The Jukebox Kid has strong recent form with multiple wins including two from his last three starts over similar trip distances.

He has demonstrated he handles good ground well in those victories and looks fit and in peak condition ahead of this extended handicap.

His experience over fences at a high level adds to his claims while the trip should suit his stamina profile perfectly. Kiss Will is a progressive young chaser with solid recent placed efforts including multiple seconds and thirds in competitive company.

He has shown he can act on good going and benefits from top class handling and a stable in excellent form.

His fitness is clear from consistent runs without breaks and he has the class to figure prominently in a big field.

Soldier In Milan boasts winning form in his most recent starts and has posted credible efforts when stepped up in grade.

He performs best on good ground where his jumping comes to the fore and he stays the trip well.

Current fitness is high after a productive campaign and he enters this race with momentum on his side.

C’Est Ta Chance has improved markedly with two recent victories over fences and looks a horse still on the up.

He has handled good conditions effectively in the past and his progressive profile suggests he can cope with this extended distance.

The absence of recent hard races keeps him fresh and he has the experience needed for a race of this nature.

Argento Boy showed smart novice chase form with back to back wins before a solid effort in stronger company.

He acts on good ground and the step up in trip is expected to play to his strengths given his pedigree and style.

Fitness remains good and he brings class that could see him competitive off his current mark.

Monbeg Genius has mixed recent form but has posted some eye catching efforts in handicaps and stays well.

He has previous experience around this track and on good going where he has performed creditably.

Current condition looks adequate after a break and he cannot be ruled out if the race sets up for a closer.

One Big Bang has been consistent with placed efforts in his last few starts and looks well suited to good ground.

His stamina has been proven over long trips and he arrives in good order with solid recent fitness.

Course and distance preferences align well and he has the experience to handle a big field handicap.

Better Times Ahead has shown improved form with wins and strong placings on goodish ground recently.

He stays the trip and has course form that suggests he can go well at Fairyhouse.

Fitness is not an issue and he looks capable of another big run if conditions remain favourable.

Showurappreciation is on a roll with a recent hat trick of wins and looks in career best form.

He has handled good ground effectively and his progressive nature makes him a major player.

Current fitness is excellent with no hard races in quick succession and he has the class for this level.

Better Days Ahead has been in good heart with recent placed efforts and prior course experience at Fairyhouse.

He acts on good going and the trip is well within his range given his staying pedigree.

He remains fit and competitive and his handicap mark looks workable on current form.

Goraibhmaithagat has posted some strong efforts including a recent win and consistent placings.

He performs well on good ground and has the stamina for this marathon trip.

Fitness levels are high and he brings useful experience from similar handicaps.

Search For Glory has good placed form earlier in the season though his latest runs have been mixed.

He has shown he stays well on good ground and the trip should suit.

Recent fitness is acceptable after a short break and he has the ability to bounce back in a handicap of this type.

Shecouldbeanything has been competitive in recent starts with placed efforts and looks to stay the trip.

She has form on good going and remains relatively lightly raced for her age.

Current condition is sound and she could improve further with a clear round.

Kurasso Blue has shown flashes of ability with wins and placings but recent form has been patchy.

He handles good ground and the distance is within his compass.

Fitness is reasonable and he could outrun his odds if things fall his way.

Waterford Whispers has been consistent in recent handicaps with creditable efforts on good going.

He stays well and has the experience for a race like this.

His current fitness looks good and he is capable of a bold show.

Flicker Of Hope has winning form but has been inconsistent of late though he stays the trip.

He has shown he can act on good ground and remains fit enough.

A return to form is not out of the question in an open handicap.

O’Toole has some strong past performances including wins over fences and stays well.

He has handled good conditions before and looks fit enough for this assignment.

Experience is a plus though recent form needs improving on.

The Enabler has posted some useful efforts in handicaps and can handle good ground.

He stays the trip and has reasonable recent fitness.

He could be involved if the pace is strong.

Weveallbeencaught has shown glimpses of ability in recent runs and stays well.

Good ground is no problem and he has the experience required.

Fitness is adequate and he is not without a chance.

Yeah Man has been competitive at times though recent form has been below par.

He has form on good going and the trip is suitable.

Current condition is fair and he might find a bit more on his day.

