, by Dansili (GB)
1st Dam: Kilo Alpha (GB), by King’s Best
2nd Dam: Anasazi (Ire), by Sadler’s Wells
3rd Dam: Navajo Princess, by Drone
O-Juddmonte Farms, Inc.; B-Juddmonte Farms Ltd. (GB);
T-Brad H. Cox. $36,000.
Margins: NO, HF, NK. Odds: 5.40, 4.70, 5.90.
Also Ran: Sharing, Maxim Rate, Tamahere (Fr), She’s Our Charm, Bodhicitta (GB). Scratched: Mucho Unusual.
Click for the Equibase.com chart, the TJCIS.com PPs or the free Equineline.com catalogue-style pedigree. VIDEO, sponsored by Fasig-Tipton.
The post Viadera Bests Blowout Again to Give Brown One-Two in the Matriarch appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.
