17:28:00
VALENTINE BOY, 189.2
SONNERIE POWER, 180.8
BIG BEAR HUG, 138.3
BRODIE’S BOY, 127.8
SARANGPUR, 125
MAYWEDANCE, 103.3
DISTINCTION, 77.2

18:03:00
MEENNAA, 212.8
SPIRIT TANGO, 96.5
ABSOLUTE DIAMOND, 71.8
CLARITY, 63.3
HAVANANOTHER, 57.5
SPEED NATION, 51.7
BEAUTIFUL EFFORT, 49.3
MOHANGEL, 47
IRIS OLIVIA, 30.8

18:38:00
KASHOODA, 154.7
MARIANITA, 103.2
ALSHERA, 97
BLUE HILL, 64
CRACK OF THUNDER, 42.5
CRACKING BEAUTY, 38
SKITTISH, 36.8
SALVE ALLEGRA, 36.2
MAKE A SPLASH, 34.7
TIDE LINES, 31.2
BABA GANOUSH, 29.8
STOPHERANDGO, 27.8

19:13:00
GOOLOOGONG, 174.8
CAPRELO, 166.8
BAILEYS KHELSTAR, 161.7
BARENBOIM, 139.3
LOUIE’S FOLLY, 137
DUST COVER, 129.7
KITTY FOYLE, 129.3
NUNC EST BIBENDUM, 127.8
ONE COOL DREAMER, 116.2

19:48:00
THESTRAL, 163
FALLACIOUS PROMISE, 152.8
BLUE CELESTIAL, 143
MUSIC ACADEMY, 114.8
ROCCOBEAR, 114.8
TORBADOS, 110.8
BETTY LEMON, 110.2
ROI DE COEUR, 105.5
KATALYST, 94.5
SPORTS DAY, 78
TEN CUIDADO, 80
THISONESFORYOU, 63.2
TALES OLD AS TIME, 35.3

20:20:00
THAPA VC, 172.5
RELEVANT RANGE, 160
GLADIADORA, 155.8
VOLTO DI MEDUSA, 148.2
MBAPPE, 135.2
CHICO DULCE, 110
SUMMER EVENING, 107.8
PLATINUM PRINCE, 107.3
LOVELY JUBLY, 76.2
SIX BLUE, 74
LUMINOUS APPROACH, 41.2

20:55:00
BEAU JARDINE, 185.8
LOOK BACK SMILING, 185.2
BETWEEN ME AND U, 132.5
SUB THIRTEEN, 124.8
FINN IRONSIDE, 115.7
HAWAIIAN KING, 107.3
DEVIOUS DEVAN, 104.2
SPIRIT LEAD ME, 101.7
UNION ISLAND, 94.8
CHERRY HILL, 93.7
OPENING BAT, 61.8

17:20:00
IMPERIAL CULT, 213
OJ LIFESTYLE, 195.3
BOBACIOUS, 183.7
MREMBO, 181
BETA READER, 175.8
SUPER HIT, 174.5
HELLO COTAI, 173
HAVEAGOBEAU, 120.2
TURPIN, 89.8

17:50:00
SHEMIYLA STAR, 253.3
WISE AND WONDERFUL, 191.5
CONFERNATION, 138
MOJITO MADNESS, 127.7
PRINTING MONEY, 115.7
FOSCARINI, 112.3
BULLRIDER, 94.3
WHISKEY GALORE, 74

18:22:00
DREAM COMPOSER, 282.3
DESERT COP, 209.5
AMAZING JOURNEY, 192.2
MUMAYAZ, 188.5
HAVANA RUM, 172.7
SIR GARFIELD, 170
INDEPENDENT EXPERT, 151.2
GOLDWORK, 146

18:57:00
ANALOGICAL, 208.2
ALMA LATINA, 198.7
ARCTURUS FLAME, 178.2
MR FREEDOM, 175.5
SIR WILLIAM, 166.8
TIMBER TWELVE, 150.5
DOUBLE RED, 137.8
ELECTRICAL, 136
TABASKO, 130
CENTRAL COMMAND, 111.2