Simulation Results:

The Jukebox Kid 10.11 percent equating to approximately 9 to 1.
Kiss Will 8.03 percent equating to approximately 11 to 1.
Soldier In Milan 7.47 percent equating to approximately 12 to 1.
Argento Boy 6.79 percent equating to approximately 14 to 1.
C’Est Ta Chance 6.71 percent equating to approximately 14 to 1.
Showurappreciation 6.05 percent equating to approximately 16 to 1.
One Big Bang 5.88 percent equating to approximately 16 to 1.
Better Days Ahead 5.5 percent equating to approximately 17 to 1.
Better Times Ahead 5.4 percent equating to approximately 17 to 1.
Search For Glory 5.27 percent equating to approximately 18 to 1.
Monbeg Genius 4.78 percent equating to approximately 20 to 1.
Goraibhmaithagat 4.03 percent equating to approximately 24 to 1.
Waterford Whispers 3.97 percent equating to approximately 24 to 1.
Shecouldbeanything 3.37 percent equating to approximately 29 to 1.
Kurasso Blue 3.31 percent equating to approximately 29 to 1.
The Enabler 2.72 percent equating to approximately 36 to 1.
Weveallbeencaught 2.7 percent equating to approximately 36 to 1.
Flicker Of Hope 2.66 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.
O’Toole 2.66 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.
Yeah Man 2.61 percent equating to approximately 37 to 1.

The best bet is The Jukebox Kid.

The two value selections are Argento Boy and C’Est Ta Chance where the live current betting odds are longer than the equivalent odds implied by the simulation percentages.

The two steamer bets are Showurappreciation and Goraibhmaithagat where the early race card prices were at least four points higher than the live current betting prices and they rank among the higher percentage chances from the simulation.

14:00
All Authorized  83.98
Local Derby  21.57
Hilltown  9.42
The Wise Traveller  9.12
Barrow Ranger 6.63
Mild Magic  6.37

14:35
Edwardstone  63.92
Kotmask  44.44
Secret Des Dieux  34.56
Scorsese  10.61
Matterhorn  8.37

15:10
Flash Man  92.16
Tetsworth  22.33
Loriko  14.73
Answer That  10.47
Oblemenko  8.51

15:45
Mount Anglesby  85.01
Kel Du Large  26.01
Minella Jury  12.27
Easy Love  10.70
Tennessee Tango 9.53
High Fibre  9.27
Percy Shelley  8.88
The Boss Bear  8.73
Religous Cross  7.13
Maldini Milano  6.18
Grand Conqueror  5.82
Jefe Triunfo  5.37

16:25
Rivers Corner  99.60
Enjoy D’allen  20.90
Tommie Beau  11.10
Largy Poet  8.67
Havaila  7.68
Unanswered Prayers  6.78
Stans The Man  6.54
Transmission  5.92
Sea Invasion  5.90
Planned Paradise  5.60

16:55
Yasmina  72.70
A Tickatickatiming  23.97
Risk It All  14.51
Fascinating Lips  14.18
Public Enemy  9.08
Galactic Jack  9.00
Unjeu Royal  8.03

17:30
Kamille Au Kanada  226.62
Mint Approved  12.93
Cheap Sandwiches  12.27
Hitintheheadlines  11.03

13:45
Rogue Messiah  27.10
Zain Primus  24.86
Menwirr  12.04
Creative Queen  4.60
King Cherry  3.12
Accommodation  3.02
Marengo Storm  2.97
That’s Random  2.95
Hugh  2.90
Wezzeer  2.85
Dontwaryboutathing  2.65
Sun Path  2.52

14:20
Irish Incentive  44.16
Freda  12.42
Midnight Media  6.12
Miss Mambo  5.57
Guesstimate  5.33
Eastern Veil  4.95
Barbuda Bay  4.55
Doodling  4.35
Blue Samuna  4.22
Tamzan  3.58

14:55
Military Academy  142.80
Savvy Victory  19.14
Gethin  6.75
Thunder Run  5.85
Plage De Havre  5.75
Devil’s Advocate  5.68
Muddy Mooy  4.55

15:30
Midnight Rumble  63.50
Incensed  24.16
Marnier  21.51
Bahadur 5.72
Goblet Of Fire  5.70
Youthful King  5.42
Rogue Impact  4.60
Topteam  4.42
Serenity Blue  4.02

16:05
Gogo Yubari  38.78
Lady Mariko  30.87
Fleetwater  15.48
Mercury Day  7.37
Alpine Girl  6.48
Musical Angel 5.55
Lady Roxby  5.38

16:40
Helm Rock  61.28
Final Night  28.77
Champagne Powder  13.14
Mr Baloo  7.25
Valentine Boy  3.95
Silca Bay  3.92
Brave Byreflection  2.82
Redbud Sixteen  2.88
Greatbritishdream  2.42

17:15
Zoffandia  62.08
Tennessee Gold  16.70
Candomore  6.92
City Of God  6.73
Lunario  5.75
Berry Clever  4.92
Tasdeed  4.88
Broadway Act  4.58
Give Me The Night  2.67

17:50
Fleurman  43.20
Mio Amico  35.30
Bashful Boy  18.70
Merrijig  5.62
Capone  5.38
The Truant  4.95
Fair Dinkum  4.83
Now The Eagle  4.22
Port Of Entry  3.45

