Robin Goodfellow’s racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, July 11
Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow dishes out his tips for Saturday's meetings at Ascot, Newcastle, Salisbury and Newmarket.
Month: July 2020
War Of Will Adds To Grade 1 Résumé With Maker’s Mark Mile Victory On Keeneland Turf
Gary Barber's War of Will eased past longshot Parlor in the final yards to win the 32nd running of the $300,000 Maker's Mark Mile (G1) for 4-year-olds and up by a nose Friday afternoon at Keeneland in Lexington, Ky.
With Tyler Gaffalione aboard, War of Will raced in the clear after breaking from post 10 and tracked the pace set by High Crime and Parlor, who raced through fractions of :23.17 and :46.91.
Approaching the stretch, Parlor put away High Crime, completing six furlongs in 1:11.09. Under Florent Geroux, Parlor opened a daylight advantage but was unable to hold off the final surge from War of Will and Gaffalione.
“Getting the last race out of the way (May 25 Shoemaker Mile-G1 at Santa Anita on the turf) got the nerves out,” said Gaffalione. “Taking the blinkers off helped him relax beautifully going around there. And when I called on him he finished up nicely.”
Trained by Mark Casse, War of Will covered the mile on a firm turf course in 1:34.55. It is the first Maker's Mark victory for Casse and Gaffalione.
“We're so excited,” said Casse, who was not at Keeneland, where War of Will was saddled by assistant trainer David Carroll. “It's great for everybody. We're just so excited.
“Tyler gave him a tremendous ride,” Casse added. “I wasn't sure (at the finish if he won). I wasn't sure until they put (his number) up. (My wife) Tina and I were just jumping up and down. It's means so much to the horse. We love him so much. And it means so much for a stallion prospect and everything (to be a Grade 1 winner on dirt and turf). Gary Barber and I will have to talk about (if he goes back to dirt or remains on turf). But everyone knows how much we love him, and it's so wonderful.”
The victory was worth $180,000 and increased War of Will's earnings to $1,796,069 with a record of 16-5-1-2 that includes a Grade 1 dirt victory in last year's Preakness.
A Keeneland sale graduate, War of Will is a 4-year-old Kentucky-bred son of War Front out of the Sadler's Wells mare Visions of Clarity (IRE).
War of Will returned $13.80, $6.80 and $3.60. Parlor paid $20.40 and $7 and finished a neck in front of favored Raging Bull (FR), who paid $2.40 to show under Joel Rosario.
It was another half-length back to Without Parole (GB), who was followed in order by Emmaus (IRE), English Bee, Hembree, High Crime, Everfast and Next Shares.
“That was a tough one to lose,” said Mike Maker, Parlor's trainer. “He's had a tough trip last couple of times and I thought he had a good chance today. He ran his race. I sure thought he was going to hang on. He got out of the gate well and handled the turf well. No excuse. He was just second best.”
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Four Graces Wins Beaumont At Keeneland, But Unlikely To Stretch Out For Kentucky Oaks
Whitham Thoroughbreds' homebred Four Graces set a track record by winning the 35th running of the $100,000 Beaumont Stakes (G3) by 4¾ lengths over Sconsin at Keeneland in Lexington, Ky., on Friday. She covered the Beard Course of 7 furlongs, 184 feet over a fast main track in 1:24.90 for a stakes and track record.
Jockey Julien Leparoux put Four Graces on the lead with second choice Wicked Whisper just to her outside as the two raced through early fractions of :22.29 and :44.37.
At the head of the stretch, Four Graces put Wicked Whisper away, opened a daylight margin and cruised to the finish line well clear of Sconsin. For Leparoux, it is his third Beaumont victory with previous wins coming in 2009 with War Kill and 2016 with Lightstream.
“She's a fast filly,” said Leparoux. “The track is pretty quick today too. But she was doing it very nicely for me in a good rhythm. That's the way she likes to run – free – and she makes that big kick at the end.
“I'm surprised we broke the track record, really,” he added. “But she's getting much better right now and she's doing very good.”
Trained by Ian Wilkes, Four Graces picked up 20 points toward the $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks (G1) on Sept. 4 and hiked her total to 40, a figure that ranks 12th. The Oaks is limited to the top 14 point earners to pass the entry box.
The victory was worth $60,000 and boosted Four Graces' earnings to $194,450 with a record of 5-4-0-0. It was her third consecutive victory and second Grade 3 having won the Dogwood at Churchill last month.
Wilkes said he was not inclined to stretch out Four Graces around two turns to the Oaks distance.
“I'll talk to (owner) Mrs. (Janis) Whitham and (most likely) we'll point to the Test (G1, going 7 furlongs on Aug. 8 at Saratoga),” he said.
Four Graces is a Kentucky-bred daughter of Majesticperfection out of the Seeking the Gold mare Ivory Empress. She returned $3.40, $2.40 and $2.10. Sconsin, who picked up her initial eight Oaks points, paid $3.20 and $2.40 under James Graham. Turtle Trax, who finished 4¾ lengths back in third under Brian Hernandez Jr. and paid $3 to show. Wilkes also trains Turtle Trax, who picked up four Oaks points to raise her total to six.
Wicked Whisper (12 Oaks points) finished fourth followed by Slam Dunk.
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A Craps System Increases Your Chances of Winning
If you’re a craps player you probably enjoy playing the craps game with a minimum of risk. A craps system is a method of obtaining this. If you follow this system you will have a long and more enjoyable play whether you’re playing craps at an Indian casino or from the best casino gambling online website.
A good system for the craps game should include
- a Craps game plan
- odds, such as knowledge
- executing enough discipline to follow the craps game plan
The Craps game plan
Have you ever seen The Lakers or any other top football team going into the Super Bowl without a game plan? I haven’t. And this is also true for the Craps game. You don’t enter a serious Craps game without some sort of a game plan. With a good Craps game plan to follow, it’s less likely that you’ll get caught up with all the “bad bets” at the table when things go wrong Vital questions your game plan must answer, for example is when to bet, what to bet on and how much to bet, etc.
Know Thy Odds
You should know the odds for any number that is rolled in the Craps game. As Craps players we know that the house has a definite advantage as the seven has the highest chance of rolling than any number. So a general rule of thumb should be that the further away from a seven the number is, the lower the chance it has of being rolled. Let’s say a two has a one in 36 chance while an eight has five in 36 chance of rolling. So by applying a little common sense, you’ll see that you should chose to place bets on numbers that have higher chances of rolling.
Craps discipline
To carry out your craps game plan, you need to drum up discipline. This means doing like the professional gamblers do; don’t let greed and fear tempt you away from common sense. If you keep focused and execute a little discipline, you can play only the strongest bets on the table and eventually walk away with minor losses instead of ruin.
If the fortunate event of having a nice stack of the casino’s chips in front of you occurs, executing discipline will also help you to go home.