19:32:00
SARANGPUR, 209
DISSIDENT, 176.7
STINTINO SUNSET, 163.3
PABLO PRINCE, 160.2
THURSDAY, 146.5
FRAM CASTLE, 127.2
HEAD GIRL, 125.8
PANTHERE NOIR, 119.7
DOTTIES STAR, 113
LILYKOY, 95.3

20:07:00
JUST ADAIR, 222.8
NYMPHAEA, 200.7
GEARING’S POINT, 170.2
NARANKA, 148.7
ARENAS DEL TIEMPO, 145.2
RICARDO PHILLIPS, 139.7
FIGHTING POET, 122
FLETCHER, 105.8
HIGH FAVOUR, 48.2

20:42:00
MISSION COMMAND, 285.3
BELL SHOT, 226.2
UTMOST GOOD FAITH, 179.7
MUSICAL ANGEL, 170
MYSTIC MOMENT, 162.2
SPORTING LIGHT, 144.7
JUST QUEEN HIGH, 137
PADUA, 130.7
BELLA PERLA, 117
NORTHERN EMPIRE, 88.5

17.08
SARATOGA GOLD  197.30
FURTHER MEASURE  182.30
FLEURMAN  161.30
TARBAT NESS  159.20
KARTHON  132.80
ROGUE EMPIRE  130.50
VILAINE VERLAINE  66.80
INDIVIDUALISTE  65.80

17.40
GUADALEVIN  90.50
PEQUENITA  74.00
ROSEVANNION  73.20
VIRTUE CHARITY  58.20
DARK REIGN  55.50
SUNSET SCRIPT  55.50
LADY CAROLINE LAMB  55.00
WOODHAY WAYFARER  53.30
AGENT ROSE  47.20

18.10
VELVET VEGA  128.70
TRIBAL QUEEN  100.50
GYPSY JAZZ QUEEN  60.50
PERSIAN FLAW  59.50
SULLOM VOE  55.70
PALOMEZCAL  49.70
MIDNIGHT STEPPERS  48.30
SALVE ALLEGRA  47.50

18.40
BILLY MILL  172.70
CRIMINAL  169.00
BOLD SUITOR  160.70
LADY MANZOR  157.30
HAVANA TOUCH  154.50
I AM ME  131.70
MY BOY HARRY  122.00
JUST TYPICAL  116.70
AMERICAN STATE  110.00
HOUR BY HOUR  80.70
ISLAND HERO  41.00

19.10
MARENGO STORM  190.30
MOONSHINE  168.00
ROGUE SUPREMACY  164.70
JUMEIRAH SANDS  164.50
ARRY UP  154.20
THE LOST SOCK  153.30
ANGEL LOVE  143.20
DELUDED  120.50
SIREN SUIT  102.30

19.40
EXOTIC BABY  192.20
GENEROUS RASCAL  162.70
SEU JO  120.20
FRONT LINE FURY  106.50
BIG HARRY  100.30
SAYIDAH HARD SPUN  93.70
AMAZING JOURNEY  88.30
SIR ALFIE  64.30

20.10
CLUB CLASS  210.70
CARAMAY  164.50
JINDRI  153.00
TOO FARHH GONE  139.00
DESERT BELLE  135.20
GOLDEN MUSE  127.20
SOLEIL D’ARIZONA  85.20
SHUSHI  80.20
POSSIBLE  79.30

20.40
KARAKULA  193.00
UZINCSO  174.20
SONNERIE POWER  158.00
GOLSPIE  141.70
THREE YORKSHIREMEN  133.20
SEA OF CHARM  123.50
IMPERIAL CULT  122.30
SEMELE  103.50
WOOD WHISPERER  97.70
BLACKWATERFOOT  97.20
PERSHALLA  93.30
ST JUST IN TIME  68.00
RUNNING THE GAME  57.50
MAN FROM HAVANA  37.80

13.45
SPECTACULAR DIVER  53.10
COURSEYOUDO  35.40
VARZI  33.53
CUT A DASH  32.10
DUBAI CHAMPION  27.15
FANTASY FORCE  26.25