14:05
Arslan  60.52
Likealightswitch  18.61
Tatateo  18.14
Desert Haven  15.22
Saveforarainyday  5.61
Migdam  3.62
Radiator Springs  3.13
Combs  2.91
Thankyouforthedays  2.45
Mart Lane  2.35
Court Canyon  2.15
Poet’s Gale  1.73
Hesgonethatway  1.59
Withabitofluk  1.45
Lincoln Du Seuil  1.42
Wackestone  1.23
Jet To Monte Carlo  1.19
Kentucky Beach  0.88
Kabylia   0.86
Camlin Park   0.58
Walk On Annilog   0.42

14:40
Majolique  34.01
Proactif  20.21
Moulin Labbe  11.24
Michonne  8.37
Macho Man  6.47
Kai Lung 4.22
Harwa  4.01
North Shore  3.60
Minella Boss  2.95
Adrienne  2.29

15:15
Timeless Treaty  68.88
Shabby Hill  59.44
El Champo  19.58
Jony R  14.52
Buachaillbocht  11.59
Hgranca De Thaix  10.29
Healys Pub  7.32
Grann’s Boy  6.53
Fad Eadrainn  6.05
Eagles Reign  4.38
Blue Mosque  4.35
Meet And Greet  4.03
Eclipse Chaser  3.26
Kovanis  2.61
Fierce Handay  2.33
Must Go Now  2.08
Slane Hill  1.79
Welonlyhavedone  1.74

15:50
The Yellow Clay 30.46
Storm Heart  26.06
Brewin’upastorm  24.20
Blizzard Of Oz  19.03
Slade Steel  15.11
Bowensonfire  7.30
Farren Glory  6.28
Glen Kiln  4.93
Kawaboomga 4.10
Grainne A Chroi 2.93

16:20
Blood Destiny  78.42
Found A Fifty  34.57
Saint Sam  28.94
Energumene  18.17
Sa Fureur  4.21
Down Memory Lane  3.63

17:00
C’est Ta Chance  58.93
Soldier In Milan  37.43
The Jukebox Kid  11.92
Kiss Will  11.41
Better Days Ahead  10.94
Velvet Elvis  5.50
The Enabler  4.48
Flicker Of Hope 3.73
One Big Bang  3.68
Monbeg Genius  3.56
Waterford Whispers  3.18
Western Walk  2.56
Born Braver  2.33
O’Toole  2.24
Kurasso Blue  2.06
Argento Boy  2.03
Showurappreciation  1.85
Sa Majeste 1.76
Karia Des Blaises  1.65
Search For Glor  1.62
Goraibhmaithagat  1.56
Shecouldbeanything  1.53
Joystick  1.21
Weveallbeencaught 1.17
Rushmount  1.04
Yeah Man  0.90
Better Times Ahead  0.84
Shanbally Kid  0.63
Hartur D’Arc  0.62
Duffle Coat  0.47

17:40
Joyau De Thaix  92.62
Savante  13.47
Prends Garde A Toi  10.14
Patter Merchant  8.88
Prophet’s Corner  7.82
Killaney King  7.49
Will Do  6.99
Ayiko  6.70
Butch Cassidy  5.61
Supreme Gift  5.15
Hermino Aa  4.41
Union Station  3.85
Well Del  3.44
Barry Lyndon  3.23
Cave Court  2.73
Ney  2.71
Chosen Witness  2.65
Clonmeen  2.09

18:10
Jeroboam Machin 26.70
Luidgi Du Luy  11.25
Charismatic Kid  9.49
State Pension  7.39
Poetisa  5.76
Leonard Vallis  3.15
Big Boy Dan  1.83
Dorie Miller  1.59
Queen Alice 1.45
Octo Gane  1.43
The Old Head  1.15
Storm Queen  0.86

13:15 Leopardstown

DOCTOR STEINBERG  24.55
LOVE ME TENDER  23.82
SANTO SOSPIR  13.56
KAZANSKY  11.69
RISKAWAY  3.64
TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO  2.45
YESHIL  1.57
FRANKIE JOHN  1.56

—

13:50 Leopardstown

NARCISO HAS  124.50
MANGE TOUT  21.05
SELMA DE VARY  7.57
BERTUTEA  3.73
IMMEDIATE EFFECT  2.60
BARBIZON  2.17
NORTH SHORE  2.04

—

14:25 Leopardstown

COUNTY FINAL  8.97
CHAMPAGNE KID  8.42
HE CAN’T DANCE  8.06
SON OF ANARCHY  6.42
ROAD TO HOME  3.73
DIPPEDINMOONLIGHT  3.38
SAINT LE FORT  2.09
WENDROCK  2.60
DUKE SILVER  2.46
SMALL TOWN HERO  1.63
D ART D ART  1.35
SAVANTE  1.34
BARRA RUA  1.28
HARTUR D’ARC  1.28
GRANN’S BOY  1.28
SYSKO  1.21
TIMMY TUESDAY  1.16
ECLIPSE CHASER  0.97
I LOVE MY BAIE  0.94
MINELLA SIXO  0.86
LITTLEFOOT  0.74
DAILY PRESENT  0.54
YEATS STAR  0.54

—

14:55 Leopardstown

ROMEO COOLIO  119.35
KARGESE  93.84
DOWNMEXICOWAY  4.27

—

15:30 Leopardstown

GALOPIN DES CHAMPS  40.71
GAELIC WARRIOR  23.35
AFFORDALE FURY  11.42
SPINDLEBERRY  10.84
FACT TO FILE  9.54
I AM MAXIMUS  5.97
FIREFOX  3.13
GRANGECLARE WEST  1.90
INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN  1.24
LECKY WATSON  0.78
MONTY’S STAR  0.83
CHAMP KIELY  0.43

—

16:05 Leopardstown

JACOB’S LADDER  34.16
WESTERN DIEGO  15.27
ADDRAGOOLE  12.81
MORE COKO  8.52
INTHEPOCKET  6.41
BALLYSAX HANK  7.16
BATTLE OF RIDGEWAY  5.94
JASKO DES DAMES  5.50
MILAN FORTH  4.07
GOLDEN JOY  3.44
AN PEANN DEARG  2.28
DRUMGILL  1.23
DONT GO YET  0.90
GRANGE WALK  0.75

—

16:40 Leopardstown

IT’S ONLY A GAME  32.30
CHARISMATIC KID  31.59
ROJUCO MAC  25.92
MOSSY WAY  4.93
BROADWAY TED  4.48
GENEROUS RISK  5.27
WITH NOLIMIT  2.66

Lossiemouth arrives in peak form after a dominant victory at Punchestown in November on soft to heavy, quickening away by nineteen lengths.
She acts well on good to yielding based on earlier successes and brings top-class experience from multiple Grade 1 wins.
Her fitness is optimal from that recent outing, and while lacking specific Leopardstown form, her strong-travelling style suits the track’s configuration.
The handicap rating underscores her superiority in this field.

Brighterdaysahead finished a respectable third at Punchestown in May on yielding ground, beaten nine lengths in Grade 1 company.
She boasts an impressive record prior to that, including unbeaten hurdle starts earlier in the season.
The long absence since May raises fitness concerns against sharper opponents, but she handles good to yielding well.
She has strong course form at Leopardstown with previous victories, enhancing her claims if ready.

Anzadam ran a solid second at Newcastle in November on good to soft, beaten just a length and a half in Grade 1 company.
He showed progressive form with two prior wins, relishing testing conditions.
Fitness from that recent effort is a plus, and he should adapt to good to yielding.
No prior Leopardstown experience, but his stamina and jumping ability fit the bill.

Irancy finished fourth at Punchestown in November on soft to heavy, well behind Lossiemouth in Grade 1.
He previously won back-to-back races, including Grade 1 at Punchestown in April on yielding.
The recent run should have brought him forward in fitness, and he handles good to yielding effectively.
Limited Leopardstown form, but his class suggests he can compete if improving.

Casheldale Lad fell at Fairyhouse in November on yielding to soft in Grade 1, when travelling well.
He had won his two previous starts convincingly, showing good attitude on similar ground.
Fitness remains after the tumble, and he prefers good to yielding conditions.
No Leopardstown runs, but his front-running tactics could suit if he settles.

Hello Neighbour finished tenth on the flat at Roscommon in July on yielding, in listed company.
His hurdle form includes a third earlier, but recent efforts suggest he needs to step up.
As a juvenile Grade 1 winner at Leopardstown on soft, the course is a positive, and he acts on good to yielding.
Fitness from flat run, but experience against elders is limited.

Winter Fog finished sixth at Ascot in November on good to soft in Grade 1, beaten thirty lengths.
He has shown ability in handicaps but struggles at this level recently.
Fitness is there, and he handles good to yielding, as per prior runs.
As an older horse, experience helps, but younger rivals hold the edge.
No notable Leopardstown form.

Futurum Regem finished last at Dundalk in November on the flat in a handicap.
His hurdle form is modest, with no wins and recent poor showings.
Fitness exists, but class is lacking for this Grade 1.
No strong ground preference, and outmatched here without major improvement.

Simulation Results:
Order of finishes based on win counts: Lossiemouth, Anzadam, Brighterdaysahead, Irancy, Casheldale Lad, Hello Neighbour, Winter Fog, Futurum Regem.