14.20
STRESSFREE  182.90
PLAGE DE HAVRE  155.00
SING US A SONG  145.00
DARK MOON RISING  144.65
SAINT ETIENNE  142.10
FIREBLADE  139.63
KLASSLEADER  139.23
PADDY THE SQUIRE  134.48
KING’S CODE  134.35
WILL SCARLET  132.98
PRINCE OF THE SEAS  132.15

14.55
STRIKE RED  165.23
PILGRIM  151.85
TROPICAL STORM  144.78
DARK CLOUD RISING  144.40
FAST TRACK HARRY  142.85
FANDOM  138.40
INDIAN RUN  137.38
POCKLINGTON  136.60
ROUSING ENCORE  136.50
DARK THIRTY  136.23
SONDAD  134.85
KYLIAN  133.60
AMERICAN STYLE  132.85
BINHAREER  132.53
TUCO SALAMANCA  128.75
FAHRENHEIT SEVEN  124.73
RUSSET GOLD  124.35
WE NEVER STOP  124.15
WOVEN  121.78
SIR YOSHI  116.10
DESERT FALCON  115.63
WICKET KEEPER  93.00

15.30
QUINAULT  179.48
KIND OF BLUE  163.15
ELMONJED  153.65
ARAMRAM  153.13
TIME FOR SANDALS  151.88
REGIONAL  151.10
BIG MOJO  145.73
JASOUR  142.60
DILIGENT HARRY  141.50
CRESTOFDISTINCTION  134.28
AIN’T NOBODY  131.90
AMERICAN AFFAIR  130.88
COOL HOOF LUKE  38.78

16.05
MOMENTS OF JOY  164.85
LEGACY LINK  156.25
SEA THE STORM  150.28
FELICITAS  149.53
DELLA PACE  117.65
K SARRA  115.65

16.40
FIRST LEGION  142.90
HASBRO MARKET  138.88
ADVANCE TWENTYFIVE  135.78
THE RESDEV SCHOLAR  135.65
STARTLED  135.15
ELLUSIVE BUTTERFLY  133.38
COTAI LIGHTS  128.03
GOLD QUEEN KINDLY  127.48
DAYDREAMA  122.10
INISHBEG  115.38
FIRST TIME  110.75
AWRAAD  104.03
MONTAGUE MENACE  103.13
LUANSOBE  63.35
AL NAJASHI  57.97

17.15
LIGHTENING COMPANY  135.13
DWINDLING FUNDS  133.98
MINHAD  132.78
GREAT BEDWYN  129.90
MAFTING  128.88
SPORTINGSILVERMINE  128.03
FOX JOURNEY  124.10
GALYX  121.65
MASTER BUILDER  118.78
MARHABA THE CHAMP  116.28
JEZ BOMB  115.60
PROJECT GEOFIN  115.15
ARRANGE  108.13
MILITARY CROSS  90.78
HELMSLEY  90.48
FREE WORLD  29.10
HERMETIC  28.35

13:50
Baldomero  14.69
Dark Thirty  10.22
Invictus Gold  9.00
Diligently  8.18
Eternal Sunshine  6.63
Divine Libra  6.48
Rousing Encore  6.26
Coul Angel  5.76
Double Rush  5.66
Andesite  5.16
Eye Of Dubai  4.50
Humam  3.31
Realign  3.29
Zoulu Chief  2.28

14:25
Wareeth  34.10
Poseidon’s Warrior  14.68
Isaac Newton  16.76
Morshdi  8.48
Shayem  5.82
Bourbon Blues  4.46
Command The Stars  2.75

15:00
Damysus  28.32
Boiling Point  28.44
Skukuza  21.63
Persica  9.52
King’s Gambit  6.38
Prague  3.51

15:35
Act Of Kindness  16.26
Mubasimah  8.78
Beautify  9.91
Inis Mor  7.35
America Queen  5.54
Asmeralda  4.78
Fitzella  3.12
Awaken  2.98
Azleet  1.06
Golden Palace  1.06
Harlequin Breeze  0.71
Silenciosa  0.96
Cherry Baker  0.57