Percentage chances for each horse: Lossiemouth 42.12%, Anzadam 15.84%, Brighterdaysahead 13.56%, Irancy 9.32%, Casheldale Lad 8.14%, Hello Neighbour 5.68%, Winter Fog 3.92%, Futurum Regem 1.42%.

Equivalent fractional odds: Lossiemouth 11/8, Anzadam 5/1, Brighterdaysahead 6/1, Irancy 10/1, Casheldale Lad 11/1, Hello Neighbour 16/1, Winter Fog 24/1, Futurum Regem 69/1.

The best bet is Lossiemouth.

The two value selections are Anzadam (live 15/2 versus calculated 5/1) and Irancy (live 25/1 versus calculated 10/1).

Steamer bets. Brighterdaysahead

Trends based on last 12 years:

Lossiemouth matches a high number of key trends.
She is aged six, fitting the profile of nine of the last twelve winners being seven or younger.
She won her last run in the Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown within forty-five days, aligning with eight winners who won last time out, eleven who ran recently, and the strong Morgiana statistic where nine of twelve came from there with eight winning it.
She has two previous runs at Leopardstown, satisfying the ten of twelve with at least one course run, though no wins there against the seven of twelve who had a course victory.
Her distance form shows six runs over fifteen to seventeen furlongs with two wins, falling short of the ten of twelve with at least seven runs and three wins.
In hurdle form, she has six runs and three wins, below the ten of twelve with eight runs and four wins.
Her rating of one hundred and fifty-nine exceeds the one hundred and fifty-six threshold for nine of twelve.
She has three previous Grade One wins, well above the ten of twelve with at least one.
Season form includes three runs with two wins, fitting perfectly.

Anzadam aligns well with several trends.
He is aged five, under seven.
He finished second on his last run at Newcastle within forty-five days, not a win but recent.
His last run was not the Morgiana.
No previous Leopardstown form, missing the course run for ten of twelve.
Distance form has one run with no wins over the trip, well below requirements.
Hurdle form shows five runs with four wins, short on runs but meeting wins.
Rating of one hundred and fifty-seven is above one hundred and fifty-six.
No Grade One wins, against the ten of twelve profile.
Season form has two runs with one win.

Irancy fits a solid portion of the trends.
He is aged seven, on the cusp but qualifying.
He finished fourth last time in the Morgiana at Punchestown within forty-five days, not a win but from the key trial where one of the nine didn’t win or place.
No Leopardstown form.
Distance form with six runs and two wins falls short.
Hurdle form of six runs and three wins is below thresholds.
Rating of one hundred and fifty-six meets the mark.
No Grade One wins.
Season form has two runs with one win.

Brighterdaysahead matches many but misses on recency.
She is aged six, under seven.
She finished third last time at Punchestown but over two hundred days ago, not within forty-five days and not a win.
Not from Morgiana.
Two previous Leopardstown runs with one win, fitting course trends well.
Distance form six runs with three wins, short on runs but meets wins.
Hurdle form six runs and three wins, below.
Rating one hundred and fifty-nine above threshold.
One Grade One win.
Season three runs but no wins.

Hello Neighbour meets some profiles but lacks recency and rating.
He is aged six.
Finished tenth on the flat last time in July, not a win and outside forty-five days.
Not Morgiana.
Four Leopardstown runs with two wins, strong on course.
Distance four runs with two wins, short.
Hurdle four runs and two wins, below.
Rating one hundred and forty-eight below one hundred and fifty-six.
One Grade One win.
Season one run, no win.

Casheldale Lad aligns with fewer trends.
He is aged five.
Fell last time at Fairyhouse within forty-five days, not a win.
Not Morgiana.
No Leopardstown form.
Distance four runs with two wins, short.
Hurdle five runs and three wins, below.
Rating one hundred and forty-eight below.
No Grade One wins.
Season four runs with two wins.

Winter Fog fits sparingly due to age and rating.
He is aged eleven, older than seven against nine of twelve.
Finished sixth last time at Ascot within forty-five days, not a win.
Not Morgiana.
Two Leopardstown runs with no wins.
Distance six runs with one win, short.
Hurdle eleven runs but only one win, meets runs but not wins.
Rating one hundred and forty-four below.
No Grade One wins.
Season four runs, no wins.

Futurum Regem matches the least.
He is aged nine, over seven.
Finished eleventh last time at Dundalk within forty-five days, not a win.
Not Morgiana.
No Leopardstown form.
Distance details limited but likely short.
Hurdle seven runs and one win, below.
Rating ninety-eight well below.
No Grade One wins.
Season five runs, no wins.

In order of preference based on matching the trends: Lossiemouth, Anzadam, Irancy, Brighterdaysahead, Hello Neighbour, Casheldale Lad, Winter Fog, Futurum Regem.

No Drama This End has shown impressive recent form, winning his last two starts in Grade 2 company at Sandown and Cheltenham.
He handled soft ground well in those victories, quickening clear in good style.
This represents a step up, but his experience at this level and fitness edge make him the standout.
He has won at Warwick on soft previously, and similar tracks suit his strong-travelling style.

Kalkbrenner ran a close second over course and distance last time out at Newbury, beaten a head by Klimt Madrik on soft ground.
He previously won comfortably at Ffos Las on soft, showing he relishes testing conditions.
The form from that Newbury run looks solid, and he should confirm placings now on level terms.
His experience over hurdles and class suggest he can run a big race.

Klimt Madrik scored a narrow victory over course and distance at Newbury last time, holding off Kalkbrenner on soft ground.
That was a step up from his earlier fourth at Ffos Las on soft, where he was behind the same rival.
He has fitness on his side but may struggle to reverse form with Kalkbrenner without the weight advantage.
His experience is limited, but he handles good to soft well.

Etna Bianco impressed when winning at Ascot on good ground recently, pulling clear in good fashion.
He ran a solid third at Cheltenham on good to soft before that, suggesting he can act on similar going.
This is a tougher assignment, but his progressive profile and jumping fluency are positives.
No previous form at Newbury, but Ascot win shows he handles undulating tracks.

Montemares remains unbeaten after two hurdle starts, winning at Market Rasen on good to soft and Hereford on good.
He showed a good attitude to battle clear last time, and as a four-year-old, he has scope for improvement.
Limited experience is a concern in this grade, but his fitness and adaptability to ground are encouraging.
No course form, but Market Rasen win indicates he copes with similar conditions.

Tiptoptim won readily at Ludlow on good ground last time, following a close second at Uttoxeter on good.
He has consistent form, including a third at Plumpton on good to soft earlier.
Upped in class here, he may need to find more, but his stamina and jumping are assets.
Fitness is not in doubt, and he handles varied ground.

Starzand is two from two under rules, winning at Ffos Las on soft over hurdles and in a bumper on good.
Those victories came in lesser company, but he showed a good turn of foot.
This represents a significant rise in grade, and he may lack the experience for this test.
Handles soft ground well based on Ffos Las form, similar to Newbury’s profile.

Giantsgrave ran third at Lingfield on good to soft last time, beaten narrowly in a maiden hurdle.
He previously won a bumper at Ffos Las on soft, showing promise.
Still lightly raced, but this looks a tough ask against stronger rivals.
Fitness is there, but class may be an issue on testing ground.

Simulation Results:
Order of finishes based on win counts:
No Drama This End, Kalkbrenner, Klimt Madrik, Etna Bianco, Montemares, Tiptoptim, Starzand, Giantsgrave.

Percentage chances for each horse: No Drama This End 39.96%, Kalkbrenner 18.36%, Klimt Madrik 10.42%, Etna Bianco 9.56%, Montemares 7.56%, Tiptoptim 5.80%, Starzand 4.72%, Giantsgrave 3.62%.

Equivalent fractional odds: No Drama This End 3/2, Kalkbrenner 9/2, Klimt Madrik 17/2, Etna Bianco 19/2, Montemares 12/1, Tiptoptim 16/1, Starzand 20/1, Giantsgrave 26/1.

The best bet is No Drama This End.

The two value selections are Kalkbrenner (live 5/1 versus calculated 9/2) and Klimt Madrik (live 11/1 versus calculated 17/2).

Steamer bets are Kalkbrenner and Tiptoptim.

No Drama This End fits almost every key trend perfectly.
He is aged six, which aligns with eleven of the last twelve winners.
He won his last run at Sandown within the last fifty days.
Although his last run was not in the Hyde Novices Hurdle, he did win that race earlier in the season, adding to his class credentials.
He lacks previous course form at Newbury but has strong distance form with two wins over nineteen to twenty-one furlongs.
His hurdle form is excellent with five runs and two wins.
He holds the highest official rating at one hundred and forty-three, exceeding the one hundred and thirty-six threshold that ten of twelve winners met.
He has two previous Grade Two wins, matching the profile of seven of twelve winners.
His season form shows three runs with two wins.

Klimt Madrik matches many trends well.
He is aged six.
He won his last run at Newbury within fifty days.
His last run was not the Hyde but delivered a course victory here.
He has two previous runs at Newbury with one win.
He has two runs and one win over the distance.
He has three hurdle runs with one win.
His rating is one hundred and twenty-nine, below one hundred and thirty-six.
No Grade Two wins.
Season form includes two runs and one win.