16:10
Lady Jemima  3.58
Jazz Queen  2.78
Havana Lightning  2.77
Beauty Box  2.45
Bint Archange  2.37
Sea Of Sardinia  1.82
Magic Effort  1.73
Call Me Tomorrow  1.42

16:45
Capichera  15.30
Lyrics Of Life  10.73
So Regal  10.71
Summer In Paris  5.27
Silver Lake  4.58
Darzah  4.18
Star Of Hope  3.57
Lady Fizz  3.09

17:17
High Storm  17.29
Waterford Castle  10.62
Oratorical  11.72
Archers Bay  7.83
Tailgunner Joe  6.94
Evanesco  9.30
The Joker  3.32
Ranga Tang  5.85
Impossible Mission  1.21

**Lingfield (All Weather) – 14:00**

**Current Going:** Standard.
**Distance:** 1m 2f.

This Class 2 handicap serves as a key trial for the Winter Oaks. The 10-furlong trip at Lingfield requires a blend of tactical speed and stamina, with the sharp turns and downhill run into the straight placing a premium on balance and position. Low to middle draws generally hold an advantage here, allowing contenders to secure a position without expending early energy.

Contender Analysis

**MORROPHORE (John & Thady Gosden / Ryan Moore)**
The clear class act of the field with an Official Rating of 98, giving weight to all rivals. She returns to the All Weather where she has a 50% strike rate (1-from-2). Her last run was a credible 4th in a Class 2 at Newmarket (October), finishing 7 lengths behind the winner but running better than the bare result suggests. With Ryan Moore booked—a significant signal of intent from the Gosden yard—she commands respect. However, drawn in stall 9 (the widest berth) poses a tactical headache; Moore will need to navigate the wide start carefully to avoid being trapped deep or used up too early.

**TRUE COLORS (Marco Botti / Marco Ghiani)**
A rapidly improving filly who arrives off the back of a career-best win at Wolverhampton (9.5f) last month. She travels strongly and showed a potent turn of foot to score by over 2 lengths. The Marco Botti stable is in form, and the trainer has explicitly targeted this race. Drawn favourably in stall 3, she should get the perfect run of the race just behind the speed. Her upward trajectory suggests she is ahead of her mark of 81.

**WINTER FLOWER (William Haggas / Joanna Mason)**
Typical of a Haggas improver, this 3-year-old has shown progressive form on the All Weather. She was a close 2nd at Newcastle (12f) in November, proving her stamina, and drops back to 10f here which should sharpen her up. Drawn in stall 5, she is perfectly positioned. Her handicap mark of 82 looks workable, and the stable’s 24% strike rate at Lingfield is a major positive. She is a leading player with fitness on her side.

**MUSIC PIECE (Andrew Balding / Jason Watson)**
Consistent but often finds one or two too good, as seen in her 2nd place finish at Newbury (12f, Soft) in October. The drop back in trip to 10f is interesting; she has speed but stays well. Drawn in stall 2, she will likely hold a prominent pitch on the rail. While her market price has drifted (6/1 out to 12/1), her high adjusted ratings suggest she has the raw ability to feature if the race turns into a test of stamina.

**SUZETTE DEFOYE (Simon & Ed Crisford / Sean Dylan Bowen)**
The “Steamer” of the race, having been backed from 9/1 into 9/2. The Crisford stable has an exceptional record in this specific race, winning the last three renewals. She is lightly raced and unexposed, with a win at Southwell (1m) on her CV. Although her recent turf form (6th at Nottingham) was average, the return to the All Weather and the significant market support suggests a massive run is expected. Drawn 8 is tricky, but the market move speaks volumes.

**HELMSLEY (Ivan Furtado / Kieran O’Neill)**
A decisive winner at Redcar (10f) last time out, scoring by 5.5 lengths. That performance earned her a significant hike in the weights (up 12lbs to 86). While visually impressive, repeating that feat off a much higher mark in a deeper Class 2 contest is a tough ask. However, drawn in stall 1, she will take the shortest route home. At 33/1, the market has completely dismissed her chance, perhaps prematurely given her last-start dominance.