Kalkbrenner aligns with several important trends.
He is aged six.
He finished second on his last run at Newbury within fifty days, not a win as ten of twelve had.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
He has one previous run at Newbury without a win.
Two runs and one win over distance.
Three hurdle runs and one win.
Rating one hundred and thirty-four, just shy of one hundred and thirty-six.
No Grade Two wins.
Three season runs with one win.

Etna Bianco fits a solid number of trends.
He is aged six.
He won his last run at Ascot within fifty days.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
No previous Newbury form.
One run and win over distance.
Three hurdle runs and one win.
Rating one hundred and twenty-eight.
No Grade Two wins.
Three season runs with one win.

Montemares meets some trends but misses on age.
He is aged four, with only one of twelve winners younger than five.
He won his last run at Market Rasen within fifty days.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
No Newbury form.
Two runs and two wins over distance.
Two hurdle runs and two wins.
Rating one hundred and twenty-six.
No Grade Two wins.
Two season runs with two wins.

Tiptoptim matches various trends but exceeds the fifty-day last run window.
He is aged six.
He won his last run at Ludlow but fifty-three days ago.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
No Newbury form.
One run and win over distance.
Three hurdle runs and two wins.
Rating one hundred and twenty-four.
No Grade Two wins.
Two season runs with one win.

Starzand fits some profiles but falls short on recency.
He is aged six.
He won his last run at Ffos Las but sixty-two days ago.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
No Newbury form.
One run and win over distance.
Two hurdle runs and two wins.
Rating one hundred and twenty-two.
No Grade Two wins.
Only one season run with one win.

Giantsgrave aligns with fewer trends, notably lacking a distance win.
He is aged six.
He finished third on last run at Lingfield within fifty days, not a win.
The horse’s last run was not in the Hyde Novices’ Hurdle.
No Newbury form.
One run over distance without a win, missing the perfect record of twelve winners.
Two hurdle runs and one win.
Rating one hundred and twenty.
No Grade Two wins.
Two season runs with one win.

In order of preference based on matching the trends: No Drama This End, Klimt Madrik, Kalkbrenner, Etna Bianco, Montemares, Tiptoptim, Starzand, Giantsgrave.

12:05
WHITE NOISE: 37.62
RULA BULA: 18.87
ARCLIGHT: 16.17
TOUR OVALIE: 13.38
MISS ALTEA BLUE: 12.93
GRAECIA: 4.63
GOLDEN FALLS: 2.61
LAGERTHA: 1.19

12:40
ACT OF INNOCENCE: 155.48
MINELLA YOGA: 16.38
BLUES SINGER: 5.60
RAZORS EDGE: 5.02
GULF COAST HIGHWAY: 1.77
MORRADI: 1.13
LHEUR DE GLOIRE: 0.95
MAJOR MAJOR: 0.54

13:15
JOREBEL: 31.69
PLEASINGTON: 27.23
MON CHAMPION: 15.80
OLD COWBOY: 12.68
RATH GAUL HILL: 11.94
JOKER DE MAI: 9.42

13:50
KING’S THRESHOLD: 17.17
ONLY THE BOLD: 16.40
RIVERS CORNER: 16.25
MINELLA BLUEWAY: 6.85
IDEAL DES BORDES: 6.62
BRAVE KINGDOM: 6.14
ANNUAL INVICTUS: 5.56
HOLD THAT TAUGHT: 3.36
GERICAULT ROQUE: 0.00

14:22
SCORPIO RISING: 21.08
PEACENIK: 10.96
ANDASHAN: 7.98
JURANCON: 7.63
DOCTORS HILL: 6.05
I’M A LUMBERJACK: 5.31
KALIUM: 5.20
DIAMOND RI: 3.16
DON VIRGINIA: 3.02
CHAMPAGNE TWIST: 2.99
CASTELFORT: 2.63
MEATLOAF: 2.39
TORRENT: 2.06
THANKYOURLUCKYSTAR: 1.05
GET THE VALUE: 0.83

15:00
NO DRAMA THIS END: 103.79
KALKBRENNER: 6.54
MONTEMARES: 6.37
STARZAND: 5.63
ETNA BIANCO: 4.31
KLIMT MADRIK: 3.56
GIANTSGRAVE: 2.29
TIPTOPTIM: 1.77
DESTINATION DUBAI: 0.00

15:35
GUARD THE MOON: 39.56
NEWTON TORNADO: 37.76
RIGHTSOTOM: 8.93
CAPTAIN BELLAMY: 8.85
CALIMYSTIC: 6.62
HOLLOWAY QUEEN: 6.30
POUNDING POET: 4.84
HARSH: 4.08

11:40
LYNCHES KNOCK: 25.27
KILBARRY LIZZY: 22.35
HYGGE: 8.03
O’GRADY CRACKER: 2.36
TRY THEM: 1.85
CIRCLE OF SECRETS: 1.83
QUEEN MAEVE: 1.64
COPPER ROCKER: 0.95
SHIRZAN: 0.83
MISCHIEVOUS FUN: 0.46
DATZDJAZZ: 0.32
CHIEF JOSEF: 0.30
EITILT: 0.27
STARWORD: 0.25
DDAKJI: 0.23

12:12
FORTY COATS: 18.07
DANI DONADONI: 15.79
JALON D’OUDAIRIES: 11.99
FRANKIE JOHN: 7.89
SPINNINGAYARN: 7.43
DYSART DOLOMITE: 3.32
IRISH CHAMP: 1.81
RUSTY HARKNESS: 1.65
KALEO AMETSA: 1.26
GALLANT GEORGE: 0.67
ATTANAGH: 0.35
DOUBLE POWER: 0.28

12:47
FIERCE HANDAY: 27.99
WALKS IN JUNE: 15.28
MA JACKS HILL: 13.56
SUNNY SOUTH WEST: 5.79
COYOTE SPIRIT: 5.55
JONY R: 4.93
GIVE HIM A CHANCE: 4.54
COME WALK WITH ME: 4.42
TEQUILA TALKIN’: 3.37

13:22
WODHOOH: 97.15
FEET OF A DANCER: 23.82
SIXANDAHALF: 11.41
DREAM ON BABY: 3.5
ZAYNAB: 2.4
MOUSEY BROWN: 1.75

13:57
KISH BANK: 14.43
VAUREAL: 7.77
ST DENIS’S WELL: 7.29
MYSTICAL GODDESS: 5.63
CAESAR ROCK: 4.45
UNION STATION: 4.42
KILTEALY PARK: 4.00
HO MY LORD: 3.18
AUREA FORTUNA: 2.99
WHERE’S FRANKIE: 2.48
NATIVE SPEAKER: 2.26
WELL DEL: 2.26
MY IMMORTAL: 1.86
ZEEBAND: 1.53

14:32
LOSSIEMOUTH: 148.51
BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD: 20.59
ANZADAM: 9.14
IRANCY: 3.64
CASHELDALE LAD: 2.54
HELLO NEIGHBOUR: 1.59
WINTER FOG: 0.63
FUTURUM REGEM: 0

15:05
ZILLOW: 24.41
CHAMPAGNE KID: 12.37
BUNTING: 5.85
LAST KINGDOM: 4.85
AIR OF ENTITLEMENT: 4.81
BLUE MOSQUE: 3.97
SA FUREUR: 3.84
THECOMPANYSERGEANT: 3.22
FAD EADRAINN: 2.79
BLUE LEMONS: 2.38
TEED UP: 2.07
ASHDALE BOB: 2.01
THISISTHEWAY: 1.94
WENDROCK: 1.68
FRANCISCAN ROCK: 1.28
SAINT LE FORT: 0.72

15:40
MOSSY WAY: 25.39
BUD FOX: 11.01
PASSENGER: 7.86
KEEP HIM COMPANY: 7.16
GOMEZ ADDAMS: 5.20
ROYAL HILLSBOROUGH: 4.84
JERRY FROM KERRY: 3.83
THE FIRST TURN: 3.09
LAKE ISLE: 1.28
TELL ME SEE: 0.32

Navan 11.50

4  CLASSICAL CREEK 131.7
14  THE STORE BOY 66.2
8  FILLYOUREYE 49.7
16  AGAMEOFTWOHALVES 20.2

Navan 12.25

4  CLUB MANAGER 81.8
9  WATCHING THE CLOCK 54.7
5  ITS NOT OVER YET 50.2
1  PAUL’S DREAM 46.5

Navan 13.00

1  RAGMANS CORNER 126.5
4  BALKO D’ANGE 88.7
6  COLONIA VICTORIA 84.0
5  KILLANEY KING 44.5
Navan 13.35

1  I’LL SORT THAT 181.5
3  MA JACKS HILL 121.7
2  ACE BRANNIGAN 103.8
4  THEFLYINGKING 79.5

Navan 14.10

3  COLONEL MUSTARD 189.7
1  THE YELLOW CLAY 119.0
5  JETARA 97.5
2  MAXXUM 92.7

Navan 14.45

3  FOUND A FIFTY 211.0
7  DINOBLUE 125.7
6  CAPTAIN GUINNESS 101.5
4  HERCULE DU SEUIL 80.0

Navan 15.20

7  KOPEK DES BORDES 152.0
2  BALLYBOW 64.0
8  LOVELY HURLING 50.8
12  ITS BILBO 43.8

Navan 15.55

3  LE ROI DU LIVET 127.8
5  LEONARD VALLIS 104.5
4  LEMMY CAUTION 28.8
2  JET TO MONTE CARLO 27.2