**FRANCES ETHEL (William Haggas / Jason Hart)**
A South African import who brought high-class form (Group 1 placed/Grade 2 winner in SA) but has struggled to replicate it in two UK starts, finishing down the field at Newmarket and Newcastle. While rated 99, she carries a big weight and concedes fitness to sharper rivals. She likely needs more time to acclimatize and find her rhythm in British handicaps.
*Ratings: OR 96 | RPR 98*

**WILHELMINA (Kevin Philippart De Foy / Nicola Currie)**
Consistent performer with a string of placed efforts (2nd last time out). She is honest and rarely runs a bad race but lacks the “killer blow” of an improperly handicapped horse. Facing potential Group-class improvers here, she looks vulnerable for the win purposes.

**QUAMBY (David Simcock / Luke Morris)**
Has attracted some market support (14/1 into 11/1) but her form figures (85-23) suggest she is still finding her feet. She meets some hardened handicap debutants and improvers here. The David Simcock yard can ready one, but others make more appeal on paper.

Simulation Results:

1. **True Colors** comes out on top most frequently due to her progressive profile, ideal draw (3), and strong recent win.
2. **Morrophore** is a close second; her class is superior, but the wide draw (9) reduces her win frequency in the simulation compared to a better-drawn rival.
3. **Winter Flower** ranks third, offering a solid probability of placing or winning due to the Haggas/AW factor.
4. **Suzette Defoye** shows a spike in probability consistent with the “smart money” (steamer), suggesting the stable expectation is higher than the raw form implies.

**Percentage Chances:**

* **True Colors:** 22.0% (approx 7/2)
* **Morrophore:** 20.0% (approx 4/1)
* **Winter Flower:** 16.5% (approx 5/1)
* **Suzette Defoye:** 13.5% (approx 13/2)
* **Music Piece:** 10.0% (approx 9/1)
* **Helmsley:** 8.0% (approx 11/1)
* **Frances Ethel:** 5.0% (approx 19/1)
* **Wilhelmina:** 3.0% (approx 33/1)
* **Quamby:** 2.0% (approx 50/1)

—

### Selections

**Best Bet:**
**TRUE COLORS**
The most logical winner. She is on a steep upward curve, has a prime draw in stall 3 to stalk the pace, and won comfortably last time out. The 9/2 live price offers excellent value against a calculated probability of 22% (which implies odds of around 7/2).

**Value Selection 1:**
**MUSIC PIECE**
Calculated odds: 9/1 | Live Odds: **12/1**
Despite the drift, her adjusted ratings are high, and she is drawn well in stall 2. The market seems to have overlooked her consistency and ability to handle this grade. At double-figure odds, she is over-priced.

**Value Selection 2:**
**HELMSLEY**
Calculated odds: 11/1 | Live Odds: **33/1**
The discrepancy here is massive. While the weight rise is steep, a 5.5-length winner drawn in stall 1 should not be 33/1 in a field where favourites have questions (draw or fitness). She is the wildcard value.

**Steamers:**
1. **SUZETTE DEFOYE** (9/1 to **9/2**) – A huge move (4.5 points), indicating strong confidence from the Crisford yard who farm this race.
2. **QUAMBY** (14/1 to **11/1**) – A notable tightening in price, though less significant than Suzette Defoye.

York 14.10

8  STRESSFREE 87.5
6  THE REVEREND 61.0
9  PLAGE DE HAVRE 44.8
7 ALMOSH’HER 32.5

York 14.42

3  HOLKHAM BAY 64.2
10  TWO TRIBES 59.0
5  RAMAZAN 57.5
12  CHANGE SINGS 50.2

York 15.13

2  INISHERIN 71.5
7  FLORA OF BERMUDA 63.7
5  NIGHT RAIDER 56.0
1  ELITE STATUS 43.5

York 15.45

6  WHIRL 120.0
3  SERENITY PRAYER 91.5
4  SMOKEN 84.2
1  GO GO BOOTS 83.2

York 16.18

9  RARE CHANGE 59.8
3  RED SAND 57.7
4  JOLLY ROGER 52.5
5  GALLANT 47.8

York 16.55

4  FRIO 64.3
5  ROY LANE 30.5
6  UTMOST RESPECT 24.8
2  BALLISTIC MISSILE 21.8

York 17.25

3  DON SIMON 61.5
11  WHATHAPPENSINVEGAS 46.5
1  GREAT BEDWYN 44.5
5  PAPAGEI 32.8

Cheltenham 13.20

1 FINAL DEMAND 110.7
7 POTTERS CHARM 99.2
11 THE YELLOW CLAY 59.0
10 THE NEW LION 50.8

Cheltenham 14.00

1 BALLYBURN 181.0
2 BETTER DAYS AHEAD 92.7
3 DANCING CITY 89.2
4 GORGEOUS TOM 42.8

Cheltenham 14.40

11 IMPOSE TOI 47.8
17 BE AWARE 47.5
15 COMFORT ZONE 40.2
13 BUNTING 36.0

Cheltenham 15.20

2 GALVIN 68.7
1 STUMPTOWN 52.2
11 MISTER COFFEY 40.8
12 BUSSELTON 38.2

Cheltenham 16.00

2 ENERGUMENE 136.0
4 JONBON 115.5
8 SOLNESS 84.8
6 MARINE NATIONALE 49.5

Cheltenham 16.40

7 UNEXPECTED PARTY 68.2
3 MY MATE MOZZIE 57.5
15 JAZZY MATTY 42.7
10 SO SCOTTISH 27.8

Cheltenham 17.20

15 BAMBINO FEVER 166.2
1 COPACABANA 54.7
5 GAMEOFINCHES 40.3
10 KALYPSO’CHANCE 36.7

Cheltenham 12.20

1 KALIF DU BERLAIS 164.0
2 TEDLEY 136.7
3 VINCENZO 111.3

Cheltenham 12.55

9 DIVA LUNA 127.2
4 KEN ROY 67.3
6 NEWTON TORNADO 30.8
5 MOUNT GAY RUN 27.5

Cheltenham 13.30

3 CLOUDY GLEN 134.2
1 BROADWAY BOY 110.8
2 CHANTRY HOUSE 91.3
4 OUR POWER 71.3

Cheltenham 14.05

4 SPRINGWELL BAY 110.8
6 GEMIRANDE 99.5
1 HITMAN 78.7
2 MIDNIGHT RIVER 58.0

Cheltenham 14.40

1 TWIG 101.8
8 STRACKAN 67.2
2 ITCHY FEET 66.3
4 DEEP CAVE 64.5

Cheltenham 15.15

1 LUCKY PLACE 129.3
5 THUNDER ROCK 89.7
2 LANGER DAN 88.7
7 GOLDEN ACE 76.0

Cheltenham 15.50

16 MERELY A DETAIL 61.8
8 MARHABA PRINCE 59.2
2 CEDAR CREEK 45.7
17 ROSE’S DART 43.2

Musselburgh 12.35

4 MIASWELL 177.8
2 JOHNNY RINGO 74.0
7 SPARTAN WARRIOR 55.2
1 CRACKER STAR 42.2

Musselburgh 13.10

1 OKAVANGO DELTA 153.5
6 DIVAS DOYEN 84.8
2 SHADOWS IN THE SKY 75.3
5 WINDS OF WINTER 52.8

Musselburgh 13.45

6 BRINGBACKMEMORIES 120.8
1 BENSON 94.8
3 SWEET FANTASY 88.2
2 LIARI 70.7

Musselburgh 14.20

3 BEAU BALKO 114.0
1 CORRIGEEN ROCK 78.0
4 BOOMSLANG 70.8
5 HALF SHOT 58.8

Musselburgh 14.55

1 YOU SOME GIRL 91.3
5 TOP MAN TOM 80.2
2 PRINCE OF PERTH 74.7
3 BRANDY MCQUEEN 74.5

Musselburgh 15.30

1 SLUGGER 98.2
3 MACK THE MAN 83.3
4 KINGSTON NARCISSUS 81.5
5 CUBAN CIGAR 70.5